The NFL Draft is less than a month away, but it’s not too early to prepare for dynasty leagues. There was a window to make trades before free agency during which players like Chase Edmonds and Anthony Firkser were a value. Those who realized they are likely to have larger roles in 2021 had plenty of time to trade for them.
Similarly, there's a window right now to make trades before the draft. The following top 200 dynasty rankings include more than 40 rookies. The rookie rankings will change a lot depending on where they land and how early they're drafted. But this top 200 should offer a good sense of where current NFL players can be valued against each other and against the newcomers in a neutral setting.
As always, you can find these and other rankings at PFF's main rankings page, including positional rankings sortable by league format and fantasy analyst. I'll provide commentary on the first 120 players here.
2. RB Dalvin Cook, Minnesota Vikings
3. RB Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans
4. RB Alvin Kamara, New Orleans Saints
5. WR Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers
7. WR Tyreek Hill, Kansas City Chiefs
8. WR D.K. Metcalf, Seattle Seahawks
9. RB Saquon Barkley, New York Giants
10. WR Stefon Diggs, Buffalo Bills
11. RB Cam Akers, Los Angeles Rams
12. WR Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings
The top of my dynasty rankings look very similar to the re-draft rankings. That's because these players are still at the peak of their careers with plenty of years ahead of them.
At running back, four reliable backs are holding off the 2020 rookie class at the top of the list. They're also four of the top 10 backs by PFF grade over the last three seasons. The top of this list includes two of the top three leaders in carries over that time, while the other two are in the top three in targets.
Two second-year backs found their way into the top 12. Jonathan Taylor led his class in overall PFF grade, rushing attempts, yards and touchdowns. Marlon Mack’s return might hurt Taylor’s production a little in the short term, but his long-term outlook is the brightest. Cam Akers moved to second in his class due to his potential for opportunities and for being a full year younger than a few of the other backs in his class.
At wide receiver, there is plenty of excellent talent, but Davante Adams and Tyreek Hill benefit from playing with MVP quarterbacks who still operate at an elite level. This keeps the two wide receivers ahead of the pack despite being a few years older.
They are followed closely by the three best young wide receivers, whose rankings are based in their current situations. D.K. Metcalf has the best quarterback situation of the three in the most pass-happy offense. Both Jefferson and Brown might be more talented, but Metcalf should see the most targets in the near-term.
13. RB James Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars
14. WR A.J. Brown, Tennessee Titans
15. RB Aaron Jones, Green Bay Packers
16. RB Austin Ekeler, Los Angeles Chargers
17. WR Calvin Ridley, Atlanta Falcons
18. TE Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs
20. WR DeAndre Hopkins, Arizona Cardinals
21. RB D'Andre Swift, Detroit Lions
22. WR Keenan Allen, Los Angeles Chargers
23. RB Nick Chubb, Cleveland Browns
24. TE George Kittle, San Francisco 49ers
This group of players is highlighted by three running backs entering their second seasons as well as the top two tight ends.
The 2020 running back draft class is taking over the position, with 14 backs from the class sitting in one of the top two spots on their team's depth chart. Most of the running backs ranked 11-20 in re-draft are from this class. They will be ranked higher in dynasty leagues — a total of five of the top 21 players are second-year backs.
Travis Kelce remains at the top of the tight end group despite his age. He should be a first-round pick in re-drafts but falls a bit in this format. Kelce is 31 years old, but he’s coming off the best season of his career. His closest competition is only a few years younger, but Kelce has a far superior quarterback situation. The gap between him and the other tight ends is large enough that a few more years of this play is just too valuable compared to other tight ends.
25. WR Michael Thomas, New Orleans Saints
27. WR CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys
28. RB Ezekiel Elliott, Dallas Cowboys
29. QB Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs
30. WR Brandon Aiyuk, San Francisco 49ers
31. WR Allen Robinson II, Chicago Bears
33. WR Tee Higgins, Cincinnati Bengals
34. TE Darren Waller, Las Vegas Raiders
35. WR Chase Claypool, Pittsburgh Steelers
36. WR Ja’Marr Chase, Rookie
Tier 3 is home of the second-year wide receiver, with Lamb, Aiyuk, Higgins and Claypool. The four receivers ranked second to fifth in PFF receiving grade among the draft class last season behind Justin Jefferson. They were also four of the top six in terms of targets. The combination of age, opportunity and skill makes it hard to pass them up.
This group also includes the first rookie in Ja’Marr Chase. It might be surprising to see so many other wide receivers before Chase in dynasty, but it’s important to remember that not all rookies work out. Three of the first four wide receivers picked in 2020 are ranked much lower than this, while few people expected Jefferson to look the best of the group after one season. The uncertainty pushes him and the rest of the rookie class down.
This tier also includes Patrick Mahomes, who should be the first quarterback off the board in any format.
37. RB J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore Ravens
38. WR Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
39. WR D.J. Moore, Carolina Panthers
40. RB Travis Etienne, Rookie
41. WR Adam Thielen, Minnesota Vikings
42. WR Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
43. RB Javonte Williams, Rookie
44. QB Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills
45. RB Najee Harris, Rookie
46. WR Julio Jones, Atlanta Falcons
47. QB Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals
48. WR Amari Cooper, Dallas Cowboys
This next group is highlighted by a trio of rookie running backs. There is plenty of debate over which back should be selected first in fantasy drafts. Where the backs land will greatly influence their rankings. Few teams have a clear need at running back, so some of these RBs could become the second part of a one-two punch. Some could end up on a team where they could get the majority of snaps right away.
A number of talented wide receivers also fill this group, though each player has a question mark around their age, quarterback or their target share. They are all clear starters who will probably be drafted higher in redraft leagues, but the overall number of talented young wide receivers pushes them down the rankings in dynasty formats.
Josh Allen and Kyler Murray also find their way into the top 50. They scored the first- and second-most fantasy points at the position last year. Six of the top 12 QBs in fantasy points are 32 years old or older. This makes the young quarterbacks who are proven QB1s all the more valuable.
49. RB Miles Sanders, Philadelphia Eagles
50. WR Diontae Johnson, Pittsburgh Steelers
51. WR Kenny Golladay, New York Giants
52. RB Joe Mixon, Cincinnati Bengals
53. WR Jerry Jeudy, Denver Broncos
54. QB Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens
55. WR Cooper Kupp, Los Angeles Rams
56. RB David Montgomery, Chicago Bears
57. WR Robert Woods, Los Angeles Rams
58. QB Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers
59. TE Mark Andrews, Baltimore Ravens
60. WR DeVonta Smith, Rookie
This interesting bunch of players is mostly younger running backs or wide receivers with more red flags than the previously listed players, along with veterans in newer situations.
Kenny Golladay is the highest-ranked player that has found a new home this offseason, leaving him with a wide range of possibilities for his production. Both Rams wide receivers have a new quarterback and as always will be competing with each other for targets.
Miles Sanders is one of the biggest gambles outside of rookies in dynasty leagues. He’s about to turn 24, so he may not have hit his peak yet. His PFF grade of 62.8 is second-lowest among those with at least 1,000 snaps in the last two seasons, only ahead of Todd Gurley. Philadelphia has 11 draft picks, so competition could be coming sooner rather than later.
61. WR Jaylen Waddle, Rookie
62. RB Chris Carson, Seattle Seahawks
63. WR Tyler Lockett, Seattle Seahawks
64. RB A.J. Dillon, Green Bay Packers
65. TE T.J. Hockenson, Detroit Lions
66. WR Rashod Bateman, Rookie
67. QB Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles
70. TE Kyle Pitts, Rookie
71. QB Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys
72. WR D.J. Chark Jr., Jacksonville Jaguars
Quarterbacks highlight this area of the rankings, showing some of the depth at the position. Jalen Hurts appears to be a polarizing player within the Eagles organization as well as in dynasty drafts. Hurts finished as QB3 from Weeks 14-16, and he should have more talent around him. The return of Brandon Brooks and Lane Johnson will significantly upgrade the offensive line, while the draft should bring in some skill players to help Hurts as well. The second-year QB has the upside to be the top quarterback in fantasy football with his rushing ability, but he could also be backup by 2022.
Dak Prescott is lower on the list then some might expect. He’s the oldest quarterback in the rankings so far and is coming back from injury.
Four rookies can be found from ranks 60-70, each of whom is expected to be called on the first day of the draft. Most notable is Kyle Pitts. Scarcity at tight end keeps pushing Travis Kelce and George Kittle up draft boards. If anyone can join that tier in the next few years, it is Pitts.
Two Jaguars receivers can also be found here. Both are expected to see a spike in fantasy production with Trevor Lawrence presumably throwing them passes in 2021.
73. QB Trevor Lawrence, Rookie
74. RB Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas Raiders
75. WR Rondale Moore, Rookie
76. RB Kenneth Gainwell, Rookie
77. TE Dallas Goedert, Philadelphia Eagles
78. WR Courtland Sutton, Denver Broncos
79. QB Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals
80. WR Terrace Marshall Jr., Rookie
81. RB Michael Carter, Rookie
82. QB Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks
83. WR Will Fuller V, Miami Dolphins
84. WR Gabriel Davis, Buffalo Bills
A Trevor Lawrence receiver is ranked 72, with Lawrence right behind at 73. The 70s and early 80s are full of players likely to go in the late first round of rookie drafts. After this point, rookies will be sprinkled in throughout the rankings.
The non-rookies are mostly players recovering from injury or in a new situation. Josh Jacobs and Gabriel Davis are exciting young players, but their teams added competition in free agency. Dallas Goedert has been moving up the rankings with the presumptive release of Zach Ertz, but as of now, Ertz is still on the roster.
85. RB Zack Moss, Buffalo Bills
86. TE Robert Tonyan, Green Bay Packers
87. RB Chase Edmonds, Arizona Cardinals
89. WR Darnell Mooney, Chicago Bears
90. RB Melvin Gordon III, Denver Broncos
91. TE Mike Gesicki, Miami Dolphins
92. WR Tyler Boyd, Cincinnati Bengals
93. RB Ronald Jones, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
94. WR Deebo Samuel, San Francisco 49ers
95. RB Chuba Hubbard, Rookie
96. WR Marquise Brown, Baltimore Ravens
Running backs in this group have question marks when it comes to playing time, while wide receivers in the group are fighting for targets.
Both Zack Moss and Ronald Jones have found themselves in three-back committees after the Bills added Matt Breida and the Buccaneers brought back Leonard Fournette. Having three backs might not stop their teams from drafting another running back. Chase Edmonds and Melvin Gordon III are currently in great positions now, but that could change with a draft pick.
All of the wide receivers on this list are both relatively young and talented, but each is expected to finish second on his team in targets at best. They could fill fantasy starting lineups for a number of years but might never reach the top tiers.
At tight end, the top five in dynasty and re-draft are the same and won’t have much dispute. Kyle Pitts is the wildcard, and then tight end becomes more of a gamble. Tonyan tied for the league lead in touchdowns among tight ends but is coming off of 11-straight games with five or fewer targets. Gesicki finished fourth in receiving yards and is only 25, but Will Fuller will cut into his target share. Despite the concerns, both remain clear top-10 tight ends.
97. RB Kareem Hunt, Cleveland Browns
98. WR Jalen Reagor, Philadelphia Eagles
99. WR Mecole Hardman, Kansas City Chiefs
100. RB Myles Gaskin, Miami Dolphins
101. TE Noah Fant, Denver Broncos
102. QB Zach Wilson, Rookie
103. RB Khalil Herbert, Rookie
104. WR Michael Pittman Jr., Indianapolis Colts
105. WR Elijah Moore, Rookie
106. RB Salvon Ahmed, Miami Dolphins
107. TE Cole Kmet, Chicago Bears
108. WR Henry Ruggs III, Las Vegas Raiders
Most running backs with a starting job in the NFL have been drafted at this point. The Dolphins backfield is an exception because of a few question marks. Both Myles Gaskin and Salvon Ahmed graded out well in their first meaningful snaps. The Dolphins added Malcolm Brown, who can be a mentor to these young backs and ideally not take many snaps. One of the two could be a steal at this point, although it’s not out of the question for Miami to draft a back.
The 2020 season gave us a lot of exciting rookie wide receivers, and this is the point where we see the WRs we thought could produce as rookies but didn’t. Jalen Reagor, Michael Pittman Jr. and Henry Ruggs III each finished with overall PFF grades of 64.0 or lower. Plenty of wide receivers have had slow rookie seasons and turned their careers around, but there are also several highly drafted receivers who never did. Their low ranks compared to this time last year corresponds to their risk.
109. QB Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins
110. RB Raheem Mostert, San Francisco 49ers
111. WR Brandin Cooks, Houston Texans
112. QB Justin Fields, Rookie
113. RB Damien Harris, New England Patriots
114. WR Denzel Mims, New York Jets
115. RB Darrell Henderson, Los Angeles Rams
116. TE Tyler Higbee, Los Angeles Rams
117. WR Corey Davis, New York Jets
118. TE Irv Smith Jr., Minnesota Vikings
119. QB Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers
120. RB La'Mical Perine, New York Jets
Tyler Higbee and Irv Smith Jr. highlight the tight ends coming into 2021 with more upside compared to recent years. They are no longer competing with Gerald Everett and Kyle Rudolph for snaps, which means they should see all of the receiving targets at tight end. The Rams' upgrade at quarterback offers Higbee even more upside. Minnesota’s offense looks nearly identical compared to last season, and that consistency mixed with a better defense should help Smith score touchdowns.
The Jets offense is also highlighted here, as the team is expected to draft Zach Wilson or another quarterback to lead the team. Perine has the most upside among the running backs currently on the Jets roster, while Davis and Mims should be Wilson's outside wide receivers for the next few seasons at least.
121. WR Tylan Wallace, Rookie
122. WR Michael Gallup, Dallas Cowboys
123. RB Tony Pollard, Dallas Cowboys
124. QB Trey Lance, Rookie
125. WR Robby Anderson, Carolina Panthers
126. TE Jonnu Smith, New England Patriots
127. WR Odell Beckham Jr., Cleveland Browns
128. RB Trey Sermon, Rookie
129. WR Kadarius Toney, Rookie
130. QB Ryan Tannehill, Tennessee Titans
131. TE Logan Thomas, Washington Football Team
132. WR Amon-Ra St. Brown, Rookie
133. RB Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
134. WR K.J. Hamler, Denver Broncos
135. RB Nyheim Hines, Indianapolis Colts
136. QB Mac Jones, Rookie
137. WR Seth Williams, Rookie
138. RB Rhamondre Stevenson, Rookie
139. RB Ke'Shawn Vaughn, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
140. WR Dyami Brown, Rookie
141. QB Deshaun Watson, Houston Texans
142. TE Hunter Henry, New England Patriots
143. RB Benny Snell Jr., Pittsburgh Steelers
144. WR DeVante Parker, Miami Dolphins
145. TE Blake Jarwin, Dallas Cowboys
146. WR Jarvis Landry, Cleveland Browns
147. RB Anthony McFarland Jr., Pittsburgh Steelers
148. WR Donovan Peoples-Jones, Cleveland Browns
149. QB Carson Wentz, Indianapolis Colts
150. RB David Johnson, Houston Texans
151. TE Pat Freiermuth, Rookie
152. QB Baker Mayfield, Cleveland Browns
153. WR Ihmir Smith-Marsette, Rookie
154. TE Hayden Hurst, Atlanta Falcons
155. RB Javian Hawkins, Rookie
156. WR Christian Kirk, Arizona Cardinals
157. RB Devin Singletary, Buffalo Bills
158. QB Daniel Jones, New York Giants
159. WR Darius Slayton, New York Giants
160. RB Jaret Patterson, Rookie
161. QB Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
162. WR Josh Palmer, Rookie
163. TE Adam Trautman, New Orleans Saints
164. RB Kylin Hill, Rookie
165. WR Van Jefferson, Los Angeles Rams
166. RB James Conner, Free Agent
167. TE Evan Engram, New York Giants
168. QB Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams
169. WR Parris Campbell, Indianapolis Colts
170. WR Tutu Atwell, Rookie
171. QB Kirk Cousins, Minnesota Vikings
172. RB Demetric Felton, Rookie
173. TE Anthony Firkser, Tennessee Titans
174. QB Derek Carr, Las Vegas Raiders
175. WR Jamison Crowder, New York Jets
176. QB Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons
177. RB Kenyan Drake, Las Vegas Raiders
178. WR Sterling Shepard, New York Giants
179. WR Jakobi Meyers, New England Patriots
180. RB Mike Davis, Atlanta Falcons
181. WR Allen Lazard. Green Bay Packers
182. TE Gerald Everett, Seattle Seahawks
183. TE Eric Ebron, Pittsburgh Steelers
184. RB Rashaad Penny, Seattle Seahawks
185. WR Bryan Edwards, Las Vegas Raiders
186. QB Drew Lock, Denver Broncos
187. RB Eno Benjamin, Arizona Cardinals
188. WR Jaelon Darden, Rookie
189. TE Dawson Knox, Buffalo Bills
190. WR Collin Johnson, Jacksonville Jaguars
191. WR Preston Williams, Miami Dolphins
192. QB Kyle Trask, Rookie
193. WR Anthony Schwartz, Rookie
194. RB Darrynton Evans, Tennessee Titans
195. RB Larry Rountree III, Rookie
196. RB Jamaal Williams, Detroit Lions
197. TE Donald Parham, Los Angeles Chargers
198. RB Jeff Wilson Jr., San Francisco 49ers
199. RB Pooka Williams Jr., Rookie
200. WR Nico Collins, Rookie