Fantasy Football WR Report: Man, zone coverage performance ahead of NFL Week 12 | Fantasy Football News, Rankings and Projections

• A great bounce-back spot for A.J. Brown: One of the league’s best wide receivers against man coverage should be able to take advantage of the Bills’ susceptible man coverage unit.

• Avoid the Washington receivers when possible this week: The Commanders' receivers have had limited success against man coverage and face one of the best units in the league this week.

• Can the Bengals' wide receivers remain productive without Joe Burrow? Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins both have strong metrics against man coverage and face off against the Steelers' poor man coverage unit in Week 12.

Estimated Reading Time: 28 minutes

This fantasy football WR report is an extension of PFF's wide receiver grades, which also detail how each receiver performs against man and zone coverages.

The additional fantasy-related detail — including opponent coverage tendencies — gives you just one more edge to help you dominate your fantasy leagues this season.

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Arizona Cardinals

Week 12 opponent: Los Angeles Rams

Man coverage rank: 27th (16.7%)
Zone coverage rank: 7th (80.5%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Zach Pascal	10	1	9	88.9%	10.0%	1.9
Greg Dortch	9	1	31	12.9%	11.1%	4.1
Andre Baccellia	1	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Marquise Brown	78	11	135	63.7%	29.5%	42.5
Rondale Moore	60	5	44	68.2%	13.3%	9.4
Michael Wilson	58	1	4	100.0%	6.9%	1.4

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Zach Pascal	51	3	10	-30.0%	17.7%	4.0
Greg Dortch	53	6	47	51.1%	15.1%	10.7
Andre Baccellia	2	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Marquise Brown	306	34	351	75.5%	19.0%	75.1
Rondale Moore	247	21	175	24.0%	13.4%	44.5
Michael Wilson	218	27	431	76.1%	16.5%	82.1

The Rams have played zone coverage at the seventh-highest rate this season.
The Rams have earned a 40.1 coverage grade while in zone coverage, the worst mark in the league.
Rookie Michael Wilson is the only Cardinals wide receiver to produce an above-average fantasy points per route run figure versus zone (0.38) this season.
Wilson also leads the Cardinals’ wide receiver in receiving grade versus zone (75.3) by a significant margin.
Wilson’s target rate is much higher versus zone than man, as well, so if he plays this week, he stands out as a potential deeper league play to target.

♦ Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages

Atlanta Falcons

Week 12 opponent: New Orleans Saints

Man coverage rank: 4th (35.4%)
Zone coverage rank: 30th (62.6%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Damiere Byrd	3	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Mack Hollins	26	2	16	81.3%	11.5%	3.6
KhaDarel Hodge	22	4	86	52.3%	27.3%	12.6
Van Jefferson	51	1	8	75.0%	7.8%	1.8
Scott Miller	13	0	0	0.0%	7.7%	0.0
Drake London	49	6	73	84.9%	28.6%	25.3

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Damiere Byrd	9	0	0	0.0%	22.2%	0.0
Mack Hollins	118	15	231	75.8%	20.3%	38.1
KhaDarel Hodge	97	7	113	72.6%	9.3%	18.3
Van Jefferson	212	12	143	93.0%	11.8%	26.3
Scott Miller	68	7	76	71.1%	11.8%	26.6
Drake London	231	34	401	75.1%	19.9%	74.1

The Saints have played man coverage at a top-five rate.
New Orleans has allowed a first down or touchdown on just 33.7% of man coverage snaps — the fourth-best mark in the league.
The Saints have also allowed just 6.5 yards per coverage target, which is the sixth-best mark in the league.
Drake London leads the team in target rate (29%) versus man coverage — a significant increase from his target rate against zone (19.9%).
As a result, London ranks among the top 20 wide receivers in fantasy points per route run against man coverage (0.52) this season.

♦ Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages

Baltimore Ravens

Week 12 opponent: Los Angeles Chargers

Man coverage rank: 21st (20.3%)
Zone coverage rank: 12th (77.9%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Odell Beckham Jr.	52	6	148	61.5%	28.9%	26.8
Nelson Agholor	62	7	139	53.2%	17.7%	38.9
Laquon Treadwell	3	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Devin Duvernay	23	1	-2	100.0%	13.0%	0.8
Tylan Wallace	1	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Rashod Bateman	67	7	79	79.7%	17.9%	14.9
Zay Flowers	107	14	150	36.7%	23.4%	29.0

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Odell Beckham Jr.	142	18	226	62.8%	18.3%	46.6
Nelson Agholor	136	12	122	78.7%	10.3%	24.2
Laquon Treadwell	2	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Devin Duvernay	41	3	20	10.0%	14.6%	5.0
Tylan Wallace	3	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Rashod Bateman	139	13	136	88.2%	13.7%	32.6
Zay Flowers	243	39	438	61.2%	18.5%	88.8

The Chargers play zone coverage at an above-average rate.
They have given up an explosive play on 17.2% of coverage snaps while in zone, the third-worst mark in the NFL.
The Chargers have also allowed 7.52 yards per coverage snap, which is the worst mark in the league.
Zay Flowers leads the Ravens' wide receivers with 0.37 fantasy points per route run (tied for 40th).
Odell Beckham doesn’t necessarily have the best playing time, averaging just 46% of routes run for the team over the past two weeks, but he has earned a similar target rate as Flowers against zone and is starting to have more success, earning 0.33 fantasy points per route run against zone (tied for 56th) on the year.

♦ Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages

Buffalo Bills

Week 12 opponent: Philadelphia Eagles

Man coverage rank: 12th (27.2%)
Zone coverage rank: 21st (72.2%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Stefon Diggs	122	21	246	69.9%	27.1%	69.6
Trent Sherfield	31	2	14	14.3%	6.5%	3.4
Gabe Davis	120	8	125	70.4%	13.3%	20.5
Khalil Shakir	55	7	80	55.0%	16.4%	21.0
Deonte Harty	22	0	0	0.0%	9.1%	0.0

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Stefon Diggs	275	56	649	66.9%	27.3%	138.9
Trent Sherfield	70	5	39	38.5%	12.9%	8.9
Gabe Davis	266	25	365	75.3%	13.9%	91.5
Khalil Shakir	107	15	283	53.7%	15.0%	49.3
Deonte Harty	71	13	113	37.2%	23.9%	30.3

The Eagles have played a league-average rate of both man and zone coverage this season.
Philadelphia has allowed a first down or touchdown on just 34.5% of man coverage snaps (fifth best) and 6.7 yards allowed per coverage target (tied for seventh best).
Philadelphia’s zone defense is more susceptible to fantasy production, allowing a first down or a touchdown on 36.7% of snaps (10th worst).
Philadelphia is surrendering an explosive play on 13.9% of zone coverage snaps, which is the 11th-worst mark in the league.
Khalil Shakir has been one of the league’s most efficient receivers as of late, and a lot of that damage has been done against zone coverage. He is averaging 0.46 fantasy points per route run against zone, which is tied for the 16th-best mark among wide receivers.
Shakir could continue to be a strong deep play this week against the Eagles, who are allowing the most fantasy points per game to the wide receiver position.

♦ Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages

Carolina Panthers

Week 12 opponent: Tennessee Titans

Man coverage rank: 16th (23.0%)
Zone coverage rank: 16th (75.8%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Adam Thielen	101	25	262	53.8%	30.7%	69.2
DJ Chark Jr.	76	7	98	86.7%	15.8%	22.8
Laviska Shenault Jr.	11	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Ihmir Smith-Marsette	1	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Terrace Marshall Jr.	36	0	0	0.0%	8.3%	0.0
Jonathan Mingo	81	5	72	55.6%	13.6%	12.2
Mike Strachan	5	1	45	84.4%	20.0%	5.5

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Adam Thielen	311	51	464	67.0%	20.9%	103.4
DJ Chark Jr.	210	10	131	74.0%	9.1%	35.1
Laviska Shenault Jr.	34	8	45	-66.7%	23.5%	12.5
Ihmir Smith-Marsette	10	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Terrace Marshall Jr.	162	18	134	64.2%	16.1%	31.4
Jonathan Mingo	254	19	154	64.9%	15.0%	34.4
Mike Strachan	8	0	0	0.0%	12.5%	0.0

The Titans have played a league-average rate of both man and zone coverage.
Tennessee has allowed 9.6 yards per coverage target and a 20.2% explosive play rate in man — among the worst figures in the league.
The Titans are also a bottom-five defense in success rate (44.0%) and a bottom-10 unit in yards allowed per coverage target (8.2) while in zone coverage.
Adam Thielen ranks just 57th in fantasy points per route run against zone (0.33) but eighth in that regard against man (0.69).
Thielen has earned a strong enough target rate against zone (21%), with that rate being much higher against man (31%), so this should be considered a favorable matchup this week.

♦ Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages

Chicago Bears

Week 12 opponent: Minnesota Vikings

Man coverage rank: 26th (17.6%)
Zone coverage rank: 6th (81.0%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Trent Taylor	7	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Velus Jones Jr.	2	0	0	0.0%	50.0%	0.0
Equanimeous St. Brown	17	1	21	95.2%	5.9%	3.1
Darnell Mooney	68	4	73	17.8%	13.2%	11.3
DJ Moore	81	12	336	51.5%	24.7%	57.6
Tyler Scott	30	3	17	58.8%	20.0%	4.7

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Trent Taylor	25	0	0	0.0%	4.0%	0.0
Velus Jones Jr.	17	3	9	33.3%	23.5%	3.9
Equanimeous St. Brown	42	3	23	95.7%	9.5%	5.3
Darnell Mooney	252	19	272	65.8%	10.3%	52.2
DJ Moore	300	47	556	61.7%	19.7%	126.6
Tyler Scott	122	7	64	92.2%	10.7%	13.4

The Vikings play zone coverage at a top-10 rate.
Minnesota has allowed 9.3 yards per reception in zone coverage, tied for the fourth-best mark in the league.
Minnesota has also allowed an explosive play on just 11.3% of zone coverage snaps, the ninth-best mark.
DJ Moore is by far the best Chicago wide receiver in fantasy points per route run against both man (0.71) and zone (0.42), and he is the only one seeing the playing time and target rate to be trusted in fantasy lineups again this week in a tougher matchup for the secondary Chicago receiving options.

♦ Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages

Cincinnati Bengals

Week 12 opponent: Pittsburgh Steelers

Man coverage rank: 6th (31.9%)
Zone coverage rank: 26th (66.9%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Tyler Boyd	99	10	102	54.9%	18.2%	26.2
Kwamie Lassiter II	1	1	2	-100.0%	100.0%	1.2
Trenton Irwin	46	3	34	41.2%	13.0%	6.4
Stanley Morgan	1	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Charlie Jones	1	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Tee Higgins	63	9	94	60.6%	28.6%	30.4
Ja'Marr Chase	106	16	148	52.7%	20.8%	54.8
Andrei Iosivas	10	0	0	0.0%	10.0%	0.0

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Tyler Boyd	289	37	337	55.2%	16.3%	76.7
Kwamie Lassiter II	1	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Trenton Irwin	134	13	157	70.1%	11.9%	34.7
Stanley Morgan	2	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Charlie Jones	3	1	6	-16.7%	66.7%	1.6
Tee Higgins	169	18	234	66.7%	18.3%	41.4
Shedrick Jackson	2	0	0	0.0%	50.0%	0.0
Ja'Marr Chase	306	55	685	53.3%	26.1%	135.5
Andrei Iosivas	39	4	23	104.3%	12.8%	18.3

The Steelers deploy man coverage at the sixth-highest rate in the league.
Pittsburgh has earned just a 50.3 team coverage grade while in man coverage, which ranks 28th.
The Steelers have allowed an 18.4% explosive play rate and 14.3 yards per reception in man coverage — both of which are bottom-five marks.
The Bengals are going through a significant change at quarterback with Joe Burrow done for the year, which is expected to hurt the team’s receiving options.
Ja’Marr Chase (0.52) and Tee Higgins (0.48) rank among the top 30 wide receivers in fantasy points per route run against man, with Higgins even leading the team in target rate (29%).
This could be a positive matchup for Jake Browning and the Bengals' wide receivers to get off on the right foot in the first full week without Burrow at the helm.

♦ Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages

Cleveland Browns

Week 12 opponent: Denver Broncos

Man coverage rank: 18th (22.3%)
Zone coverage rank: 15th (76.3%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Marquise Goodwin	7	0	0	0.0%	28.6%	0.0
Amari Cooper	72	13	155	83.9%	25.0%	34.5
Donovan Peoples-Jones	44	1	29	93.1%	11.4%	3.9
Elijah Moore	72	9	86	48.8%	19.4%	17.6
Cedric Tillman	34	1	5	80.0%	14.7%	1.5
David Bell	8	1	5	80.0%	12.5%	1.5

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Marquise Goodwin	46	3	10	10.0%	19.6%	4.0
Amari Cooper	285	32	594	76.9%	20.0%	97.4
James Proche II	2	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Elijah Moore	270	31	288	67.0%	17.4%	65.8
Cedric Tillman	86	2	5	0.0%	3.5%	2.5
David Bell	24	3	28	32.1%	25.0%	5.8

The Broncos have played a league-average rate of both man and zone coverage.
Denver has allowed 8.8 yards per coverage target and 7.43 yards per coverage snap while in zone coverage. Both are the second-worst marks in the league.
Denver has also allowed a first down or a touchdown on 39.2% of zone coverage snaps and an explosive play on 17.8% — both bottom-three marks in the league.
Amari Cooper leads the Browns in fantasy points per route run against man (0.48) and zone (0.34).

♦ Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages

Dallas Cowboys

Week 12 opponent: Washington Commanders

Man coverage rank: 9th (29.7%)
Zone coverage rank: 24th (68.8%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Brandin Cooks	88	10	152	63.8%	13.6%	37.2
Michael Gallup	86	7	95	54.7%	11.6%	16.5
KaVontae Turpin	12	4	42	71.4%	50.0%	14.2
CeeDee Lamb	102	26	414	64.5%	34.3%	85.4
Jalen Tolbert	42	6	45	60.0%	21.4%	10.5
Jalen Brooks	9	1	7	85.7%	11.1%	1.7

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Brandin Cooks	191	19	228	81.6%	16.2%	47.8
Michael Gallup	177	20	249	77.1%	19.2%	50.9
KaVontae Turpin	39	5	37	45.9%	15.4%	14.7
CeeDee Lamb	256	48	599	65.3%	23.4%	119.9
Jalen Tolbert	116	8	89	89.9%	13.8%	22.9
Jalen Brooks	17	3	32	21.9%	17.7%	6.2

The Commanders have played man coverage at a top-10 rate.
Washington has managed a 56.0% defensive success rate while in man, allowed an explosive play on just 12.3% of man coverage snaps and let up a first down or a touchdown on just 37.3% of man coverage snaps. All are among the 10 best marks in the league.
CeeDee Lamb has dominated man coverage this season, producing 0.84 fantasy points per route run versus man (fifth), a 92.2 receiving grade (tied for first) and 3.80 yards per route run (fifth).
Brandin Cooks isn’t seeing a strong target rate against man coverage (14%) and ranks tied for 39th in fantasy points per route run (0.42) against man this season.

♦ Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages

Denver Broncos

Week 12 opponent: Cleveland Browns

Man coverage rank: 1st (44.4%)
Zone coverage rank: 32nd (54.0%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Brandon Johnson	28	3	16	31.3%	14.3%	10.6
Lil'Jordan Humphrey	21	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Courtland Sutton	75	13	173	72.3%	20.0%	36.3
Tre'Quan Smith	2	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Jerry Jeudy	65	7	76	57.9%	12.3%	20.6
Marvin Mims Jr.	35	3	83	59.0%	11.4%	11.3

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Phillip Dorsett	5	0	0	0.0%	20.0%	0.0
David Sills V	2	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Brandon Johnson	95	5	106	78.3%	8.4%	27.6
Lil'Jordan Humphrey	69	5	40	60.0%	10.1%	15.0
Courtland Sutton	248	32	331	85.2%	18.2%	107.1
Tre'Quan Smith	2	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Jerry Jeudy	204	28	353	70.0%	20.1%	63.3
Marvin Mims Jr.	103	10	175	67.4%	13.6%	33.5

The Browns play the highest rate of man coverage in the NFL.
Cleveland has allowed a first down or a touchdown on just 32.3% of man coverage snaps, the second-best mark in the league.
Cleveland’s man coverage defense also owns the second-best defensive success rate (64.5%).
Courtland Sutton is the Broncos' lone wide receiver to have clear success against man coverage this season, accounting for 0.48 fantasy points per route run (tied for 30th) and earning a team-leading 20% target rate, 2.55 yards per route run and 77.2 receiving grade.

♦ Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages

Detroit Lions

Week 12 opponent: Green Bay Packers

Man coverage rank: 23rd (19.9%)
Zone coverage rank: 10th (78.9%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Marvin Jones Jr.	24	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Kalif Raymond	31	2	22	31.8%	9.7%	4.2
Josh Reynolds	68	8	145	69.0%	17.7%	28.5
Antoine Green	9	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Amon-Ra St. Brown	72	16	157	65.0%	27.8%	31.7
Jameson Williams	15	0	0	0.0%	20.0%	0.0

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Marvin Jones Jr.	68	5	34	73.5%	13.2%	8.4
Kalif Raymond	114	19	260	48.5%	21.9%	51.0
Josh Reynolds	221	17	278	75.5%	10.9%	56.8
Donovan Peoples-Jones	176	7	68	70.6%	7.4%	13.8
Antoine Green	41	1	2	50.0%	4.9%	1.2
Dylan Drummond	1	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Amon-Ra St. Brown	258	57	741	60.2%	28.7%	161.1
Jameson Williams	91	10	133	90.2%	18.7%	35.3

The Packers play zone coverage at a top-10 rate.
They are among the 10 best teams at limiting receiving yards, allowing just an 11.0% explosive play rate (sixth best), 7.0 yards per coverage target (seventh best) and 9.7 yards per reception (seventh best).
Amon-Ra St. Brown has earned 0.62 fantasy points per route run against zone coverage, which is the second-best mark in the league.
Jameson Williams is getting more playing time in recent weeks and ranks tied for 32nd in fantasy points per route run (0.39) against zone coverage, which includes both of his receiving touchdowns this season.

♦ Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages

Green Bay Packers

Week 12 opponent: Detroit Lions

Man coverage rank: 13th (25.2%)
Zone coverage rank: 20th (74.4%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Samori Toure	14	0	0	0.0%	7.1%	0.0
Christian Watson	38	4	47	85.1%	21.1%	14.7
Jayden Reed	58	7	104	86.5%	27.6%	29.4
Romeo Doubs	67	5	31	74.2%	13.4%	20.1
Dontayvion Wicks	34	2	40	50.0%	26.5%	12.0
Malik Heath	6	0	0	0.0%	16.7%	0.0

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Samori Toure	47	5	62	90.3%	21.3%	11.2
Christian Watson	172	12	210	62.9%	16.9%	39.0
Jayden Reed	195	25	359	59.9%	16.4%	72.9
Romeo Doubs	244	33	365	78.4%	21.7%	99.5
Dontayvion Wicks	137	18	290	63.8%	16.8%	47.0
Malik Heath	21	1	7	14.3%	23.8%	1.7

The Lions have played a league-average rate of both man and zone coverage.
Detroit has been average to slightly above average in yards allowed per coverage snap in both man and zone.
The Lions have allowed explosive plays at an above-average rate in both man and zone, however.
Jayden Reed is the Packers' leading receiver versus man coverage in target rate (28%) and fantasy points per route run (0.51).
Romeo Doubs is the Packers' leading receiver versus zone coverage in target rate (22%) and fantasy points per route run (0.41).
Both players figure to be the team's best fantasy options again this week.

♦ Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages

Houston Texans

Week 12 opponent: Jacksonville Jaguars

Man coverage rank: 28th (16.0%)
Zone coverage rank: 5th (82.5%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Robert Woods	53	5	56	91.1%	15.1%	10.6
Noah Brown	35	6	143	54.5%	25.7%	20.3
Nico Collins	45	9	191	42.9%	26.7%	34.1
Tank Dell	45	5	107	49.5%	20.0%	27.7
John Metchie III	11	1	14	35.7%	9.1%	2.4
Xavier Hutchinson	9	0	0	0.0%	11.1%	0.0

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Robert Woods	188	23	230	68.7%	22.3%	52.0
Noah Brown	116	15	296	57.1%	15.5%	50.6
Steven Sims	2	2	25	-8.0%	100.0%	4.5
Nico Collins	226	34	505	61.8%	23.0%	102.5
Tank Dell	225	37	552	84.6%	25.8%	116.2
John Metchie III	55	9	109	66.1%	18.2%	19.9
Xavier Hutchinson	37	1	9	77.8%	5.4%	1.9

The Jaguars play zone coverage at a top-five rate.
Jacksonville has been slightly above average at limiting yards per reception (10.3), yards per coverage snap (5.94) and explosive play rate (11.6%).
Tank Dell leads the team in target rate (26%) against zone coverage, which has allowed him to post 0.52 fantasy points per route run (tied for sixth).
Dell has also earned an 87.7 receiving grade (fifth) versus zone, and his 2.88 yards per route run figure is tied for sixth.
Nico Collins (0.45) and Noah Brown (0.44) also rank among the top 25 wide receivers in fantasy points per route run.

♦ Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages

Indianapolis Colts

Week 12 opponent: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Man coverage rank: 14th (23.8%)
Zone coverage rank: 17th (75.2%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Isaiah McKenzie	17	3	44	59.1%	23.5%	7.4
Michael Pittman Jr.	113	21	249	49.8%	25.7%	57.9
Juwann Winfree	3	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Amari Rodgers	2	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Alec Pierce	105	7	140	90.0%	13.3%	21.0
Josh Downs	80	13	149	55.0%	23.8%	33.9

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Isaiah McKenzie	35	8	38	-47.4%	28.6%	11.8
Michael Pittman Jr.	258	45	428	56.5%	24.4%	93.8
Juwann Winfree	7	0	0	0.0%	14.3%	0.0
Amari Rodgers	19	0	0	0.0%	10.5%	0.0
Alec Pierce	241	11	124	75.8%	7.9%	23.4
Josh Downs	201	30	374	56.4%	18.9%	73.4

The Buccaneers play a league-average rate of both man and zone coverage.
Tampa Bay has been around the league average in defensive success rate while in man (50.0%) and zone (46.0%).
Tampa Bay does rank among the five worst teams in explosive play rate allowed while in man (19.1%) and zone (15.8%).
Michael Pittman leads the Colts in target rate (26%), yards per route run (2.20) and fantasy points per route run (0.51) versus man coverage this season.
Josh Downs leads the team in fantasy points per route run (0.37), yards per route run (1.88) and receiving grade (72.4) against zone coverage.

♦ Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages

Jacksonville Jaguars

Week 12 opponent: Houston Texans

Man coverage rank: 22nd (20.0%)
Zone coverage rank: 9th (79.5%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Zay Jones	15	2	19	84.2%	20.0%	3.9
Jamal Agnew	15	0	0	0.0%	6.7%	0.0
Jacob Harris	1	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Christian Kirk	62	10	167	75.4%	29.0%	26.7
Calvin Ridley	61	6	118	89.8%	18.0%	17.8
Elijah Cooks	6	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Tim Jones	16	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Zay Jones	100	10	79	84.8%	18.0%	29.9
Jamal Agnew	92	9	90	67.8%	12.0%	18.0
Jacob Harris	5	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Christian Kirk	282	42	507	66.3%	19.2%	110.7
Calvin Ridley	290	36	456	80.3%	20.0%	105.6
Elijah Cooks	12	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Tim Jones	79	6	31	64.5%	10.1%	9.1
Parker Washington	1	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0

The Texans have played zone coverage at a top-10 rate this season.
Houston’s zone defense has allowed a first down or a touchdown on just 32.0% of plays, the ninth-best mark in the league.
However, they have also allowed an explosive play on 14.1% of zone coverage snaps, tied for the ninth-worst rate, and rank among the 10 worst teams in yards allowed per coverage snap (6.64) and per coverage target (8.1) while in zone.
Calvin Ridley leads the team in target rate (20%), but his 0.36 fantasy points per route run figure ranks tied for 45th among wide receivers.
Christian Kirk continues to have stronger underlying metrics against zone, leading the team in fantasy points per route run (0.39), receiving grade (73.5) and yards per route run (2.08).

♦ Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages

Kansas City Chiefs

Week 12 opponent: Las Vegas Raiders

Man coverage rank: 25th (18.2%)
Zone coverage rank: 8th (79.8%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Richie James	7	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Mecole Hardman Jr.	16	3	28	0.0%	31.3%	5.8
Marquez Valdes-Scantling	71	5	105	64.8%	9.9%	15.5
Kadarius Toney	20	4	53	52.8%	20.0%	9.3
Justin Watson	47	7	151	93.4%	21.3%	22.1
Justyn Ross	12	0	0	0.0%	8.3%	0.0
Skyy Moore	59	5	91	48.4%	17.0%	20.1
Rashee Rice	60	5	42	2.4%	20.0%	21.2

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Richie James	14	1	6	66.7%	21.4%	1.6
Mecole Hardman Jr.	45	6	19	-68.4%	15.6%	7.9
Marquez Valdes-Scantling	223	9	145	77.2%	8.5%	29.5
Kadarius Toney	86	18	86	9.3%	29.1%	32.6
Justin Watson	155	12	178	88.8%	16.8%	35.8
Justyn Ross	30	3	34	85.3%	16.7%	6.4
Skyy Moore	173	12	114	72.8%	11.6%	23.4
Rashee Rice	132	31	378	34.4%	25.0%	80.8

The Raiders have played zone coverage at a top-10 rate.
They are allowing just 9.3 yards per reception in zone — the fourth-best mark in the league — while also surrendering just 5.69 yards per coverage snap in zone, which ranks 10th.
Rashee Rice has earned 0.61 fantasy points per route run against zone — the third-best mark among wide receivers.
Rice is also the clear leader in Kansas City against zone, with an 87.2 receiving grade (sixth) and 3.54 yards per route run (second).

♦ Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages

Las Vegas Raiders

Week 12 opponent: Kansas City Chiefs

Man coverage rank: 7th (30.9%)
Zone coverage rank: 27th (64.6%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Davante Adams	96	17	165	73.3%	38.5%	51.5
De Andre Carter	10	1	5	-40.0%	20.0%	1.5
Kristian Wilkerson	9	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Jakobi Meyers	83	9	95	63.2%	19.3%	30.5
Hunter Renfrow	38	1	7	85.7%	5.3%	1.7
Tre Tucker	36	4	104	86.5%	16.7%	14.4

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Davante Adams	271	47	576	72.0%	25.8%	110.6
De Andre Carter	28	2	31	-22.6%	10.7%	5.1
Kristian Wilkerson	18	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Jakobi Meyers	248	37	417	77.7%	21.4%	96.7
Hunter Renfrow	147	17	164	47.0%	15.7%	33.4
Tre Tucker	84	4	57	91.2%	13.1%	9.7

The Chiefs are playing man coverage at a top-10 rate this season.
Kansas City has allowed an 8.1% explosive play rate while in man coverage, which ranks second in the league.
Kansas City is also allowing just 4.43 yards per coverage snap while in man — the third-best mark in the league.
Davante Adams is the Raiders' clear leader in target rate versus man (39%) — an elite mark to bank on in a tough matchup.
Adams also leads the team in fantasy points per route run (0.54), receiving grade (83.3) and yards per route run (2.55) against man — all of which are top-20 marks among wide receivers.

♦ Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages

Los Angeles Chargers

Week 12 opponent: Baltimore Ravens

Man coverage rank: 10th (28.4%)
Zone coverage rank: 23rd (70.3%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Keenan Allen	121	26	283	61.8%	27.3%	72.3
Alex Erickson	10	1	12	91.7%	10.0%	2.2
Mike Williams	39	7	130	60.8%	28.2%	26.0
Jalen Guyton	19	1	8	62.5%	10.5%	1.8
Keelan Doss	4	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Joshua Palmer	83	12	184	75.5%	18.1%	30.4
Derius Davis	8	3	7	-185.7%	37.5%	3.7
Simi Fehoko	4	1	9	22.2%	25.0%	7.9
Quentin Johnston	71	7	62	77.4%	14.1%	13.2

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Keenan Allen	272	57	728	68.7%	27.6%	153.8
Alex Erickson	29	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Mike Williams	68	12	119	54.6%	20.6%	23.9
Jalen Guyton	43	3	33	69.7%	14.0%	12.3
Keelan Doss	6	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Joshua Palmer	154	11	193	70.5%	14.9%	36.3
Derius Davis	36	8	35	-105.7%	25.0%	11.5
Simi Fehoko	5	0	0	0.0%	20.0%	0.0
Quentin Johnston	172	13	121	53.7%	13.4%	31.1

The Ravens have played man coverage at a top-10 rate.
Baltimore has allowed a first down or a touchdown on just 30.3% of man coverage snaps, the best mark in the league.
The Ravens have also allowed just 5.5 yards per coverage target in man, the second-best mark in the league. Their 59.4% defensive success rate ranks third.
Keenan Allen is the only active Chargers wide receiver who has had success against man coverage, earning 0.60 fantasy points per route run (14th) and an 87.7 receiving grade (fifth).
Quentin Johnston ranks outside of the top 75 in fantasy points per route run (0.19) and receiving grade (60.2) against man coverage.

♦ Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages

Los Angeles Rams

Week 12 opponent: Arizona Cardinals

Man coverage rank: 29th (15.2%)
Zone coverage rank: 4th (83.3%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Demarcus Robinson	1	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Cooper Kupp	48	5	47	63.8%	35.4%	9.7
Ben Skowronek	6	1	10	20.0%	16.7%	2.0
Austin Trammell	2	0	0	0.0%	50.0%	0.0
Tutu Atwell	82	7	113	84.1%	19.5%	18.3
Puka Nacua	80	11	190	43.2%	23.8%	36.0

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Demarcus Robinson	17	3	39	48.7%	17.7%	6.9
Cooper Kupp	123	19	328	64.6%	22.0%	57.8
Ben Skowronek	42	2	23	52.2%	11.9%	10.3
Austin Trammell	29	4	29	-20.7%	17.2%	6.9
Tutu Atwell	258	26	278	75.5%	15.5%	71.8
Puka Nacua	273	58	707	69.3%	28.9%	140.7

The Cardinals have played zone coverage at a top-five rate.
Arizona’s zone coverage unit has allowed 7.07 yards per coverage snap, the third-worst mark in the league.
The Cardinals have also earned a 57.2 coverage grade while in zone, which ranks 29th.
Arizona has also allowed a first down or a touchdown on 41.1% of zone coverage snaps — the worst mark in the league.
Puka Nacua has delivered 0.52 fantasy points per route run and 2.88 yards per route run versus zone coverage, which both rank tied for sixth among wide receivers.
Nacua’s 88.2 receiving grade versus zone coverage is the fourth-best mark in the league.
Cooper Kupp is currently considered questionable after leaving Week 11 with an ankle injury, but he ranks tied for 13th in fantasy points per route run (0.47), tied for 11th in yards per route run (2.68) and 15th in receiving grade (81.5) versus zone coverage this season.

♦ Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages

Miami Dolphins

Week 12 opponent: New York Jets

Man coverage rank: 8th (30.6%)
Zone coverage rank: 25th (67.8%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Tyreek Hill	70	14	159	61.0%	28.6%	35.9
Robbie Chosen	3	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Chase Claypool	25	0	0	0.0%	8.0%	0.0
River Cracraft	9	2	14	78.6%	22.2%	9.4
Braxton Berrios	39	6	60	68.3%	20.5%	12.0
Cedrick Wilson Jr.	12	2	32	100.0%	25.0%	17.2
Erik Ezukanma	2	0	0	0.0%	50.0%	0.0
Jaylen Waddle	62	9	172	57.0%	25.8%	38.2

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Tyreek Hill	231	65	1062	63.6%	36.8%	219.2
Robbie Chosen	36	3	107	72.0%	11.1%	19.7
Chase Claypool	77	5	66	81.8%	15.6%	17.6
River Cracraft	39	4	73	58.9%	15.4%	11.3
Braxton Berrios	138	14	134	64.2%	13.0%	33.4
Cedrick Wilson Jr.	110	10	139	78.4%	14.6%	23.9
Erik Ezukanma	11	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Jaylen Waddle	197	35	405	57.0%	25.9%	81.5

The Jets have played man coverage at a top-10 rate in 2023.
They have been a top-10 team at limiting receiving yards, allowing 5.29 yards per coverage snap (ninth best).
The Jets have allowed 11.5 yards per reception, which is the 12th-best mark in the league.
Jaylen Waddle leads the Dolphins in fantasy points per route run against man coverage (0.62), tying for the 12th-best mark in the league.
Tyreek Hill has earned 0.51 fantasy points per route run against man (tied for 22nd), while his 85.7 receiving grade leads the team and ranks seventh overall against man.

♦ Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages

Minnesota Vikings

Week 12 opponent: Chicago Bears

Man coverage rank: 20th (21.5%)
Zone coverage rank: 13th (77.4%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
K.J. Osborn	73	9	116	61.2%	16.4%	20.6
Trishton Jackson	9	0	0	0.0%	11.1%	0.0
Brandon Powell	57	5	63	57.1%	15.8%	11.3
N'Keal Harry	1	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Justin Jefferson	31	8	136	64.0%	38.7%	27.6
Jalen Nailor	11	1	16	18.8%	9.1%	2.6
Jordan Addison	88	9	171	61.4%	18.2%	44.1

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
K.J. Osborn	288	24	268	64.9%	13.2%	62.8
Trishton Jackson	43	2	9	22.2%	7.0%	2.9
Brandon Powell	138	17	161	72.0%	15.2%	39.1
N'Keal Harry	6	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Justin Jefferson	168	28	435	68.5%	23.8%	83.5
Jalen Nailor	28	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Jordan Addison	303	39	475	74.7%	17.8%	110.5

The Bears have played a league-average rate of both man and zone coverage.
Chicago has recorded just a 44.3% defensive success rate in zone and a 47.1% rate in man, both of which are among the 10 worst marks in the league.
Chicago has also given up a first down or a touchdown on 49.3% of man coverage snaps, the second-worst mark.
Should Justin Jefferson return this week, it’s a great matchup for him to do significant damage. He ranks tied for first among wide receivers in fantasy points per route run (0.89) versus man and tied for ninth in that regard versus zone (0.50).
Jordan Addison has found more success against man coverage, including averaging 0.50 fantasy points per route run (tied for 27th) compared to 0.36 versus zone, despite near identical target rates.

♦ Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages

New England Patriots

Week 12 opponent: New York Giants

Man coverage rank: 3rd (35.6%)
Zone coverage rank: 29th (63.4%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
DeVante Parker	59	6	52	78.8%	15.3%	11.2
Ty Montgomery	5	1	-2	350.0%	40.0%	0.8
JuJu Smith-Schuster	55	12	78	46.2%	32.7%	25.8
Kendrick Bourne	66	7	84	51.2%	22.7%	33.4
Jalen Reagor	30	1	11	81.8%	20.0%	2.1
Tyquan Thornton	6	0	0	0.0%	33.3%	0.0
Demario Douglas	54	10	103	37.9%	29.6%	20.3
Kayshon Boutte	14	1	11	81.8%	14.3%	2.1

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
DeVante Parker	140	9	106	64.2%	11.4%	19.6
Ty Montgomery	17	3	25	48.0%	35.3%	5.5
JuJu Smith-Schuster	106	10	71	76.1%	14.2%	17.1
Kendrick Bourne	169	30	322	48.1%	23.7%	68.2
Jalen Reagor	43	1	11	63.6%	4.7%	2.1
Tyquan Thornton	25	3	15	60.0%	20.0%	4.5
Demario Douglas	128	20	258	44.2%	21.9%	45.8
Kayshon Boutte	46	0	0	0.0%	6.5%	0.0

The Giants play man coverage at the third-highest rate in the NFL.
They are a bottom-10 man coverage defense in yards allowed per coverage snap (6.91) and explosive play rate allowed (17.9%).
Demario Douglas, as the Patriots' lone receiving option worth considering this week, has earned a team-leading 79.2 receiving grade (16th) to go along with an encouraging 30% target rate.
This is a great matchup for Douglas to take advantage of as a strong fantasy option in deeper leagues this week.

♦ Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages

New Orleans Saints

Week 12 opponent: Atlanta Falcons

Man coverage rank: 24th (19.7%)
Zone coverage rank: 11th (78.5%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Michael Thomas	67	11	109	82.6%	31.3%	27.9
Keith Kirkwood	6	0	0	0.0%	16.7%	0.0
Lynn Bowden	5	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Rashid Shaheed	67	6	120	84.2%	14.9%	24.0
A.T. Perry	8	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Chris Olave	75	14	232	68.5%	32.0%	49.2

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Michael Thomas	257	28	339	74.3%	16.3%	61.9
Kirk Merritt	2	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Keith Kirkwood	33	1	1	100.0%	9.1%	1.1
Lynn Bowden	32	1	12	83.3%	6.3%	2.2
Rashid Shaheed	240	25	405	72.1%	15.4%	77.5
A.T. Perry	45	2	38	81.6%	8.9%	11.8
Chris Olave	300	42	425	66.6%	23.3%	90.5

The Falcons have played zone coverage at an above-average rate.
Atlanta’s zone defense has generated a 51.7% defensive success rate, the fifth-best mark in the league.
Atlanta has also been average at limiting explosive plays (16th) per zone coverage snap and at limiting overall yards per zone coverage snap (17th).
Chris Olave leads the team with a 74.4 receiving grade and 1.61 yards per route run.

♦ Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages

New York Giants

Week 12 opponent: New England Patriots

Man coverage rank: 5th (33.3%)
Zone coverage rank: 28th (63.7%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Sterling Shepard	22	3	11	45.5%	27.3%	10.1
Darius Slayton	95	11	182	73.6%	20.0%	35.2
Parris Campbell	35	2	8	100.0%	8.6%	2.8
Isaiah Hodgins	59	2	40	45.0%	13.6%	6.0
Wan'Dale Robinson	60	7	64	39.1%	15.0%	13.4
Jalin Hyatt	57	2	20	80.0%	8.8%	4.0

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Sterling Shepard	38	3	22	63.6%	15.8%	5.2
Darius Slayton	261	19	236	55.1%	10.7%	42.6
Parris Campbell	102	17	98	31.6%	22.6%	26.8
Isaiah Hodgins	138	12	102	68.6%	10.9%	28.2
Wan'Dale Robinson	152	25	175	50.3%	19.7%	48.5
Jalin Hyatt	176	10	201	88.6%	9.7%	30.1

The Patriots have played man coverage at a top-five rate.
New England’s man defense has been average to above average in first downs and touchdowns allowed per play (11th), yards allowed per coverage target (16th) and explosive play rate allowed (13th).
Darius Slay ton leads the team in receiving grade (72.0), yards per route run (1.88) and fantasy points per route run (0.37) against man coverage.
Slayton’s 20% target rate and team-leading metrics against man could be enough to make him a deep league flex option, if needed.

♦ Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages

New York Jets

Week 12 opponent: Miami Dolphins

Man coverage rank: 17th (22.9%)
Zone coverage rank: 18th (74.8%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Randall Cobb	48	1	12	8.3%	10.4%	2.2
Irvin Charles	4	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Allen Lazard	89	8	90	87.8%	14.6%	17.0
Malik Taylor	12	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Garrett Wilson	103	18	173	82.7%	28.2%	35.3
Xavier Gipson	24	1	24	58.3%	8.3%	3.4
Jason Brownlee	2	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Randall Cobb	79	2	8	87.5%	8.9%	2.8
Irvin Charles	6	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Allen Lazard	254	12	200	78.0%	11.0%	38.0
Malik Taylor	28	2	13	38.5%	14.3%	3.3
Garrett Wilson	281	39	478	63.2%	24.6%	98.8
Xavier Gipson	108	4	43	69.8%	6.5%	8.3
Jason Brownlee	11	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0

The Dolphins have deployed both man and zone coverage at league-average rates this season.
Miami's defense is a bottom-10 unit in yards allowed per coverage snap (7.49) and explosive play rate allowed (18.2%) from man coverage.
Miami has been average to slightly above average as a zone coverage unit, depending on the sampled metric.
Garrett Wilson’s target rates versus man and zone make him a fine option, but his limited fantasy success, earning just 0.35 fantasy points per route run versus zone (tied for 49th) and 0.34 versus man (tied for 62nd), keep him from being too exciting in a neutral matchup.

♦ Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages

Philadelphia Eagles

Week 12 opponent: Buffalo Bills

Man coverage rank: 15th (23.6%)
Zone coverage rank: 19th (74.6%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Julio Jones	16	2	5	-60.0%	12.5%	2.5
Britain Covey	1	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Olamide Zaccheaus	56	0	0	0.0%	5.4%	0.0
A.J. Brown	99	26	365	66.3%	37.4%	86.5
DeVonta Smith	107	12	149	78.5%	14.0%	38.9
Quez Watkins	21	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Julio Jones	40	2	11	100.0%	7.5%	9.1
Britain Covey	10	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Olamide Zaccheaus	154	6	87	72.4%	5.8%	20.7
A.J. Brown	260	42	648	68.8%	21.5%	118.8
DeVonta Smith	273	36	483	78.9%	19.1%	96.3
Quez Watkins	45	4	21	-23.8%	11.1%	6.1

The Bills have played a league-average rate of both man and zone coverage.
Buffalo’s coverage weakness has come in man, where the team has allowed 10.4 yards per coverage target, a first down or a touchdown on 60.7% of plays and a 24.1% explosive play rate — all of which are the worst marks in the league.
The Bills have been a top-10 team in yards allowed per coverage target (7.0) and explosive play rate allowed (11.6%) while in zone.
A.J. Brown has earned 0.87 fantasy points per route run against man coverage, which is the third-best mark among wide receivers. His 92.2 receiving grade is tied for first.
Brown should be in a great spot to bounce back after his worst fantasy performance of the season in Week 11.

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Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 12 opponent: Cincinnati Bengals

Man coverage rank: 11th (28.3%)
Zone coverage rank: 22nd (71.4%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Allen Robinson II	55	3	24	87.5%	10.9%	5.4
Diontae Johnson	29	4	109	42.2%	31.0%	14.9
Miles Boykin	1	1	5	100.0%	100.0%	1.5
Calvin Austin III	35	3	85	52.9%	20.0%	17.5
George Pickens	63	5	136	48.5%	25.4%	30.6

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Allen Robinson II	217	19	150	75.3%	12.0%	34.0
Diontae Johnson	151	22	226	71.2%	25.2%	50.6
Miles Boykin	17	1	6	83.3%	11.8%	1.6
Calvin Austin III	139	12	80	57.5%	13.7%	20.0
Gunner Olszewski	3	1	0	0.0%	33.3%	1.0
George Pickens	273	32	468	71.4%	18.3%	84.8

The Bengals have played an above-average rate of man coverage this season.
They have allowed just 5.40 yards per man coverage snap and a first down or touchdown on 38.5% of man coverage snaps — both of which are top-10 marks.
Diontae Johnson (0.51) and George Pickens (0.49) rank inside the top 30 in fantasy points per route run against man coverage (minimum of 25 routes run).
Both players are also seeing a much higher target rate against man coverage, which could allow for at least one to emerge with a strong fantasy performance.
Diontae Johnson leads the Steelers in yards per route run (3.76) and receiving grade (75.8) versus man coverage.

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San Francisco 49ers

Week 12 opponent: Seattle Seahawks

Man coverage rank: 30th (13.6%)
Zone coverage rank: 2nd (85.5%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Ray-Ray McCloud III	36	0	0	0.0%	2.8%	0.0
Jauan Jennings	53	4	73	69.9%	15.1%	11.3
Deebo Samuel	61	3	52	69.2%	16.4%	14.2
Brandon Aiyuk	73	15	320	61.6%	31.5%	65.0
Ronnie Bell	8	1	9	100.0%	25.0%	7.9

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Willie Snead IV	5	1	9	66.7%	20.0%	1.9
Chris Conley	1	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Ray-Ray McCloud III	59	8	90	33.3%	15.3%	17.0
Jauan Jennings	113	9	116	76.7%	11.5%	20.6
Deebo Samuel	130	24	343	45.8%	21.5%	58.3
Brandon Aiyuk	171	28	511	80.6%	21.6%	85.1
Ronnie Bell	30	3	42	73.8%	10.0%	7.2

The Seahawks play zone coverage at the second-highest rate in the NFL.
Seattle has been just above the league average in yards allowed per coverage snap (5.99) and first down plus touchdown rate allowed (33.9%) while in zone.
Brandon Aiyuk has produced 0.50 fantasy points per route run (tied for ninth) with 3.14 yards per route run (third) and a 91.2 receiving grade (second).
Deebo Samuel should be in for a much better fantasy performance against a zone-heavy team, a scheme against which he’s found more success this season.
Samuel has earned an 81.6 receiving grade versus zone (14th) with 2.73 yards per route run (10th) and 0.45 fantasy points per route run (tied for 18th).

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Seattle Seahawks

Week 12 opponent: San Francisco 49ers

Man coverage rank: 19th (22.0%)
Zone coverage rank: 14th (76.7%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Tyler Lockett	247	41	459	70.2%	22.7%	98.9
D'Wayne Eskridge	5	0	0	0.0%	20.0%	0.0
D.K. Metcalf	230	30	500	68.6%	18.7%	92.0
Cody Thompson	5	1	10	70.0%	20.0%	2.0
Jake Bobo	89	10	128	78.1%	14.6%	28.8
Dareke Young	1	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Jaxon Smith-Njigba	202	27	255	36.1%	18.8%	58.5

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Tyler Lockett	77	10	86	86.0%	19.5%	30.6
D'Wayne Eskridge	1	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
D.K. Metcalf	73	10	146	80.8%	31.5%	30.6
Cody Thompson	2	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Jake Bobo	21	3	28	0.0%	14.3%	11.8
Jaxon Smith-Njigba	70	9	110	50.9%	20.0%	26.0

The 49ers play a league-average rate of both man and zone coverage.
San Francisco has been much better in zone coverage, allowing a league-best 8.3 yards per reception.
They have also allowed a first down or a touchdown on just 27.2% of zone coverage snaps, ranking second among defenses.
The 49ers' man coverage defense has been almost the exact opposite, as they’ve allowed 14.4 yards per reception (fourth worst) and a first down or touchdown on 43.5% of man coverage snaps (ninth worst).
D.K. Metcalf leads the Seahawks' wide receivers in yards per route run versus man (1.97) and zone (2.08), as well as fantasy points per route run against both, keeping him in starting lineups.
Tyler Lockett has delivered exactly 0.40 fantasy points against both man (tied for 46th) and zone (tied for 29th) this season and is a fine flex or deep league option this week.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Week 12 opponent: Indianapolis Colts

Man coverage rank: 32nd (9.7%)
Zone coverage rank: 1st (88.5%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Mike Evans	47	10	126	71.4%	36.2%	40.6
Chris Godwin	54	7	91	57.1%	20.4%	22.1
Deven Thompkins	16	1	8	37.5%	12.5%	1.8
Trey Palmer	46	6	57	89.5%	23.9%	17.7
Rakim Jarrett	4	1	3	-133.3%	25.0%	1.3

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Mike Evans	266	38	654	77.8%	22.9%	127.4
Chris Godwin	286	43	470	66.4%	21.3%	90.0
Deven Thompkins	89	13	71	14.1%	21.4%	26.1
Trey Palmer	238	15	153	64.7%	10.5%	36.3
Rakim Jarrett	47	3	57	64.9%	12.8%	8.7

The Colts have played zone coverage at the highest rate in the league.
Indianapolis ranks just slightly below average in yards allowed per reception (10th worst), yards allowed per coverage snap (14th worst) and explosive play rate allowed (12th worst) in zone coverage.
Mike Evans is tied for the 11th-most fantasy points per route run (0.48) against zone coverage while adding 2.96 yards per route run (fifth) and an 82.9 receiving grade (12th).
Chris Godwin has earned a strong 81.0 receiving grade (18th) against zone but ranks outside the top 30 wide receivers in yards per route run (1.94) and fantasy points per route run (0.31).

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Tennessee Titans

Week 12 opponent: Carolina Panthers

Man coverage rank: 31st (12.0%)
Zone coverage rank: 3rd (84.7%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
DeAndre Hopkins	71	12	176	79.0%	32.4%	29.6
Chris Moore	34	3	51	84.3%	11.8%	8.1
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	54	5	67	44.8%	16.7%	17.7
Colton Dowell	2	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0
Kyle Philips	18	2	30	90.0%	27.8%	5.0
Treylon Burks	35	4	24	41.7%	20.0%	6.4

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
DeAndre Hopkins	212	30	474	76.6%	24.1%	101.4
Chris Moore	124	6	188	84.6%	9.7%	24.8
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	162	15	173	71.7%	12.4%	44.3
Colton Dowell	6	0	0	0.0%	16.7%	0.0
Kyle Philips	75	10	139	46.0%	16.0%	23.9
Treylon Burks	84	4	98	83.7%	13.1%	13.8

The Panthers have played zone coverage at the third-highest rate in the league.
Carolina has allowed a first down or a touchdown on 39.4% of zone coverage snaps, the second-worst mark among defenses.
Carolina ranks among the bottom 10 teams in the league in yards allowed per coverage snap (6.48) and explosive play rate allowed (14.1%) while in zone coverage.
DeAndre Hopkins is tied for 11th among wide receivers in fantasy points per route run (0.48) and has generated 2.59 yards per route run (14th) and a 79.5 receiving grade (tied for 20th) against zone coverage this season.
None of the other Titans receivers have earned a starting spot in fantasy lineups this week, even in a favorable matchup.

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Washington Commanders

Week 12 opponent: Dallas Cowboys

Man coverage rank: 2nd (36.5%)
Zone coverage rank: 31st (62.6%)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Jamison Crowder	24	7	64	67.2%	33.3%	19.4
Curtis Samuel	81	12	106	60.4%	19.8%	28.6
Byron Pringle	26	5	74	94.6%	30.8%	12.4
Terry McLaurin	129	12	196	76.5%	18.6%	31.6
Dyami Brown	43	4	65	49.2%	14.0%	10.5
Jahan Dotson	137	12	143	67.8%	12.4%	38.3

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Air yard %	Target rate	PPR points
Jamison Crowder	44	8	87	44.8%	22.7%	16.7
Curtis Samuel	176	26	237	58.6%	18.2%	55.7
Byron Pringle	49	6	55	45.5%	16.3%	11.5
Terry McLaurin	315	44	448	66.1%	19.1%	100.8
Dyami Brown	95	7	103	58.3%	14.7%	23.3
Jahan Dotson	306	25	240	82.5%	13.7%	61.0
Mitchell Tinsley	2	0	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0

The Cowboys have played man coverage at the second-highest rate in the league.
Dallas has allowed 4.47 yards per coverage snap and 6.1 yards per coverage target in man. Both are among the five best marks in the league.
Dallas has also allowed a first down or a touchdown on just 35.4% of man coverage snaps (seventh).
Terry McLaurin and Jahan Dotson are not seeing ideal target rates against man, and they also rank outside the top 70 wide receivers in fantasy points per route run against man.
McLaurin ranks 50th in receiving grade (68.2), while Dotson ranks 67th (63.1) and should be avoided, where possible, in a difficult matchup against the Cowboys this week.

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