News & Analysis

Best of PFF.com: Five articles to read today

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Most underrated player on all 32 NFL teams ahead of the 2020 NFL season

Every NFL roster includes players who quietly excel, making teams better in ways that don't necessarily show up on the stat sheet or earn Pro Bowl recognition. Today, we look at some of the most undervalued players on all 32 NFL rosters, shining a light on players who don’t get as much credit as they deserve. Read more…


Beyond the sticks: A more nuanced way of quantifying quarterback decisions

In other words, these metrics are missing additional context, which is a frequent criticism of analytics-based football analysis. Of course, when these metrics were first conceived roughly a decade ago (systematically charting air yards wasn't a thing for the NFL until late into the first decade of the 2000s), the necessary context simply wasn't available. Enter our game-charters at PFF, who have charted every bit of information on each NFL play since 2006 and allow us to add the missing context. Read more…


Reasons to expect Baker Mayfield to bounce back in 2020 — and one reason not to

What can we expect from Baker Mayfield and the Cleveland Browns in 2020? Here, I hope to answer that question — or at least give some reasons to be optimistic or pessimistic beyond gut feel and instinct — by looking at the data we have available to us. Read more…


Florida is the biggest boom or bust team in college football

Shortly after the 2019-2020 season ended, PFF published the way-too-early top 25 power rankings for the 2020-2021 college football season. Those rankings were not solely based off our ELO system and were heavily influenced by the value each team returns next year based off of PFF’s Wins Above Average (WAA). Many Florida fans were upset to find their squad checking in at 19th. Read more…


Examining Derrick Henry's 2020 NFL season rushing props

The Tennessee Titans took the NFL by storm in the second half of the 2019 campaign, finishing the regular season with seven wins in their last 10 games and building a 10-point lead in the AFC title game at Arrowhead Stadium. Ryan Tannehill’s career rebirth under the tutelage of offensive coordinator Arthur Smith was the biggest reason, as the quarterback finished first in the league in yards per pass attempt and PFF grade while earning more than two wins above replacement. Read more…


Bonus Content: Projecting all 32 NFL starting lineups ahead of the 2020 season

With the opening stages of free agency and the 2020 NFL draft in the rearview mirror, NFL rosters are largely complete. That gives us an opportunity to look forward and project the starting lineups for every NFL team heading into next season.  Read more…

 

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