- Travis Etienne has scored four of his six red-zone touchdowns over the last three games: Etienne has been on a hot streak recently and gets a positive matchup to keep that going this week.
- Rhamondre Stevenson’s return to the lineup last week was also a return to the team leader in red-zone carries: Stevenson gets a favorable matchup this week to deliver on his positive usage out of the New England Patriots backfield.
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Estimated Reading Time: 40 minutes
The high-scoring areas of the field are the most valuable areas of opportunity for our fantasy football assets. This report will keep track of each team’s top performers in that area of the field, as well as the players getting the most opportunities in the red zone. Adding even more fantasy value to this report, we’ll also include each team’s opponent and their effectiveness when defending in the red zone to identify our best matchups.
Note: Plays called back due to penalties or plays with pre-snap penalties will not be included within the player data.
JUMP TO A TEAM:
ARZ | ATL | BLT | BUF | CAR | CHI | CIN | CLE | DAL | DEN | DET | GB | HOU | IND | JAX | KC | LVR | LAC | LAR | MIA | MIN | NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT | SF | SEA | TB | TEN | WSH
Arizona Cardinals
- Week 13 opponent: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Total red-zone plays faced: 78 (30th)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 40.0% (25th)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 42.4% (30th)
Arizona WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Trey McBride | 94.0% | 25.6% | 0 | 7 | 65.0 |
| TE | Elijah Higgins | 25.3% | 14.3% | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| TE | Tip Reiman | 6.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Travis Vokolek | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Josiah Deguara | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Pharaoh Brown | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Michael Wilson | 86.7% | 9.7% | 0 | 1 | 12.6 |
| WR | Marvin Harrison Jr. | 65.1% | 18.5% | 0 | 4 | 34.9 |
| WR | Greg Dortch | 48.2% | 17.5% | 3 | 3 | 31.7 |
| WR | Zay Jones | 36.1% | 6.7% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Xavier Weaver | 13.3% | 18.2% | 0 | 0 | 1.9 |
| WR | Simi Fehoko | 8.4% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WR | Andre Baccellia | 4.8% | 25.0% | 0 | 0 | 1.5 |
Arizona RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Bam Knight | 15 | 34.1% | 4 | 20 | 5 | 30.9 |
| Michael Carter | 7 | 15.9% | 1 | 23 | 4 | 11.3 |
| James Conner | 5 | 11.4% | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14.9 |
| Emari Demercado | 5 | 11.4% | 1 | 14 | 4 | 11.4 |
| Trey Benson | 3 | 6.8% | 0 | 7 | 2 | 2.4 |
| Jermar Jefferson | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
- The Buccaneers haven’t spent a ton of time defending the red zone this season, though they do rank bottom three at limiting offensive success rate (41.0%), making them a better matchup to target.
- Bam Knight has handled the large majority of carries in the red zone this season, scoring twice on the ground over the last two weeks. Knight should be the top scoring option on the ground for the Cardinals in a good matchup this week, while Trey McBride continues to find the endzone through the air.
Atlanta Falcons
- Week 13 opponent: New York Jets
- Total red-zone plays faced: 114 (11th)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 33.3% (11th)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 40.4% (25th)
Atlanta WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Kyle Pitts | 97.4% | 13.2% | 0 | 1 | 8.5 |
| TE | Charlie Woerner | 20.5% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Teagan Quitoriano | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Feleipe Franks | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Drake London | 87.2% | 32.4% | 0 | 6 | 48.1 |
| WR | Darnell Mooney | 66.7% | 11.5% | 0 | 0 | 2.1 |
| WR | David Sills V | 43.6% | 5.9% | 0 | 1 | 7.9 |
| WR | Casey Washington | 25.6% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Dylan Drummond | 5.1% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | KhaDarel Hodge | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Deven Thompkins | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WR | Jamal Agnew | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Atlanta RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Tyler Allgeier | 22 | 52.4% | 6 | 9 | 1 | 43.4 |
| Bijan Robinson | 21 | 50.0% | 4 | 28 | 8 | 36.3 |
| Carlos Washington Jr. | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Nate Carter | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
- The Jets' red-zone defense ranks below average overall at limiting offensive success, showing a particular weakness defending the run, as they are tied for the third-most rushing touchdowns against in the red zone (10).
- Over the last two weeks, Bijan Robinson has carried the ball in the red zone four times compared to Allgeier’s one (although Allgeier scored on his carry), which hasn’t been the norm this season. If Robinson is truly getting those red-zone carries back, then it’s an ideal matchup for him to score against the lowly Jets’ rushing defense.
Baltimore Ravens
- Week 13 opponent: Cincinnati Bengals
- Total red-zone plays faced: 151 (1st)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 45.6% (29th)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 27.8% (6th)
Baltimore WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Mark Andrews | 75.5% | 25.0% | 3 | 4 | 33.5 |
| TE | Isaiah Likely | 34.0% | 11.1% | 0 | 0 | 1.5 |
| TE | Charlie Kolar | 32.1% | 17.6% | 0 | 2 | 15.3 |
| WR | Zay Flowers | 79.2% | 14.3% | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| WR | Rashod Bateman | 49.1% | 19.2% | 0 | 2 | 17.2 |
| WR | DeAndre Hopkins | 47.2% | 4.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Tylan Wallace | 28.3% | 13.3% | 0 | 1 | 8.5 |
| WR | Devontez Walker | 3.8% | 50.0% | 0 | 1 | 7.2 |
| WR | LaJohntay Wester | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
Baltimore RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Derrick Henry | 41 | 61.2% | 6 | 12 | 1 | 46.6 |
| Keaton Mitchell | 8 | 11.9% | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2.5 |
| Justice Hill | 3 | 4.5% | 2 | 16 | 1 | 13.1 |
| Rasheen Ali | 1 | 1.5% | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.5 |
- Editor’s note: The Ravens’ game was already played on Thursday.
Buffalo Bills
- Week 13 opponent: Pittsburgh Steelers
- Total red-zone plays faced: 115 (10th)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 27.1% (5th)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 36.5% (21st)
Buffalo WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Dawson Knox | 60.8% | 9.7% | 0 | 1 | 10.6 |
| TE | Dalton Kincaid | 39.2% | 25.0% | 0 | 2 | 20.4 |
| TE | Jackson Hawes | 13.7% | 28.6% | 0 | 1 | 9.7 |
| TE | Keleki Latu | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Khalil Shakir | 74.5% | 21.1% | 0 | 1 | 16.9 |
| WR | Keon Coleman | 72.5% | 13.5% | 0 | 2 | 16.6 |
| WR | Joshua Palmer | 41.2% | 19.1% | 0 | 0 | 3.3 |
| WR | Tyrell Shavers | 27.5% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Elijah Moore | 15.7% | 0.0% | 1 | 1 | 6.4 |
| WR | Curtis Samuel | 13.7% | 14.3% | 0 | 1 | 7.6 |
| WR | Gabe Davis | 11.8% | 16.7% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WR | Mecole Hardman Jr. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Buffalo RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| James Cook | 30 | 54.5% | 4 | 21 | 2 | 34.4 |
| Ty Johnson | 5 | 9.1% | 1 | 22 | 2 | 8.2 |
| Ray Davis | 4 | 7.3% | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11.3 |
- The Steelers' weakness in the red zone has come against the run this season, which has been a strength of the Bills, ranking top five in red-zone rushing success rate (40.0%) and scoring the second-most rushing touchdowns (14) from the red zone.
- James Cook and Josh Allen are the clear best bets to score this week in an ideal rushing matchup. Cook has scored four red-zone rushing touchdowns, while Josh Allen has scored 10 times on the ground in the red zone this season.
Carolina Panthers
- Week 13 opponent: Los Angeles Rams
- Total red-zone plays faced: 110 (14th)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 26.2% (2nd)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 28.6% (9th)
Carolina WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Ja'Tavion Sanders | 46.1% | 22.9% | 0 | 0 | 10.8 |
| TE | Tommy Tremble | 43.4% | 12.1% | 0 | 1 | 11.4 |
| TE | Mitchell Evans | 19.7% | 20.0% | 0 | 2 | 14.6 |
| TE | James Mitchell | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Tetairoa McMillan | 93.4% | 19.7% | 0 | 4 | 40.3 |
| WR | Xavier Legette | 61.8% | 19.1% | 0 | 2 | 18.3 |
| WR | Hunter Renfrow | 38.2% | 20.7% | 0 | 2 | 19.7 |
| WR | Jalen Coker | 38.2% | 6.9% | 0 | 0 | 1.5 |
| WR | Brycen Tremayne | 17.1% | 7.7% | 0 | 0 | 1.8 |
| WR | Jimmy Horn Jr. | 14.5% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | David Moore | 10.5% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WR | Dalevon Campbell | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WR | Dan Chisena | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Carolina RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Rico Dowdle | 30 | 61.2% | 5 | 30 | 4 | 40.2 |
| Chuba Hubbard | 12 | 24.5% | 2 | 28 | 6 | 20.3 |
| Trevor Etienne | 4 | 8.2% | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1.9 |
| DeeJay Dallas | 1 | 2.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 |
- The Rams have been a top-three red-zone defense at limiting offensive success rate this season (27.3%), allowing just 15 red-zone touchdowns, which is tied for the second-fewest.
- With the Panthers’ red-zone success rate coming in well below average (31.2%), it’s difficult to overinvest in anyone from this group, though Rico Dowdle at least has the best chance to overcome the matchup given his usage.
Chicago Bears
- Week 13 opponent: Philadelphia Eagles
- Total red-zone plays faced: 97 (24th)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 32.1% (10th)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 40.9% (28th)
Chicago WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Cole Kmet | 49.1% | 11.5% | 0 | 1 | 9.5 |
| TE | Colston Loveland | 39.6% | 28.6% | 0 | 2 | 17.6 |
| TE | Durham Smythe | 18.9% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Stephen Carlson | 3.8% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Nikola Kalinic | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Rome Odunze | 94.3% | 20.0% | 0 | 3 | 25.5 |
| WR | DJ Moore | 77.4% | 14.6% | 2 | 3 | 24.5 |
| WR | Olamide Zaccheaus | 54.7% | 27.6% | 0 | 1 | 15.6 |
| WR | Luther Burden III | 28.3% | 20.0% | 0 | 0 | 2.3 |
| WR | Devin Duvernay | 7.5% | 25.0% | 0 | 0 | 1.2 |
| WR | Jahdae Walker | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Chicago RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| D'Andre Swift | 28 | 41.8% | 4 | 23 | 0 | 32.0 |
| Kyle Monangai | 25 | 37.3% | 4 | 18 | 1 | 32.6 |
| Brittain Brown | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Travis Homer | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Roschon Johnson | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
- The Eagles' red-zone defense has allowed eight passing touchdowns this season, which is tied for the second-best mark in the league, though they allowed three red-zone passing touchdowns just last week against the Cowboys.
- Colston Loveland has been starting to get more involved in the red zone this season, earning the highest target rate on the team and scoring twice over the last three games while ranking third on the team in red-zone routes over that span. It won’t be an easy matchup, but the Eagles did show some weakness last week through the air, and Loveland is beginning to heat up.
Cincinnati Bengals
- Week 13 opponent: Baltimore Ravens
- Total red-zone plays faced: 122 (6th)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 36.2% (17th)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 22.6% (2nd)
Cincinnati WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Noah Fant | 27.8% | 13.3% | 0 | 2 | 14.6 |
| TE | Tanner Hudson | 27.8% | 20.0% | 0 | 1 | 9.0 |
| TE | Mike Gesicki | 24.1% | 23.1% | 0 | 0 | 1.2 |
| TE | Drew Sample | 18.5% | 10.0% | 0 | 1 | 7.4 |
| TE | Cam Grandy | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Ja'Marr Chase | 96.3% | 30.8% | 0 | 4 | 41.0 |
| WR | Andrei Iosivas | 85.2% | 10.9% | 0 | 1 | 9.5 |
| WR | Tee Higgins | 81.5% | 20.4% | 0 | 2 | 20.0 |
| WR | Mitchell Tinsley | 13.0% | 28.6% | 0 | 2 | 17.0 |
| WR | Charlie Jones | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Jermaine Burton | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cincinnati RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Chase Brown | 19 | 67.9% | 3 | 33 | 4 | 26.3 |
| Samaje Perine | 3 | 10.7% | 0 | 9 | 1 | 3.1 |
| Gary Brightwell | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Tahj Brooks | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Kendall Milton | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
- Editor’s note: The Bengals’ game was already played on Thursday.
Cleveland Browns
- Week 13 opponent: San Francisco 49ers
- Total red-zone plays faced: 99 (23rd)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 45.6% (30th)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 40.5% (26th)
Cleveland WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Harold Fannin Jr. | 82.0% | 14.6% | 1 | 2 | 18.2 |
| TE | David Njoku | 62.0% | 22.6% | 0 | 3 | 27.3 |
| TE | Blake Whiteheart | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Brenden Bates | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Jerry Jeudy | 94.0% | 17.0% | 0 | 0 | 1.4 |
| WR | Isaiah Bond | 42.0% | 19.1% | 0 | 0 | 1.6 |
| WR | Jamari Thrash | 36.0% | 5.6% | 0 | 0 | 1.4 |
| WR | Cedric Tillman | 32.0% | 25.0% | 0 | 2 | 19.1 |
| WR | Gage Larvadain | 18.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Malachi Corley | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | DeAndre Carter | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WR | Kaden Davis | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cleveland RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Quinshon Judkins | 28 | 68.3% | 6 | 9 | 0 | 41.5 |
| Jerome Ford | 4 | 9.8% | 0 | 21 | 5 | 5.3 |
| Dylan Sampson | 4 | 9.8% | 1 | 9 | 4 | 13.6 |
| Raheim Sanders | 2 | 4.9% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 |
- The 49ers' red-zone defense ranks last at limiting offensive success in that area of the field (43.4%), while the Browns come in near the bottom of the league on offense in that regard (26.4%).
- Quinshon Judkins is the primary hope for a Browns touchdown most weeks, but especially in a week like this, where they aren’t faced with a difficult matchup, Judkins’ chances increase.
Dallas Cowboys
- Week 13 opponent: Kansas City Chiefs
- Total red-zone plays faced: 84 (28th)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 33.3% (11th)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 31.1% (16th)
Dallas WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Jake Ferguson | 74.0% | 33.3% | 0 | 6 | 59.1 |
| TE | Luke Schoonmaker | 27.3% | 9.5% | 0 | 0 | 2.4 |
| TE | Brevyn Spann-Ford | 13.0% | 20.0% | 0 | 1 | 8.8 |
| TE | Princeton Fant | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | George Pickens | 83.1% | 21.9% | 0 | 4 | 35.0 |
| WR | CeeDee Lamb | 55.8% | 23.3% | 0 | 1 | 14.6 |
| WR | Jalen Tolbert | 45.5% | 8.6% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Ryan Flournoy | 40.3% | 9.7% | 0 | 2 | 14.7 |
| WR | KaVontae Turpin | 36.4% | 10.7% | 0 | 1 | 9.6 |
| WR | Jalen Cropper | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Jonathan Mingo | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WR | Jalen Brooks | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WR | Parris Campbell | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Dallas RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Javonte Williams | 39 | 72.2% | 8 | 49 | 8 | 69.9 |
| Miles Sanders | 6 | 11.1% | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5.8 |
| Malik Davis | 1 | 1.9% | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Jaydon Blue | 1 | 1.9% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 |
- Editor’s note: The Cowboys’ game was already played on Thursday.
Denver Broncos
- Week 13 opponent: Washington Commanders
- Total red-zone plays faced: 120 (8th)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 39.0% (22nd)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 41.0% (29th)
Denver WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Evan Engram | 44.6% | 24.0% | 0 | 1 | 13.8 |
| TE | Adam Trautman | 30.4% | 5.9% | 0 | 1 | 7.2 |
| TE | Nate Adkins | 21.4% | 16.7% | 0 | 1 | 8.6 |
| TE | Lucas Krull | 5.4% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Marcedes Lewis | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Courtland Sutton | 87.5% | 14.3% | 0 | 1 | 11.6 |
| WR | Troy Franklin | 75.0% | 33.3% | 0 | 4 | 42.7 |
| WR | Pat Bryant | 42.9% | 12.5% | 0 | 0 | 3.7 |
| WR | Marvin Mims Jr. | 39.3% | 4.5% | 1 | 1 | 9.3 |
| WR | Lil'Jordan Humphrey | 21.4% | 16.7% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Trent Sherfield | 12.5% | 14.3% | 0 | 0 | 1.3 |
| WR | Michael Bandy | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Denver RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| J.K. Dobbins | 20 | 51.3% | 4 | 16 | 0 | 31.4 |
| RJ Harvey | 9 | 23.1% | 4 | 23 | 5 | 32.0 |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | 2 | 5.1% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 |
| Tyler Badie | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 6 | 2 | 3.2 |
- The Commanders rank bottom five overall at limiting offensive success in the red zone (40.0%), while the Broncos offense ranks top-10 in that regard (37.9%).
- Troy Franklin owns the team’s lone red-zone touchdown through the air over the last three games, as the Broncos haven’t been able to capitalize on favorable opportunities too often recently. That should change in a great matchup this week with RJ Harvey leading the way on the ground and Franklin through the air.
Detroit Lions
- Week 13 opponent: Green Bay Packers
- Total red-zone plays faced: 92 (26th)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 26.4% (3rd)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 28.2% (7th)
Detroit WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Sam LaPorta | 72.2% | 12.8% | 0 | 2 | 18.4 |
| TE | Brock Wright | 25.9% | 21.4% | 0 | 2 | 15.1 |
| TE | Ross Dwelley | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Anthony Firkser | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Shane Zylstra | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Jameson Williams | 96.3% | 7.7% | 0 | 1 | 9.6 |
| WR | Amon-Ra St. Brown | 92.6% | 36.0% | 1 | 8 | 71.1 |
| WR | Kalif Raymond | 48.1% | 7.7% | 0 | 0 | 2.0 |
| WR | Isaac TeSlaa | 33.3% | 16.7% | 0 | 2 | 16.5 |
| WR | Jackson Meeks | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Dominic Lovett | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WR | Tom Kennedy | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Detroit RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 38 | 59.4% | 9 | 20 | 8 | 80.1 |
| David Montgomery | 22 | 34.4% | 4 | 25 | 2 | 29.5 |
| Jacob Saylors | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Craig Reynolds | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Sione Vaki | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
- Editor’s note: The Lions’ game was already played on Thursday.
Green Bay Packers
- Week 13 opponent: Detroit Lions
- Total red-zone plays faced: 109 (16th)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 37.5% (21st)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 26.7% (5th)
Green Bay WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Tucker Kraft | 63.6% | 31.4% | 0 | 5 | 49.4 |
| TE | John FitzPatrick | 25.5% | 14.3% | 0 | 1 | 8.8 |
| TE | Luke Musgrave | 23.6% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Josh Whyle | 1.8% | 100.0% | 0 | 1 | 7.2 |
| WR | Romeo Doubs | 83.6% | 23.9% | 0 | 4 | 33.3 |
| WR | Matthew Golden | 52.7% | 6.9% | 1 | 0 | 1.6 |
| WR | Dontayvion Wicks | 43.6% | 12.5% | 0 | 0 | 5.4 |
| WR | Christian Watson | 27.3% | 13.3% | 0 | 2 | 15.8 |
| WR | Malik Heath | 25.5% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Savion Williams | 16.4% | 44.4% | 1 | 1 | 7.9 |
| WR | Jayden Reed | 7.3% | 25.0% | 0 | 1 | 8.7 |
| WR | Bo Melton | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Green Bay RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Josh Jacobs | 42 | 68.9% | 11 | 25 | 2 | 82.5 |
| Emanuel Wilson | 17 | 27.9% | 3 | 17 | 1 | 24.0 |
| Chris Brooks | 2 | 3.3% | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1.6 |
| Pierre Strong Jr. | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
- Editor’s note: The Packers’ game was already played on Thursday.
Houston Texans
- Week 13 opponent: Indianapolis Colts
- Total red-zone plays faced: 135 (3rd)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 30.2% (8th)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 49.0% (32nd)
Houston WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Dalton Schultz | 81.0% | 11.8% | 0 | 1 | 11.6 |
| TE | Harrison Bryant | 7.9% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Cade Stover | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Nico Collins | 71.4% | 31.1% | 0 | 2 | 23.0 |
| WR | Xavier Hutchinson | 69.8% | 11.4% | 1 | 2 | 19.1 |
| WR | Jayden Higgins | 50.8% | 21.9% | 0 | 3 | 25.9 |
| WR | Christian Kirk | 44.4% | 21.4% | 0 | 1 | 10.6 |
| WR | Jaylin Noel | 28.6% | 22.2% | 1 | 1 | 8.6 |
| WR | Justin Watson | 6.3% | 50.0% | 0 | 0 | 1.3 |
| WR | Braxton Berrios | 6.3% | 50.0% | 0 | 0 | 2.5 |
| WR | Jared Wayne | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Houston RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Woody Marks | 22 | 56.4% | 4 | 35 | 5 | 32.1 |
| Nick Chubb | 10 | 25.6% | 0 | 5 | 2 | 2.4 |
| Dare Ogunbowale | 1 | 2.6% | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.9 |
| Dameon Pierce | 1 | 2.6% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.2 |
- The Colts’ red-zone run defense ranks dead last at limiting offensive success on the ground, while the Texans' red-zone rushing offense also ranks dead last at rushing success rate (17.9%).
- Considering how bad the Texans' rushing success has been in the red zone this year – nearly 10 percentage points worse than the next closest team – we’d expect the Colts to win that battle most of the time.
Indianapolis Colts
- Week 13 opponent: Houston Texans
- Total red-zone plays faced: 64 (32nd)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 36.4% (18th)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 35.5% (19th)
Indianapolis WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Tyler Warren | 87.5% | 21.4% | 2 | 4 | 36.5 |
| TE | Mo Alie-Cox | 25.0% | 18.8% | 0 | 0 | 3.4 |
| TE | Andrew Ogletree | 4.7% | 33.3% | 0 | 1 | 7.4 |
| TE | Will Mallory | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Michael Pittman Jr. | 85.9% | 18.2% | 0 | 5 | 41.8 |
| WR | Alec Pierce | 84.4% | 5.6% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Josh Downs | 54.7% | 28.6% | 0 | 3 | 29.6 |
| WR | Ashton Dulin | 17.2% | 9.1% | 2 | 0 | 2.4 |
| WR | Anthony Gould | 6.3% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Laquon Treadwell | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
Indianapolis RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Jonathan Taylor | 50 | 73.5% | 13 | 45 | 4 | 101.5 |
| Ameer Abdullah | 2 | 2.9% | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8.4 |
| DJ Giddens | 2 | 2.9% | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Ulysses Bentley IV | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Tyler Goodson | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.0 |
- The Texans have spent the fewest amount of snaps defending the red zone this season, while the Colts have spent the second-most amount of snaps in the red zone (132) and have found success at a top-five rate (39.4%).
- Jonathan Taylor was held out of the endzone last week. We shouldn’t expect that to be the case for much longer and should bounce back this week in a neutral matchup.
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Week 13 opponent: Tennessee Titans
- Total red-zone plays faced: 101 (22nd)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 30.2% (7th)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 45.8% (31st)
Jacksonville WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Brenton Strange | 39.7% | 4.3% | 0 | 0 | 2.0 |
| TE | Hunter Long | 24.1% | 28.6% | 0 | 2 | 17.1 |
| TE | Johnny Mundt | 22.4% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Quintin Morris | 8.6% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Jakobi Meyers | 84.5% | 16.3% | 0 | 1 | 11.6 |
| WR | Parker Washington | 62.1% | 22.2% | 1 | 3 | 28.1 |
| WR | Brian Thomas Jr. | 58.6% | 11.8% | 1 | 1 | 6.9 |
| WR | Dyami Brown | 50.0% | 27.6% | 1 | 1 | 10.4 |
| WR | Travis Hunter | 43.1% | 20.0% | 1 | 0 | 3.4 |
| WR | Tim Patrick | 31.0% | 22.2% | 0 | 1 | 9.1 |
| WR | Tim Jones | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WR | Austin Trammell | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Jacksonville RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Travis Etienne Jr. | 40 | 54.1% | 6 | 22 | 6 | 58.3 |
| Bhayshul Tuten | 20 | 27.0% | 4 | 9 | 1 | 31.9 |
| LeQuint Allen | 3 | 4.1% | 0 | 16 | 1 | 3.2 |
| Cody Schrader | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
- The Titans have struggled significantly defending the run in the red zone this season, tying for the second-most rushing touchdowns allowed (11).
- Travis Etienne has scored four of his six red-zone touchdowns over the last three games alone, and considering the matchup this week, it makes sense that he’d add another in a great matchup this week.
Kansas City Chiefs
- Week 13 opponent: Dallas Cowboys
- Total red-zone plays faced: 123 (5th)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 39.1% (23rd)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 37.0% (22nd)
Kansas City WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Travis Kelce | 84.9% | 13.7% | 1 | 2 | 24.8 |
| TE | Noah Gray | 45.3% | 5.1% | 0 | 0 | 1.1 |
| TE | Robert Tonyan | 3.5% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Jared Wiley | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | JuJu Smith-Schuster | 74.4% | 10.9% | 0 | 1 | 12.7 |
| WR | Xavier Worthy | 62.8% | 11.1% | 0 | 1 | 13.3 |
| WR | Marquise Brown | 45.3% | 20.5% | 0 | 4 | 34.1 |
| WR | Rashee Rice | 32.6% | 42.9% | 2 | 4 | 38.5 |
| WR | Tyquan Thornton | 26.7% | 13.0% | 0 | 2 | 15.6 |
| WR | Jason Brownlee | 5.8% | 20.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Jalen Royals | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WR | Nikko Remigio | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kansas City RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Kareem Hunt | 28 | 50.9% | 8 | 37 | 2 | 53.8 |
| Isiah Pacheco | 12 | 21.8% | 2 | 22 | 3 | 19.7 |
| Brashard Smith | 9 | 16.4% | 0 | 18 | 6 | 9.5 |
| Elijah Mitchell | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Clyde Edwards-Helaire | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
- Editor’s note: The Chiefs’ game was already played on Thursday.
Las Vegas Raiders
- Week 13 opponent: Los Angeles Chargers
- Total red-zone plays faced: 102 (21st)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 26.4% (3rd)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 40.8% (27th)
Las Vegas WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Brock Bowers | 64.8% | 31.4% | 0 | 2 | 20.9 |
| TE | Michael Mayer | 35.2% | 21.1% | 0 | 1 | 12.5 |
| TE | Ian Thomas | 18.5% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Albert Okwuegbunam | 13.0% | 14.3% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Carter Runyon | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Tre Tucker | 90.7% | 14.3% | 1 | 3 | 26.9 |
| WR | Dont'e Thornton Jr. | 42.6% | 4.3% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Tyler Lockett | 29.6% | 6.3% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Jack Bech | 24.1% | 7.7% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Alex Bachman | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Shedrick Jackson | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WR | Justin Shorter | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Las Vegas RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Ashton Jeanty | 23 | 82.1% | 7 | 34 | 8 | 58.0 |
| Raheem Mostert | 4 | 14.3% | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1.0 |
| Zamir White | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Dylan Laube | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
- The Chargers have been among the best red-zone defenses in the league at defending the pass, though they have shown some vulnerability defending the run, tying for the third-most red-zone rushing touchdowns against (10).
- Ashton Jeanty has been the clear top option to bet on with this Raiders offense at the moment, as he’s scored two of the team’s three red-zone touchdowns over the last two games.
Los Angeles Chargers
- Week 13 opponent: Las Vegas Raiders
- Total red-zone plays faced: 139 (2nd)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 33.9% (14th)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 28.6% (9th)
Los Angeles WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Oronde Gadsden II | 72.1% | 22.4% | 0 | 2 | 22.4 |
| TE | Tucker Fisk | 14.7% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Will Dissly | 8.8% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Tyler Conklin | 4.4% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Ladd McConkey | 91.2% | 16.1% | 0 | 3 | 27.7 |
| WR | Keenan Allen | 73.5% | 24.0% | 0 | 4 | 34.1 |
| WR | Quentin Johnston | 72.1% | 18.4% | 0 | 3 | 27.5 |
| WR | Tre Harris | 30.9% | 14.3% | 0 | 1 | 9.4 |
| WR | Derius Davis | 7.4% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | KeAndre Lambert-Smith | 2.9% | 50.0% | 0 | 0 | 1.1 |
Los Angeles RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Kimani Vidal | 21 | 52.5% | 3 | 27 | 3 | 28.6 |
| Omarion Hampton | 12 | 30.0% | 1 | 14 | 0 | 8.6 |
| Najee Harris | 1 | 2.5% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Jaret Patterson | 1 | 2.5% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Hassan Haskins | 1 | 2.5% | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Trayveon Williams | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Nyheim Hines | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Amar Johnson | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 |
- The Raiders have played the second-most amount of snaps defending the red zone this season, though they’ve been better than expected, ranking top-10 at limiting offensive success rate (30.9%) in that area of the field.
- Omarion Hampton has a shot to return this week, which would likely put him as the favorite on the ground in the red zone, while Oronde Gadsden has quietly led the team in red-zone targets in recent weeks, though he hasn’t scored since Week 8. Still, he’ll get more opportunities to take advantage of his usage this week.
Los Angeles Rams
- Week 13 opponent: Carolina Panthers
- Total red-zone plays faced: 107 (18th)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 36.5% (19th)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 30.9% (14th)
Los Angeles WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Tyler Higbee | 47.3% | 17.1% | 0 | 2 | 19.6 |
| TE | Davis Allen | 31.1% | 21.7% | 0 | 3 | 25.3 |
| TE | Colby Parkinson | 27.0% | 50.0% | 0 | 3 | 30.1 |
| TE | Terrance Ferguson | 10.8% | 0.0% | 1 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Davante Adams | 94.6% | 37.1% | 0 | 10 | 76.4 |
| WR | Puka Nacua | 58.1% | 20.9% | 1 | 2 | 23.9 |
| WR | Jordan Whittington | 55.4% | 2.4% | 1 | 0 | 1.7 |
| WR | Tutu Atwell | 14.9% | 9.1% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Xavier Smith | 10.8% | 12.5% | 0 | 0 | 1.9 |
| WR | Konata Mumpfield | 5.4% | 25.0% | 0 | 1 | 7.5 |
| WR | Brennan Presley | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Los Angeles RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Kyren Williams | 31 | 57.4% | 9 | 44 | 9 | 73.8 |
| Blake Corum | 15 | 27.8% | 1 | 12 | 1 | 10.8 |
| Ronnie Rivers | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Jarquez Hunter | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
- The Panthers are tied for the second-most red-zone rushing touchdowns against this season (11) despite only ranking around average in total snaps in that area of the field.
- Kyren Williams has been sharing red-zone carries a little more with Blake Corum over the last two weeks. Corum took five carries to Williams’ four over the last two games.
Miami Dolphins
- Week 13 opponent: New Orleans Saints
- Total red-zone plays faced: 97 (24th)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 43.5% (28th)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 35.3% (18th)
Miami WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Tanner Conner | 32.7% | 17.6% | 0 | 0 | 1.1 |
| TE | Darren Waller | 26.9% | 28.6% | 0 | 4 | 30.4 |
| TE | Julian Hill | 26.9% | 21.4% | 0 | 0 | 2.0 |
| TE | Greg Dulcich | 23.1% | 16.7% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Hayden Rucci | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Jaylen Waddle | 84.6% | 20.4% | 0 | 2 | 25.7 |
| WR | Malik Washington | 67.3% | 22.9% | 1 | 2 | 17.5 |
| WR | Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | 48.1% | 8.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Tyreek Hill | 19.2% | 20.0% | 0 | 1 | 9.2 |
| WR | Cedrick Wilson Jr. | 17.3% | 11.1% | 0 | 0 | 1.2 |
| WR | D'Wayne Eskridge | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WR | Tahj Washington | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Miami RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| De'Von Achane | 27 | 60.0% | 5 | 41 | 8 | 47.8 |
| Ollie Gordon II | 16 | 35.6% | 3 | 13 | 2 | 26.3 |
| Jaylen Wright | 1 | 2.2% | 0 | 1 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Jeff Wilson Jr. | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
- The Saints' red-zone defense ranks well below average at allowing successful plays, specifically against the pass.
- De’Von Achane not only leads the team in red-zone carries, but he’s also second on the team in red-zone targets this year, making him by far the top option to score in a positive matchup this week.
Minnesota Vikings
- Week 13 opponent: Seattle Seahawks
- Total red-zone plays faced: 121 (7th)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 30.5% (9th)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 28.2% (7th)
Minnesota WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | T.J. Hockenson | 79.7% | 15.7% | 1 | 2 | 23.0 |
| TE | Josh Oliver | 21.9% | 21.4% | 0 | 1 | 11.4 |
| TE | Nick Vannett | 4.7% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Ben Sims | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Benjamin Yurosek | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Justin Jefferson | 95.3% | 18.0% | 0 | 2 | 19.3 |
| WR | Jalen Nailor | 76.6% | 18.4% | 0 | 2 | 19.5 |
| WR | Jordan Addison | 73.4% | 17.0% | 0 | 3 | 29.0 |
| WR | Adam Thielen | 23.4% | 6.7% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Myles Price | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Tai Felton | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Minnesota RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Jordan Mason | 21 | 72.4% | 5 | 28 | 1 | 38.3 |
| Aaron Jones | 3 | 10.3% | 1 | 12 | 3 | 7.9 |
| Zavier Scott | 2 | 6.9% | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10.3 |
| Cam Akers | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Ty Chandler | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Corey Kiner | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
- The Seahawks red-zone defense ranks top-five at limiting offensive success rate (29.8%), while the Vikings red-zone offense ranks bottom-10 in that regard (29.0%).
- Jordan Mason has taken the large majority of red-zone carries this year, including with Aaron Jones in the lineup, so while he’s the best Minnesota option to score, it is a more difficult matchup to trust him this week.
New England Patriots
- Week 13 opponent: New York Giants
- Total red-zone plays faced: 110 (14th)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 40.3% (26th)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 37.2% (23rd)
New England WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Hunter Henry | 83.3% | 20.0% | 0 | 3 | 33.8 |
| TE | Austin Hooper | 30.3% | 15.0% | 0 | 1 | 9.3 |
| TE | CJ Dippre | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Stefon Diggs | 66.7% | 22.7% | 0 | 3 | 30.1 |
| WR | Kayshon Boutte | 65.2% | 4.7% | 0 | 1 | 8.6 |
| WR | Mack Hollins | 54.5% | 13.9% | 0 | 2 | 18.2 |
| WR | Demario Douglas | 36.4% | 16.7% | 1 | 2 | 18.2 |
| WR | Kyle Williams | 15.2% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Efton Chism III | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
New England RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| TreVeyon Henderson | 21 | 36.8% | 4 | 20 | 3 | 30.2 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 20 | 35.1% | 3 | 20 | 2 | 20.7 |
| Antonio Gibson | 4 | 7.0% | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Terrell Jennings | 4 | 7.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| D'Ernest Johnson | 1 | 1.8% | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.1 |
- The Giants' red-zone defense has allowed the second-most touchdowns against (30) on the year, and it ranks well below average at limiting overall offensive successful play rate (39.1%).
- Rhamondre Stevenson returned to the lineup last week and dominated the red-zone carries, and while he didn’t score, he’ll be the top bet to deliver in a more favorable matchup this week.
New Orleans Saints
- Week 13 opponent: Miami Dolphins
- Total red-zone plays faced: 118 (9th)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 42.1% (27th)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 29.5% (11th)
New Orleans WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Juwan Johnson | 85.1% | 17.5% | 0 | 2 | 19.4 |
| TE | Foster Moreau | 6.4% | 33.3% | 0 | 0 | 2.0 |
| TE | Zaire Mitchell-Paden | 6.4% | 33.3% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Taysom Hill | 4.3% | 0.0% | 12 | 1 | 6.8 |
| TE | Jack Stoll | 4.3% | 50.0% | 0 | 1 | 8.3 |
| TE | Treyton Welch | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Moliki Matavao | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Chris Olave | 91.5% | 20.9% | 0 | 2 | 19.6 |
| WR | Brandin Cooks | 68.1% | 3.1% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Devaughn Vele | 38.3% | 11.1% | 0 | 1 | 7.3 |
| WR | Mason Tipton | 8.5% | 25.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WR | Kevin Austin Jr. | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WR | Dante Pettis | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WR | Trey Palmer | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
New Orleans RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Alvin Kamara | 15 | 34.9% | 1 | 33 | 5 | 16.3 |
| Kendre Miller | 5 | 11.6% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8.8 |
| Devin Neal | 1 | 2.3% | 0 | 6 | 1 | 1.4 |
| Velus Jones Jr. | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Audric Estime | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
- The Dolphins’ red-zone defense has struggled to defend the pass this season, although the Saints‘ red-zone offense ranks second-to-last in passing success rate (23.4%).
- New Orleans really only has one clear option as a receiver, which is Chris Olave, though Taysom Hill took a team-leading five red-zone carries last week, making him a sneaky bet to find the end zone, assuming that Alvin Kamara is out.
New York Giants
- Week 13 opponent: New England Patriots
- Total red-zone plays faced: 72 (31st)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 48.9% (31st)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 33.3% (17th)
New York WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Theo Johnson | 81.8% | 22.2% | 0 | 4 | 33.8 |
| TE | Daniel Bellinger | 22.7% | 33.3% | 0 | 0 | 7.0 |
| TE | Chris Manhertz | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Thomas Fidone II | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Wan'Dale Robinson | 89.4% | 11.9% | 0 | 0 | 1.6 |
| WR | Darius Slayton | 65.2% | 4.7% | 0 | 0 | 1.3 |
| WR | Malik Nabers | 31.8% | 14.3% | 0 | 0 | 0.8 |
| WR | Ray-Ray McCloud III | 21.2% | 7.1% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Jalin Hyatt | 18.2% | 8.3% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Beaux Collins | 18.2% | 8.3% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Isaiah Hodgins | 10.6% | 14.3% | 0 | 1 | 8.2 |
| WR | Gunner Olszewski | 4.5% | 66.7% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WR | Dalen Cambre | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
New York RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Cam Skattebo | 23 | 34.8% | 7 | 21 | 4 | 50.7 |
| Devin Singletary | 15 | 22.7% | 2 | 14 | 2 | 17.3 |
| Tyrone Tracy | 9 | 13.6% | 0 | 20 | 0 | 4.0 |
| Eric Gray | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
- The Patriots' red-zone defense ranks 31st at limiting offensive successful play rate this season (42.3%), while the Giants' offense ranks dead last in that regard (23.5%).
- Tight end Theo Johnson has seen the most red-zone targets on the team over the last few games, and while he hasn’t scored since Week 9, he gets a great matchup to deliver this week.
New York Jets
- Week 13 opponent: Atlanta Falcons
- Total red-zone plays faced: 112 (12th)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 34.5% (15th)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 22.2% (1st)
New York WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Mason Taylor | 81.8% | 22.2% | 0 | 1 | 16.5 |
| TE | Jeremy Ruckert | 29.5% | 15.4% | 0 | 1 | 7.5 |
| TE | Jelani Woods | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Stone Smartt | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Allen Lazard | 56.8% | 16.0% | 0 | 1 | 8.7 |
| WR | Tyler Johnson | 52.3% | 4.3% | 0 | 1 | 8.5 |
| WR | Garrett Wilson | 47.7% | 14.3% | 0 | 2 | 16.0 |
| WR | Arian Smith | 40.9% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Josh Reynolds | 22.7% | 10.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Isaiah Williams | 18.2% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Adonai Mitchell | 18.2% | 25.0% | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| WR | John Metchie III | 11.4% | 20.0% | 0 | 1 | 8.3 |
| WR | Brandon Smith | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
New York RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Breece Hall | 16 | 47.1% | 1 | 14 | 3 | 7.4 |
| Braelon Allen | 6 | 17.6% | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4.7 |
| Isaiah Davis | 5 | 14.7% | 0 | 9 | 1 | 3.7 |
| Kene Nwangwu | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Khalil Herbert | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Avery Williams | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
- The Falcons‘ red-zone defense has been much better at defending the run than the pass this season, while the Jets have come in below average in red-zone success rate when running the ball (29.4%).
- Breece Hall has just one red-zone touchdown on the year, and this matchup isn’t the one to expect him to add to that total.
Philadelphia Eagles
- Week 13 opponent: Chicago Bears
- Total red-zone plays faced: 103 (20th)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 35.3% (16th)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 38.5% (24th)
Philadelphia WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Dallas Goedert | 85.7% | 19.4% | 0 | 6 | 46.9 |
| TE | Grant Calcaterra | 11.9% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Kylen Granson | 9.5% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Cameron Latu | 7.1% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | E.J. Jenkins | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | DeVonta Smith | 95.2% | 20.0% | 0 | 1 | 14.6 |
| WR | A.J. Brown | 85.7% | 27.8% | 0 | 2 | 23.3 |
| WR | Jahan Dotson | 76.2% | 3.1% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Darius Cooper | 11.9% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Xavier Gipson | 4.8% | 50.0% | 0 | 0 | 1.3 |
Philadelphia RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Saquon Barkley | 25 | 58.1% | 4 | 31 | 6 | 34.5 |
| Tank Bigsby | 3 | 7.0% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 |
| AJ Dillon | 2 | 4.7% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.9 |
| Will Shipley | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 |
- The Bears‘ red-zone defense comes in below average overall, while the Eagles are a top-five red zone offense in overall success rate (40.0%).
- Over the last two games, A.J. Brown has seen five red-zone targets while no other Eagles player has seen more than one. If Brown is going to continue getting fed the ball, he should be able to take advantage of this generally positive matchup this week.
Pittsburgh Steelers
- Week 13 opponent: Buffalo Bills
- Total red-zone plays faced: 104 (19th)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 28.8% (6th)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 36.5% (21st)
Pittsburgh WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Darnell Washington | 62.7% | 21.9% | 0 | 1 | 13.0 |
| TE | Pat Freiermuth | 58.8% | 20.0% | 0 | 3 | 25.5 |
| TE | Jonnu Smith | 58.8% | 16.7% | 1 | 2 | 19.1 |
| TE | Connor Heyward | 11.8% | 33.3% | 1 | 1 | 8.6 |
| WR | D.K. Metcalf | 94.1% | 18.8% | 1 | 4 | 35.8 |
| WR | Calvin Austin III | 41.2% | 14.3% | 0 | 2 | 19.6 |
| WR | Roman Wilson | 21.6% | 9.1% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Ben Skowronek | 19.6% | 10.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Scott Miller | 5.9% | 33.3% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Ke'Shawn Williams | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
Pittsburgh RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Jaylen Warren | 25 | 54.3% | 4 | 18 | 1 | 31.9 |
| Kenneth Gainwell | 14 | 30.4% | 5 | 23 | 8 | 43.0 |
| Kaleb Johnson | 4 | 8.7% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.1 |
| Trey Sermon | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Lew Nichols | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
- The Bills’ red-zone defense has been much better at defending the pass than the run this year.
- Jaylen Warren led the way in terms of backfield carries in his return last week and was able to score. Warren is the best option to capitalize on a favorable matchup this week.
San Francisco 49ers
- Week 13 opponent: Cleveland Browns
- Total red-zone plays faced: 83 (29th)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 36.6% (20th)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 23.8% (3rd)
San Francisco WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | George Kittle | 44.3% | 29.0% | 1 | 4 | 39.7 |
| TE | Jake Tonges | 40.0% | 17.9% | 0 | 3 | 25.7 |
| TE | Luke Farrell | 27.1% | 15.8% | 0 | 2 | 17.9 |
| TE | Brayden Willis | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Jauan Jennings | 70.0% | 20.4% | 0 | 3 | 27.3 |
| WR | Ricky Pearsall | 48.6% | 5.9% | 0 | 0 | 2.0 |
| WR | Kendrick Bourne | 42.9% | 6.7% | 0 | 0 | 1.6 |
| WR | Demarcus Robinson | 30.0% | 4.8% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Russell Gage | 17.1% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 14.3% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Skyy Moore | 11.4% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WR | Jordan Watkins | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WR | Malik Turner | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
San Francisco RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Christian McCaffrey | 46 | 80.7% | 12 | 59 | 17 | 101.3 |
| Brian Robinson | 8 | 14.0% | 2 | 8 | 2 | 17.9 |
| Isaac Guerendo | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Jordan James | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
- The Browns have spent a well below-average amount of time defending the red zone this season and have found strength against the run, allowing just four rushing touchdowns on the ground, which is tied for the fewest in the league.
- Christian McCaffrey will put this Browns red-zone rushing defense to the test this week, as he has rushed for seven touchdowns on the year in the red zone and added five more through the air.
Seattle Seahawks
- Week 13 opponent: Minnesota Vikings
- Total red-zone plays faced: 111 (13th)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 33.3% (11th)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 30.0% (12th)
Seattle WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | AJ Barner | 76.7% | 24.2% | 3 | 5 | 41.1 |
| TE | Elijah Arroyo | 48.8% | 19.1% | 0 | 0 | 2.9 |
| TE | Eric Saubert | 11.6% | 20.0% | 0 | 0 | 2.2 |
| TE | Nick Kallerup | 2.3% | 100.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Rashid Shaheed | 93.0% | 20.0% | 1 | 1 | 15.2 |
| WR | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 79.1% | 32.4% | 0 | 4 | 36.1 |
| WR | Cooper Kupp | 76.7% | 12.1% | 0 | 1 | 12.9 |
| WR | Tory Horton | 30.2% | 30.8% | 0 | 2 | 15.8 |
| WR | Cody White | 14.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Jake Bobo | 4.7% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Dareke Young | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WR | Ricky White | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Seattle RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Zach Charbonnet | 30 | 43.5% | 7 | 18 | 1 | 49.4 |
| Kenneth Walker III | 28 | 40.6% | 4 | 14 | 1 | 34.8 |
| George Holani | 5 | 7.2% | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Jacardia Wright | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
- The Vikings‘ red-zone defense ranks slightly above average at limiting offensive success this season (30.0%), while the Seahawks rank as an above-average unit in that regard (35.7%).
- Zach Charbonnet was highlighted as a top bet to score last week, and he delivered, though Kenneth Walker did take three carries compared to Charbonnet’s two last week. Walker should be considered a better bet to score than he has been in previous weeks when Charbonnet was taking the majority of red-zone carries.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Week 13 opponent: Arizona Cardinals
- Total red-zone plays faced: 124 (4th)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 39.1% (23rd)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 30.9% (14th)
Tampa Bay WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Cade Otton | 89.1% | 4.1% | 0 | 0 | 1.5 |
| TE | Payne Durham | 7.3% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Devin Culp | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Ko Kieft | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Emeka Egbuka | 92.7% | 23.5% | 0 | 2 | 21.5 |
| WR | Sterling Shepard | 80.0% | 13.6% | 0 | 1 | 10.6 |
| WR | Tez Johnson | 49.1% | 25.9% | 2 | 3 | 29.5 |
| WR | Chris Godwin | 27.3% | 13.3% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Mike Evans | 23.6% | 38.5% | 0 | 1 | 9.6 |
| WR | Kameron Johnson | 5.5% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Ryan Miller | 3.6% | 50.0% | 0 | 1 | 9 |
Tampa Bay RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Rachaad White | 14 | 40.0% | 4 | 35 | 7 | 35.6 |
| Sean Tucker | 11 | 31.4% | 3 | 7 | 2 | 22.3 |
| Bucky Irving | 7 | 20.0% | 1 | 10 | 3 | 10.1 |
| Owen Wright | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Josh Williams | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
- The Cardinals have spent a top-five amount of time defending the red zone and, as a result, have allowed 10 red-zone rushing touchdowns (tied for third-most).
- Bucky Irving looks set to return this week, putting him back as a top bet to score as he dominated the red-zone carries through the first four weeks of the year when he was healthy. Irving may be eased back into the lineup, though his involvement should lower the impact that Sean Tucker and Rachaad White have this week.
Tennessee Titans
- Week 13 opponent: Jacksonville Jaguars
- Total red-zone plays faced: 108 (17th)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 49.2% (32nd)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 25.6% (4th)
Tennessee WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Chigoziem Okonkwo | 59.0% | 4.3% | 0 | 0 | 1.3 |
| TE | Gunnar Helm | 48.7% | 21.1% | 0 | 1 | 10.0 |
| TE | David Martin-Robinson | 5.1% | 50.0% | 0 | 1 | 7.1 |
| TE | Thomas Odukoya | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Van Jefferson | 71.8% | 10.7% | 0 | 1 | 9.3 |
| WR | Chimere Dike | 69.2% | 33.3% | 1 | 1 | 14.6 |
| WR | Elic Ayomanor | 56.4% | 22.7% | 0 | 2 | 17.8 |
| WR | Calvin Ridley | 33.3% | 15.4% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | James Proche II | 10.3% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Mason Kinsey | 5.1% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Xavier Restrepo | 5.1% | 50.0% | 0 | 0 | 2.2 |
| WR | Bryce Oliver | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Tennessee RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Tony Pollard | 13 | 52.0% | 2 | 20 | 0 | 16.3 |
| Tyjae Spears | 4 | 16.0% | 1 | 14 | 4 | 11.4 |
| Julius Chestnut | 4 | 16.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Jordan Mims | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Kalel Mullings | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
- The Jaguars have been night and day different in the red zone when defending the run versus the pass, ranking dead last when it comes to pass defense.
- Chimere Dike and Tyjae Spears have been getting looks through the air in recent weeks when the team is in the red zone and will have the best chances to score as receivers this week.
Washington Commanders
- Week 13 opponent: Denver Broncos
- Total red-zone plays faced: 88 (27th)
- Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 20.8% (1st)
- Red zone successful run plays allowed: 30.0% (12th)
Washington WR/TEs:
| Position | WR/TE | RZ Route Rate | RZ Target rate | RZ Carries | RZ TDs | RZ FF PTs |
| TE | Zach Ertz | 82.1% | 21.9% | 0 | 4 | 35.3 |
| TE | John Bates | 25.6% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| TE | Ben Sinnott | 12.8% | 20.0% | 0 | 1 | 7.4 |
| TE | Colson Yankoff | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Deebo Samuel | 87.2% | 32.4% | 2 | 5 | 47.4 |
| WR | Chris Moore | 46.2% | 5.6% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Jaylin Lane | 41.0% | 12.5% | 0 | 0 | 1.7 |
| WR | Terry McLaurin | 33.3% | 15.4% | 0 | 1 | 9.8 |
| WR | Luke McCaffrey | 28.2% | 18.2% | 0 | 1 | 7.5 |
| WR | Treylon Burks | 12.8% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| WR | Robbie Chosen | 10.3% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WR | Tay Martin | 5.1% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WR | Noah Brown | 5.1% | 50.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WR | Jacoby Jones | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WR | Ja'Corey Brooks | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Washington RBs:
| RB | RZ Carries | RZ Carry Rate | RZ TDs | RZ Routes | RZ TGTs | RZ FF PTs |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. | 17 | 34.7% | 3 | 11 | 0 | 22.2 |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | 14 | 28.6% | 4 | 7 | 1 | 31.3 |
| Jeremy McNichols | 5 | 10.2% | 0 | 14 | 0 | 3.7 |
| Austin Ekeler | 2 | 4.1% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.8 |
| Chase Edmonds | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
- The Broncos have been the most effective red-zone defense on the year, leading the league at limiting offensive red-zone success rate (25.0%) this season.
- Deebo Samuel has been the team’s most utilized weapon in the red zone this season and remains the best bet to overcome this difficult matchup in Week 13.
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