Fantasy Football: Week 3 red-zone report

Estimated Reading Time: 40 minutes


The high-scoring areas of the field are the most valuable areas of opportunity for our fantasy football assets. This report will keep track of each team’s top performers in that area of the field, as well as the players getting the most opportunities in the red zone. Adding even more fantasy value to this report, we’ll also include each team’s opponent and their effectiveness when defending in the red zone to identify our best matchups.

Note: Plays called back due to penalties or plays with pre-snap penalties will not be included within the player data.


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Arizona Cardinals

  • Week 3 opponent: San Francisco 49ers
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 17 (T-20th)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 66.7% (32nd)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 36.4% (17th)
Arizona WR/TEs:
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TETrey McBride100.0%9.1%001.4
TEElijah Higgins36.4%25.0%000
TETravis Vokolek18.2%0.0%000
TETip Reiman18.2%0.0%000
TEJosiah Deguara0.0%0.0%000
WRMarvin Harrison Jr.90.9%30.0%019.3
WRMichael Wilson72.7%12.5%018.1
WRZay Jones54.5%0.0%000
WRGreg Dortch18.2%0.0%000
WRSimi Fehoko0.0%0.0%000
WRXavier Weaver0.0%0.0%000
Arizona RBs:
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
James Conner562.5%27114.9
Trey Benson225.0%0322.4
Emari Demercado00.0%0000
Zonovan Knight00.0%0000
  • The 49ers have only faced six red-zone passing plays through two games this season but have allowed three passing touchdowns, which is tied for the third most in the league.
  • Both Marvin Harrison Jr. and Trey McBride, unsurprisingly, have run the highest rate of routes on the team when in the red zone. Harrison has seen the highest team target rate and has already scored this season, making him the best bet to do so again in a favorable matchup.

Atlanta Falcons

  • Week 3 opponent: Carolina Panthers
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 22 (T-10th)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 40.0% (T-18th)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 33.3% (T-14th)
Atlanta WR/TEs:
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TEKyle Pitts100.0%0.0%000
TECharlie Woerner25.0%0.0%000
TEFeleipe Franks0.0%0.0%000
TETeagan Quitoriano0.0%0.0%000
WRDrake London91.7%18.2%000
WRDarnell Mooney58.3%28.6%000
WRRay-Ray McCloud III58.3%14.3%000
WRCasey Washington41.7%0.0%000
WRKhaDarel Hodge8.3%0.0%000
WRJamal Agnew0.0%0.0%000
WRDavid Sills V0.0%0.0%000
Atlanta RBs: 
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Bijan Robinson753.8%01034.9
Tyler Allgeier646.2%1218
Carlos Washington Jr.00.0%0000
Nate Carter00.0%0000
  • The Panthers' red-zone defense has played an above-average rate of snaps with average to below-average success.
  • Bijan Robinson is not immune to high-value opportunities being vultured away from him by Tyler Allgeier, which has already happened once this season. Robinson, at least, has played the lion’s share of passing downs compared to Allgeier, but ideally, he’ll earn a bigger lead on run downs as well.

Baltimore Ravens

  • Week 3 opponent: Detroit Lions
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 20 (T-13th)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 36.4% (T-16th)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 44.4% (T-23rd)
Baltimore WR/TEs:
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TEMark Andrews100.0%28.6%000
TECharlie Kolar71.4%0.0%000
TEZaire Mitchell-Paden14.3%100.0%000
TEIsaiah Likely0.0%0.0%000
WRZay Flowers57.1%0.0%000
WRRashod Bateman42.9%0.0%000
WRDevontez Walker28.6%50.0%017.2
WRDeAndre Hopkins28.6%0.0%000
WRTylan Wallace28.6%50.0%018.5
WRLaJohntay Wester0.0%0.0%000
Baltimore RBs: 
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Derrick Henry233.3%0300.7
Justice Hill116.7%030-1.5
Rasheen Ali116.7%0000.5
Keaton Mitchell00.0%0000
  • The Lions rank below average in defending the run while in the red zone this season, allowing two rushing touchdowns thus far.
  • Interestingly, the Ravens haven’t run the ball a lot while in the red zone but should they get opportunities this week, Derrick Henry is in a prime position to be the team’s main beneficiary in Week 3.

Buffalo Bills

  • Week 3 opponent: Miami Dolphins
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 29 (2nd)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 30.0% (T-10th)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 42.1% (19th)
Buffalo WR/TEs:
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TEDalton Kincaid56.3%22.2%018.5
TEDawson Knox50.0%12.5%001.7
TEJackson Hawes0.0%0.0%000
WRKhalil Shakir75.0%16.7%002.9
WRJoshua Palmer75.0%16.7%001.8
WRKeon Coleman68.8%18.2%018
WRTyrell Shavers25.0%0.0%000
WRElijah Moore25.0%0.0%116.4
WRCurtis Samuel0.0%0.0%000
Buffalo RBs:
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
James Cook1052.6%25115.5
Ray Davis15.3%0211.3
Ty Johnson00.0%0920
  • Editor's note: The Bills' game already occurred on Thursday

Carolina Panthers

  • Week 3 opponent: Atlanta Falcons
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 6 (31st)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 40.0% (T-18th)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 0.0% (T-1st)
Carolina WR/TEs: 
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TEJa'Tavion Sanders70.6%33.3%005.1
TETommy Tremble23.5%0.0%000
TEMitchell Evans0.0%0.0%000
TEJames Mitchell0.0%0.0%000
WRTetairoa McMillan100.0%11.8%002
WRXavier Legette94.1%18.8%000
WRHunter Renfrow94.1%31.3%0218.2
WRBrycen Tremayne11.8%0.0%000
WRJimmy Horn Jr.0.0%0.0%000
WRDavid Moore0.0%0.0%000
WRDalevon Campbell0.0%0.0%000
Carolina RBs: 
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Chuba Hubbard360.0%11118.4
Rico Dowdle240.0%050-0.3
Trevor Etienne00.0%0000
  • The Falcons have allowed very few red-zone opportunities to opposing offenses so far this season, and specifically against the run, as they haven’t allowed a single positive offensive play.
  • This matchup doesn’t bode well for Chuba Hubbard, as he has not just shared carries with Rico Dowdle in the red zone so far, but the Falcons defense also makes this an even less desirable matchup.

Chicago Bears

  • Week 3 opponent: Dallas Cowboys
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 22 (T-10th)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 27.3% (9th)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 18.2% (T-7th)
Chicago WR/TEs:
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TECole Kmet87.5%0.0%000
TEColston Loveland25.0%0.0%000
TEDurham Smythe0.0%0.0%000
WRRome Odunze100.0%37.5%0216.6
WRDJ Moore75.0%0.0%000
WROlamide Zaccheaus50.0%25.0%001.7
WRLuther Burden III50.0%25.0%000
WRDevin Duvernay0.0%0.0%000
WRJahdae Walker0.0%0.0%000
Chicago RBs:
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
D'Andre Swift250.0%1506
Kyle Monangai125.0%010-0.1
Roschon Johnson00.0%0000
  • Dallas has spent an above-average amount of time defending the red zone this season and has been relatively effective when defending against the pass in that area of the field.
  • Rome Odunze was highlighted last week as a strong option, and while he’s still the best bet to find the end zone for the team this week, the matchup isn’t as ideal as it was, which slightly lowers his odds.

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Week 3 opponent: Minnesota Vikings
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 19 (T-15th)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 36.4% (T-16th)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 12.5% (T-4th)
Cincinnati WR/TEs:
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TEMike Gesicki66.7%37.5%001.2
TENoah Fant25.0%33.3%017.1
TEDrew Sample8.3%0.0%000
TECam Grandy0.0%0.0%000
TETanner Hudson0.0%0.0%000
WRJa'Marr Chase91.7%27.3%0111.1
WRTee Higgins83.3%10.0%000
WRAndrei Iosivas75.0%0.0%000
WRMitchell Tinsley8.3%100.0%018.3
WRJermaine Burton0.0%0.0%000
WRCharlie Jones0.0%0.0%000
Cincinnati RBs:
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Chase Brown787.5%1518.6
Samaje Perine00.0%0100
Tahj Brooks00.0%0000
  • The Vikings defense has been slightly above average overall in limiting offensive success in the red zone (26.3% – eighth), and their strength comes when defending the run.
  • Chase Brown has dominated the red-zone opportunities for the Bengals backfield, though without Joe Burrow and against a tougher opponent, expectations might be worth tempering for Brown this week.

Cleveland Browns

  • Week 3 opponent: Green Bay Packers
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 18 (T-17th)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 20.0% (5th)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 0.0% (T-1st)
Cleveland WR/TEs: 
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TEHarold Fannin Jr.100.0%11.1%001.1
TEDavid Njoku66.7%0.0%000
TEBlake Whiteheart11.1%0.0%000
WRJerry Jeudy100.0%0.0%000
WRCedric Tillman88.9%25.0%0216.3
WRJamari Thrash11.1%0.0%000
WRIsaiah Bond11.1%100.0%001.6
WRGage Larvadain0.0%0.0%000
WRDeAndre Carter0.0%0.0%000
Cleveland RBs: 
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Dylan Sampson233.3%13312.1
Jerome Ford233.3%0600.3
Raheim Sanders233.3%1006.1
Quinshon Judkins00.0%0000
  • The Packers lead the NFL in overall successful play rate allowed when defending the red zone (16.7%), making them the toughest matchup so far this season.
  • Considering the shared workload among the Browns‘ backfield options, with the added potential for Quinshon Judkins to get even more involved this week, the running backs will be options to avoid this week in a difficult matchup.

Dallas Cowboys

  • Week 3 opponent: Chicago Bears
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 23 (9th)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 62.5% (T-30th)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 33.3% (T-14th)
Dallas WR/TEs: 
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TEJake Ferguson71.4%0.0%000
TEBrevyn Spann-Ford14.3%0.0%000
TELuke Schoonmaker14.3%0.0%000
WRCeeDee Lamb85.7%16.7%000.8
WRGeorge Pickens85.7%66.7%019.5
WRJalen Tolbert71.4%20.0%000
WRKaVontae Turpin28.6%50.0%018
WRRyan Flournoy0.0%0.0%000
Dallas RBs: 
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Javonte Williams555.6%22013.7
Miles Sanders444.4%1003.4
Jaydon Blue00.0%0000
  • The Bears have struggled significantly to defend the pass while in the red zone, allowing a league-high five passing touchdowns so far this season.
  • CeeDee Lamb has been held out of the end zone so far this season, but he should be a strong bet to score this week in a favorable matchup, considering his usage in the red zone through two weeks.

Denver Broncos

  • Week 3 opponent: Los Angeles Chargers
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 17 (T-20th)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 6.7% (1st)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 100.0% (T-31st)
Denver WR/TEs:
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TEAdam Trautman42.9%33.3%017.2
TEEvan Engram14.3%0.0%000
TELucas Krull14.3%0.0%000
TENate Adkins0.0%0.0%000
WRTroy Franklin71.4%60.0%0111.8
WRCourtland Sutton57.1%50.0%001.5
WRTrent Sherfield42.9%33.3%001.3
WRMarvin Mims Jr.28.6%0.0%000
WRPat Bryant28.6%0.0%000
Denver RBs:
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
J.K. Dobbins787.5%24014.7
Jaleel McLaughlin00.0%0000
Tyler Badie00.0%0000
RJ Harvey00.0%0300
  • The Chargers are the best red-zone defense defending the pass so far this season, and they are tied for the worst when defending the run; however, they’ve only faced two run plays and 15 pass plays.
  • Troy Franklin is far and away the team’s top receiving option in this area of the field through the first two weeks, running the most routes and seeing an absurd 60% target rate. However, it’s fair to temper expectations in a tougher matchup this week for the top waiver wire wide receiver.

Detroit Lions

  • Week 3 opponent: Baltimore Ravens
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 24 (T-6th)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 53.8% (25th)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 18.2% (T-7th)
Detroit WR/TEs: 
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TESam LaPorta93.3%7.1%000
TEBrock Wright6.7%100.0%017.8
TEShane Zylstra0.0%0.0%000
WRJameson Williams100.0%6.7%000
WRAmon-Ra St. Brown100.0%33.3%1324
WRKalif Raymond66.7%0.0%000
WRIsaac TeSlaa26.7%25.0%018.3
WRDominic Lovett0.0%0.0%000
Detroit RBs: 
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Jahmyr Gibbs750.0%15210.3
David Montgomery642.9%1718.8
Craig Reynolds00.0%0000
Jacob Saylors00.0%0000
Sione Vaki00.0%0000
  • The Ravens have spent a lot of time defending the red zone through two weeks, which has allowed for seven total touchdowns against in that area of the field – the second-most through two weeks.
  • All of the usual suspects in Detroit have already found red-zone success this season, and they all make for good bets to keep that going in Week 3.

Green Bay Packers

  • Week 3 opponent: Cleveland Browns
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 17 (T-20th)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 30.0% (T-10th)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 42.9% (T-20th)
Green Bay WR/TEs: 
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TETucker Kraft84.6%18.2%0216.3
TELuke Musgrave23.1%0.0%000
TEJohn FitzPatrick7.7%0.0%000
TEBen Sims0.0%0.0%000
WRRomeo Doubs76.9%30.0%017.5
WRDontayvion Wicks53.8%0.0%000
WRMatthew Golden53.8%0.0%100.9
WRJayden Reed30.8%25.0%018.7
WRMalik Heath23.1%0.0%000
WRSavion Williams7.7%100.0%001.1
Green Bay RBs: 
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Josh Jacobs1184.6%210015.2
Emanuel Wilson00.0%0200
Chris Brooks00.0%0111.2
  • The Browns' red-zone defense has been slightly above average in limiting successful plays to the opposing offense overall; however, four of their six defensive losses so far have resulted in touchdowns.
  • Tucker Kraft and Romeo Doubs have been the Packers' go-to receiving options in the red zone, and that should continue this week, putting them in a good position to add to their touchdown totals on the year.

Houston Texans

  • Week 3 opponent: Jacksonville Jaguars
  • Total red zone plays faced: 16 (23rd)
  • Red-zone successful pass plays allowed: 44.4% (21st)
  • Red-zone successful run plays allowed: 42.9% (T-20th)
Houston WR/TEs:
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TEDalton Schultz100.0%0.0%000
TECade Stover0.0%0.0%000
TEHarrison Bryant0.0%0.0%000
WRNico Collins100.0%57.1%001.7
WRXavier Hutchinson71.4%0.0%000
WRJustin Watson57.1%50.0%001.3
WRJaylin Noel28.6%0.0%000
WRJayden Higgins28.6%0.0%000
WRBraxton Berrios0.0%0.0%000
WRChristian Kirk0.0%0.0%000
Houston RBs:
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Nick Chubb250.0%0200.8
Dameon Pierce125.0%0000.2
Dare Ogunbowale00.0%0100
Woody Marks00.0%0100
  • The Jaguars' red-zone defense ranks just 24th in overall success rate allowed (43.8%) through two weeks this season as a slightly favorable matchup for opposing offenses.
  • Nico Collins scored from just outside the red zone in Week 2, and his usage and high-end target rate in the red zone point to him being a strong bet to score once again this week in a favorable matchup.

Indianapolis Colts

  • Week 3 opponent: Tennessee Titans
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 24 (T-6th)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 16.7% (T-3rd)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 66.7% (30th)
Indianapolis WR/TEs:
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TETyler Warren93.8%20.0%001.4
TEMo Alie-Cox18.8%33.3%001.8
TEWill Mallory0.0%0.0%000
TEAndrew Ogletree0.0%0.0%000
WRAlec Pierce100.0%12.5%000
WRMichael Pittman Jr.87.5%7.1%000
WRJosh Downs81.3%15.4%001.5
WRAshton Dulin6.3%0.0%101.5
WRAnthony Gould0.0%0.0%000
WRAdonai Mitchell0.0%0.0%000
Indianapolis RBs:
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Jonathan Taylor1152.4%112111.9
DJ Giddens29.5%0210.2
Tyler Goodson00.0%0000
Ulysses Bentley IV00.0%0000
  • The Titans have struggled to defend the run in the red zone this season on their 12 red zone run-defense snaps, allowing the highest success rate among teams with at least three run defense snaps.
  • Jonathan Taylor has looked great to start the year, and considering his sizable usage advantage over anyone else in the Colts' backfield, he should stay hot in this favorable matchup in Week 3.

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Week 3 opponent: Houston Texans
  • Total red zone plays faced: 18 (T-17th)
  • Red-zone successful pass plays allowed: 55.6% (T-26th)
  • Red-zone successful run plays allowed: 44.4% (T-23rd)
Jacksonville WR/TEs: 
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TEBrenton Strange80.0%0.0%000
TEJohnny Mundt13.3%0.0%000
TEHunter Long6.7%100.0%017.6
TEQuintin Morris0.0%0.0%000
WRBrian Thomas Jr.93.3%21.4%116.9
WRDyami Brown86.7%23.1%017.9
WRTravis Hunter60.0%22.2%001.4
WRTim Patrick26.7%25.0%000
WRParker Washington6.7%0.0%000
Jacksonville RBs: 
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Travis Etienne Jr.960.0%17212.2
Bhayshul Tuten320.0%1119.2
LeQuint Allen16.7%0300.9
Cody Schrader00.0%0000
  • The Texans' red-zone defense ranks tied for 29th in successful play rate allowed (50.0%) this season, which has resulted in five offensive touchdowns against.
  • Brian Thomas Jr. scored a red-zone rushing touchdown in Week 1 and has been the team’s most involved wide receiver in that area of the field, which will hopefully allow him to bounce back after a poor showing in Week 2.

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Week 3 opponent: New York Giants
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 19 (T-15th)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 55.6% (T-26th)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 50.0% (T-26th)
Kansas City WR/TEs: 
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TETravis Kelce90.9%20.0%000
TENoah Gray27.3%33.3%001.1
TERobert Tonyan0.0%0.0%000
TEJared Wiley0.0%0.0%000
WRMarquise Brown90.9%20.0%001.1
WRJuJu Smith-Schuster90.9%0.0%000
WRTyquan Thornton63.6%0.0%000
WRJason Brownlee36.4%25.0%000
WRXavier Worthy0.0%0.0%000
WRJalen Royals0.0%0.0%000
WRNikko Remigio0.0%0.0%000
Kansas City RBs: 
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Kareem Hunt250.0%0600.7
Isiah Pacheco250.0%0401.1
Elijah Mitchell00.0%0000
Brashard Smith00.0%0000
  • The Giants' red-zone defense owns the second-worst successful play rate allowed (52.6%), which has resulted in the third-most touchdowns allowed (six) in that area of the field.
  • Three of the Giants' touchdowns allowed have come when defending the run, making for an interesting choice between Kareem Hunt and Isiah Pacheco to potentially find the end zone this week. For what it’s worth, the team’s lone goal-to-go carry so far this year went to Hunt in Week 2, though he did not score.

Las Vegas Raiders

  • Week 3 opponent: Washington Commanders
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 25 (5th)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 23.5% (6th)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 62.5% (29th)
Las Vegas WR/TEs: 
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TEBrock Bowers90.0%11.1%000
TEMichael Mayer30.0%33.3%001.7
TEIan Thomas10.0%0.0%000
WRJakobi Meyers90.0%22.2%000
WRTre Tucker80.0%12.5%001.4
WRDont'e Thornton Jr.80.0%0.0%000
WRJack Bech10.0%0.0%000
WRAlex Bachman0.0%0.0%000
WRJustin Shorter0.0%0.0%000
Las Vegas RBs: 
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Ashton Jeanty3100.0%1828.9
Zamir White00.0%0100
Dylan Laube00.0%0000
Raheem Mostert00.0%0000
  • The Commanders' red-zone defense has found strength in defending the pass so far this season on 17 plays, though two have resulted in touchdowns.
  • With the Commanders' red-zone weakness coming from defending the run, it’s reasonable to expect Ashton Jeanty to get back in the end zone this week after being held out in Week 2.

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Week 3 opponent: Denver Broncos
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 24 (T-26th)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 25.0% (T-7th)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 33.3% (T-14th)
Los Angeles WR/TEs: 
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TEWill Dissly66.7%0.0%000
TETyler Conklin16.7%0.0%000
TETucker Fisk0.0%0.0%000
TEOronde Gadsden II0.0%0.0%000
WRLadd McConkey100.0%0.0%000
WRQuentin Johnston100.0%33.3%017.5
WRKeenan Allen83.3%40.0%0216.1
WRTre Harris16.7%100.0%000
WRDerius Davis0.0%0.0%000
WRKeAndre Lambert-Smith0.0%0.0%000
Los Angeles RBs: 
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Omarion Hampton872.7%0301.7
Najee Harris19.1%0200.7
Hassan Haskins00.0%0000
  • The Broncos' red-zone defense has been better than average at limiting offensive success, ranking top-10 overall in that regard (29.2%) so far.
  • Considering the Broncos' success defending the pass, specifically, there should be some concern in trusting Ladd McConkey to score this week, especially as the only Chargers wide receiver to run a route in that area of the field and not see a single target thus far.

Los Angeles Rams

  • Week 3 opponent: Philadelphia Eagles
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 13 (T-27th)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 40.0% (T-18th)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 50.0% (T-26th)
Los Angeles WR/TEs: 
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TETyler Higbee41.7%20.0%001.6
TEDavis Allen25.0%66.7%0216.1
TEColby Parkinson16.7%50.0%00-3.7
TETerrance Ferguson0.0%0.0%000
WRDavante Adams100.0%41.7%018.6
WRJordan Whittington83.3%10.0%101.7
WRPuka Nacua75.0%11.1%001.1
WRTutu Atwell25.0%0.0%000
WRXavier Smith8.3%0.0%000
WRKonata Mumpfield0.0%0.0%000
Los Angeles RBs: 
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Kyren Williams750.0%1519.9
Blake Corum321.4%1107.4
Jarquez Hunter00.0%0000
  • The Eagles haven’t had to spend a ton of time defending the red zone so far this season but have been below average in that regard when they have, ranking just 25th in offensive success rate allowed (46.2%).
  • After handling all of the red zone carries among the team’s running backs in Week 1, Kyren Williams split those carries down the middle with Blake Corum in Week 2, which is concerning for Williams’ overall touchdown upside should that hold, even in a relatively favorable matchup.

Miami Dolphins

  • Week 3 opponent: Buffalo Bills
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 8 (30th)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 25.0% (T-7th)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 25.0% (T-11th)
Miami WR/TEs: 
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TETanner Conner100.0%20.0%000
TEJulian Hill20.0%0.0%000
TEDarren Waller0.0%0.0%000
WRJaylen Waddle100.0%40.0%018.8
WRTyreek Hill100.0%0.0%000
WRMalik Washington80.0%0.0%000
WRNick Westbrook-Ikhine0.0%0.0%000
WRTahj Washington0.0%0.0%000
WRD'Wayne Eskridge0.0%0.0%000
Dolphins RBs: 
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Ollie Gordon II1100.0%0000.1
De'Von Achane00.0%1518.1
Jeff Wilson Jr.00.0%0000
Jaylen Wright00.0%0000
  • Editor's note: The Dolphins' game already occurred on Thursday.

Minnesota Vikings

  • Week 3 opponent: Cincinnati Bengals
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 30 (1st)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 35.3% (15th)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 30.8% (13th)
Minnesota WR/TEs: 
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TET.J. Hockenson71.4%0.0%000
TEJosh Oliver28.6%0.0%000
TEBenjamin Yurosek0.0%0.0%000
TENick Vannett0.0%0.0%000
WRJalen Nailor100.0%14.3%002.7
WRJustin Jefferson100.0%42.9%018.3
WRAdam Thielen85.7%0.0%000
WRTim Jones14.3%0.0%000
WRMyles Price0.0%0.0%000
WRTai Felton0.0%0.0%000
Minnesota RBs: 
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Jordan Mason375.0%0400.7
Ty Chandler00.0%0000
Zavier Scott00.0%0000
Aaron Jones00.0%0100
  • The Bengals have played more snaps defending the red zone than any other defense this season, allowing five offensive touchdowns, which is tied for the fourth most so far this season.
  • Even with Aaron Jones in the lineup, Jordan Mason’s opportunity in the red zone was significantly greater, and while he’s yet to score a touchdown this season, his odds should increase this week in a favorable matchup.

New England Patriots

  • Week 3 opponent: Pittsburgh Steelers
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 20 (T-13th)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 16.7% (T-3rd)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 100% (T-31st)
New England WR/TEs: 
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TEHunter Henry55.6%0.0%000
TEAustin Hooper33.3%33.3%002
TEJack Westover0.0%0.0%000
WRDemario Douglas77.8%28.6%017.2
WRKayshon Boutte66.7%16.7%018.6
WRStefon Diggs66.7%0.0%000
WRMack Hollins55.6%20.0%017.8
WRKyle Williams11.1%0.0%000
WREfton Chism III0.0%0.0%000
New England RBs: 
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Rhamondre Stevenson342.9%0100.7
TreVeyon Henderson228.6%0100
Antonio Gibson114.3%0200.3
  • The Steelers have spent an above-average amount of snaps defending the red zone so far this season, finding much more success defending the pass than the run after allowing four rushing touchdowns in that regard – the most in the league.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has the slight edge over his backfield teammates in terms of red-zone opportunities, but he is the only back on the team to get any goal-to-go carries, making him a good bet to find the end zone in this favorable Week 3 matchup.

New Orleans Saints

  • Week 3 opponent: Seattle Seahawks
  • Total red zone plays faced: 27 (4th)
  • Red-zone successful pass plays allowed: 33.3% (T-13th)
  • Red-zone successful run plays allowed: 16.7% (6th)
New Orleans WR/TEs: 
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TEJuwan Johnson92.3%25.0%018.8
TEJack Stoll7.7%0.0%000
TEMoliki Matavao0.0%0.0%000
WRChris Olave92.3%16.7%002.4
WRRashid Shaheed76.9%30.0%018.5
WRBrandin Cooks61.5%0.0%000
WRDevaughn Vele46.2%33.3%017.3
WRMason Tipton0.0%0.0%000
WRTrey Palmer0.0%0.0%000
New Orleans RBs: 
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Alvin Kamara583.3%11109.1
Kendre Miller116.7%010-0.1
Devin Neal00.0%0000
Velus Jones Jr.00.0%0000
  • While the Seahawks have had to defend the red zone at a top-five rate so far this season, they’ve been a top-10 team in limiting offensive success (25.9%), making them a tougher matchup this week.
  • Juwan Johnson has been the team’s most effective offensive weapon in the red zone through two weeks, thanks to a strong target and route rate once the team gets into scoring position, and might be the best Saints option in this more difficult matchup.

New York Giants

  • Week 3 opponent: Kansas City Chiefs
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 14 (26th)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 60.0% (29th)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 44.4% (T-23rd)
New York WR/TEs: 
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TETheo Johnson72.2%23.1%001.1
TEDaniel Bellinger16.7%33.3%002.4
TEChris Manhertz5.6%0.0%000
TEThomas Fidone II0.0%0.0%000
WRMalik Nabers94.4%17.6%000.8
WRDarius Slayton94.4%0.0%000
WRWan'Dale Robinson83.3%13.3%000
WRBeaux Collins0.0%0.0%000
WRGunner Olszewski0.0%0.0%000
WRJalin Hyatt0.0%0.0%000
WRXavier Gipson0.0%0.0%000
New York RBs: 
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Cam Skattebo675.0%1316.8
Tyrone Tracy00.0%0900
Devin Singletary00.0%0400
  • The Chiefs' red-zone defense has allowed a 50.0% overall offensive success rate through two weeks this season, and it could be an area where the Giants can take advantage this week.
  • The run game, specifically, becomes interesting as Skattebo has taken all of the backfield carries in the red zone this season and should the Giants get there this week, he stands a good chance to find the end zone for the second-straight week.

New York Jets

  • Week 3 opponent: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 18 (T-17th)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 55.6% (T-26th)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 12.5% (T-4th)
New York WR/TEs: 
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TEMason Taylor40.0%50.0%001.5
TEJeremy Ruckert40.0%50.0%017.5
TEStone Smartt0.0%0.0%000
TEJelani Woods0.0%0.0%000
WRGarrett Wilson100.0%0.0%000
WRTyler Johnson80.0%0.0%000
WRArian Smith40.0%0.0%000
WRJosh Reynolds40.0%0.0%000
WRAllen Lazard20.0%0.0%000
WRIsaiah Williams0.0%0.0%000
New York RBs: 
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Braelon Allen440.0%1217
Breece Hall220.0%0100.6
Isaiah Davis110.0%0000.3
Kene Nwangwu00.0%0000
  • Tampa Bay has done a nice job limiting offensive success in the red zone so far this season, specifically limiting touchdowns, which could limit the Jets’ offensive output even more this week.
  • The Jets offense is likely in for a tougher week without Justin Fields at quarterback and in a more difficult matchup. It will be difficult to trust either Jets running back to find the end zone, considering the matchup and shared workload.

Philadelphia Eagles

  • Week 3 opponent: Los Angeles Rams
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 10 (29th)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 12.5% (2nd)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 50.0% (T-26th)
Philadelphia WR/TEs: 
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TEDallas Goedert60.0%0.0%000
TEGrant Calcaterra20.0%0.0%000
TEKylen Granson20.0%0.0%000
TECameron Latu0.0%0.0%000
WRDeVonta Smith100.0%0.0%000
WRA.J. Brown100.0%0.0%000
WRJahan Dotson80.0%0.0%000
WRJohn Metchie III20.0%0.0%000
WRDarius Cooper0.0%0.0%000
Philadelphia RBs: 
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Saquon Barkley777.8%24116
Tank Bigsby111.1%0100.1
AJ Dillon111.1%0100.6
Will Shipley00.0%0000
  • The Rams defense has spent a below-average amount of time in the red zone so far this season, but it will face a tougher opponent this week.
  • The Eagles passing offense in the red zone so far this season has resulted in zero targets for the team’s tight end and wide receivers. Eventually, that will have to change, but it’s a little discouraging that it hasn’t been a big part of the team’s game plan so far in 2025.

Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Week 3 opponent: New England Patriots
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 5 (32nd)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 50.0% (T-22nd)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 100% (T-31st)
Pittsburgh WR/TEs: 
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TEDarnell Washington66.7%0.0%000
TEJonnu Smith50.0%33.3%017.3
TEPat Freiermuth50.0%33.3%000
TEConnor Heyward0.0%0.0%000
WRD.K. Metcalf100.0%16.7%017.2
WRCalvin Austin III83.3%20.0%018.8
WRBen Skowronek16.7%0.0%000
WRRoman Wilson0.0%0.0%000
WRScott Miller0.0%0.0%000
Pittsburgh RBs: 
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Jaylen Warren787.5%1319.7
Kenneth Gainwell112.5%0200.1
Kaleb Johnson00.0%0000
  • No team has spent less time defending the red zone so far this season than the Patriots; however, they’ve allowed two touchdowns out of their five defensive snaps played in that area of the field so far.
  • Jaylen Warren is getting the large majority of looks in the red zone and has found early success with a strong chance to do so again this week in a relatively favorable matchup.

San Francisco 49ers

  • Week 3 opponent: Arizona Cardinals
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 28 (3rd)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 33.3% (T-13th)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 25.0% (T-11th)
San Francisco WR/TEs: 
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TEJake Tonges52.9%22.2%019.3
TELuke Farrell29.4%20.0%018.1
TEGeorge Kittle11.8%50.0%017.5
TEBrayden Willis0.0%0.0%000
WRRicky Pearsall94.1%6.3%000
WRRussell Gage70.6%0.0%000
WRJauan Jennings64.7%18.2%000
WRMarquez Valdes-Scantling35.3%0.0%000
WRKendrick Bourne17.6%0.0%000
WRSkyy Moore0.0%0.0%000
WRJordan Watkins0.0%0.0%000
San Francisco RBs: 
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Christian McCaffrey9100.0%117512.9
Isaac Guerendo00.0%0000
Jordan James00.0%0000
Brian Robinson00.0%0000
  • The Cardinals have spent a decent amount of time defending the red zone and so far have been above average in terms of limiting offensive success (32.1%).
  • The 49ers offense has several question marks, but Christian McCaffrey is not one of them, as he’s dominated the backfield red-zone opportunities and will always be a strong bet to score given his usage, even in tougher matchups.

Seattle Seahawks

  • Week 3 opponent: New Orleans Saints
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 15 (T-24th)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 50.0% (T-22nd)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 20.0% (T-9th)
Seattle WR/TEs: 
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TEAJ Barner60.0%33.3%117.9
TEEric Saubert40.0%0.0%000
TEElijah Arroyo40.0%50.0%000
TENick Kallerup0.0%0.0%000
WRJaxon Smith-Njigba80.0%0.0%000
WRCooper Kupp80.0%0.0%000
WRTory Horton40.0%0.0%000
WRJake Bobo20.0%0.0%000
WRCody White0.0%0.0%000
WRDareke Young0.0%0.0%000
Seattle RBs: 
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Zach Charbonnet650.0%1307
Kenneth Walker III541.7%1209.3
George Holani00.0%0000
  • The Saints' red-zone defense has struggled defending the pass in that area of the field, allowing four passing touchdowns so far, which is tied for the second most on the year.
  • Seattle’s top options, Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Cooper Kupp, have yet to be targeted in the red zone, but in a favorable passing matchup, they should have a shot to get on the board this week against the Saints.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Week 3 opponent: New York Jets
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 21 (12th)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 55.6% (T-26th)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 41.7% (18th)
Tampa Bay WR/TEs: 
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TECade Otton75.0%16.7%001.5
TEPayne Durham12.5%0.0%000
TEDevin Culp0.0%0.0%000
TEKo Kieft0.0%0.0%000
WRSterling Shepard100.0%0.0%000
WREmeka Egbuka100.0%25.0%018.5
WRMike Evans87.5%42.9%002.1
WRRyan Miller12.5%100.0%019
WRKameron Johnson0.0%0.0%000
WRChris Godwin0.0%0.0%000
WRTez Johnson0.0%0.0%000
Tampa Bay RBs: 
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Bucky Irving250.0%1518.2
Rachaad White250.0%1206.3
Sean Tucker00.0%0000
Josh Williams00.0%0000
  • The Jets have allowed five red-zone touchdowns so far this season, four of which came in goal-to-go situations.
  • Bucky Irving and Rachaad White have split red-zone and goal-to-go carries so far this season. Irving has the greater edge as a receiver, which keeps him as the best bet to score this week, though White could be worth a deeper look considering the matchup.

Tennessee Titans

  • Week 3 opponent: Indianapolis Colts
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 13 (T-27th)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 62.5% (T-30th)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 20.0% (T-9th)
Tennessee WR/TEs: 
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TEChigoziem Okonkwo71.4%0.0%000
TEGunnar Helm28.6%0.0%000
TEDavid Martin-Robinson0.0%0.0%000
WRCalvin Ridley100.0%14.3%000
WRChimere Dike85.7%50.0%001
WRVan Jefferson57.1%0.0%000
WRElic Ayomanor42.9%33.3%017.9
WRTyler Lockett14.3%0.0%000
WRBryce Oliver0.0%0.0%000
Tennessee RBs: 
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Tony Pollard360.0%0501.6
Julius Chestnut240.0%0000.2
Kalel Mullings00.0%0000
Jordan Mims00.0%0000
  • The Colts have struggled to defend the pass while in the red zone this season, allowing three touchdowns through the air so far this season.
  • The Titans' passing game needs all the help they can get early in the season, and interestingly, Dike has been the team’s most involved receiving option in that area of the field. Dike is only a deep-league dart throw, but at least one with encouraging usage to back him up.

Washington Commanders

  • Week 3 opponent: Las Vegas Raiders
  • Total red-zone plays faced: 15 (T-24th)
  • Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 50.0% (T-22nd)
  • Red zone successful run plays allowed: 11.1% (3rd)
Washington WR/TEs: 
PositionWR/TERZ Route RateRZ Target rateRZ CarriesRZ TDsRZ FF PTs
TEZach Ertz100.0%25.0%0216.7
TEJohn Bates12.5%0.0%000
TEBen Sinnott12.5%0.0%000
TEColson Yankoff0.0%0.0%000
WRTerry McLaurin100.0%12.5%001.7
WRDeebo Samuel87.5%14.3%1215.9
WRJaylin Lane37.5%0.0%000
WRLuke McCaffrey37.5%0.0%000
WRNoah Brown25.0%50.0%000
WRChris Moore0.0%0.0%000
Washington RBs: 
RBRZ CarriesRZ Carry RateRZ TDsRZ RoutesRZ TGTsRZ FF PTs
Austin Ekeler233.3%0100.8
Jacory Croskey-Merritt233.3%1007.2
Chris Rodriguez Jr.00.0%0000
Jeremy McNichols00.0%0600
  • The Raiders have been a top-10 red-zone unit in limiting offensive success, specifically against the run, where they’ve allowed no rushing touchdowns and just one successful offensive play on nine snaps.
  • Croskey-Merritt should have complete control of the Commanders' backfield with Austin Ekeler out, though a backup quarterback and already limited opportunities as a team in that area of the field make him a concerning option in a difficult matchup this week.
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