Garrett

Wilson

Over the last two seasons, Wilson has been targeted 302 times, but 100 of those targets have been uncatchable, the second-most at the position, behind only Davante Adams (105). The next closest wide receiver is Amari Cooper, who has 77. Wilson's 33% uncatchable target rate is the highest among the 35 wide receivers with at least 175 targets over the last two seasons.

The main reason for optimism for Wilson this season is Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers has been the sixth-most accurate quarterback on intermediate and deep passes over the last three seasons, while the Jets' former quarterback, Zach Wilson, was the least accurate. Despite having nearly the same number of dropbacks over the last three seasons, Zach Wilson has almost double the number of sacks and scrambles and has checked down more often. This change should result in more accurate passes to Wilson and a higher percentage of pass plays targeting wide receivers.

Wilson has a high floor due to his talent, but it's uncertain how high his ceiling is and whether Aaron Rodgers can help him reach it. His ADP has risen to the early first round, indicating high expectations. While he has the potential to be the overall WR1, it will be challenging to meet his ADP, given the abundance of talented wide receivers in the NFL and the reliance on a quarterback in his 40s.