Timo Riske

Senior Data Scientist • View all analysts

Recent Articles

According to PFF's model, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a 70% chance of making the playoffs if they beat the Los Angeles Rams in Week 9. Those chances fall to 45% with a loss. 

By Timo Riske Nov 3, 2022 10:30 am EDT

Predicting the 2022 NFL MVP after Week 8 of the season. As long as he can avoid bad games, the MVP Award is Josh Allen's to lose.

By Timo Riske Nov 2, 2022 6:00 am EDT

In his Week 8 live underdog column, Timo Riske is betting on the Los Angeles Rams vs the San Francisco 49ers in what could be the defending champs' last chance to prove they're contenders again.

By Timo Riske Oct 27, 2022 10:27 am EDT

According to PFF's model, the Green Bay Packers and San Francisco 49ers enter Week 8 with less than a 50% chance of making the postseason. But both teams would radically improve their odds with a win.

By Timo Riske Oct 27, 2022 6:30 am EDT

Patrick Mahomes did all that he possibly could have done in order to strengthen his MVP candidacy. Statistically, he had the most efficient game of the 2022 season, generating 0.82 expected points added (EPA) per passing play against the league's best defense in Week 7.

By Timo Riske Oct 26, 2022 6:00 am EDT

In Week 7, Timo Riske's favorite underdog bets include the Cleveland Browns +6.5 at Baltimore Ravens.

By Timo Riske Oct 20, 2022 9:24 am EDT
NFL
Premium Content

More than a third of all regular season games have now been played, and it looks as though there are only three quarterbacks remaining in the MVP race: Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts.

By Timo Riske Oct 19, 2022 6:45 am EDT

Among Timo Riske's favorite Week 6 underdog bets: Patrick Mahomes and Co. Getting points. At home. Buffalo is the best team in football, but this is a rare opportunity.

By Timo Riske Oct 14, 2022 8:20 am EDT
NFL
Premium Content

Week 5 of the 2022 NFL season all but confirmed that the MVP Award will come down to a competition between Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Lamar Jackson.

By Timo Riske Oct 12, 2022 6:00 am EDT

In his first weekly column highlighting 5 live underdogs, Timo Riske writes that it makes sense to ride with the Bengals +3 at Baltimore in a high-variance spot between two inconsistent offenses in Week 5.

By Timo Riske Oct 5, 2022 2:04 pm EDT
NFL
Premium Content

Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes has overtaken Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen as the MVP favorite after Week 4 of the 2022 NFL season, while Los Angeles Chargers QB Justin Herbert leaps to No. 5.

By Timo Riske Oct 5, 2022 7:02 am EDT
NFL
Premium Content

Timo Riske evaluates how accurate pass-blocking and pass-rushing grades are compared to the difficulty of players' assignments.

By Timo Riske Oct 4, 2022 2:00 pm EDT
NFL
Premium Content

Josh Allen continues at No. 1 in PFF's MVP simulation after Week 3 of the 2022 NFL season, but Lamar Jackson and Jalen Hurts are gaining ground.

By Timo Riske Sep 28, 2022 7:00 am EDT
NFL
Premium Content

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen leapfrogs Patrick Mahomes for the No. 1 spot in PFF's MVP simulation after Week 2 of the 2022 NFL season.

By Timo Riske Sep 21, 2022 7:05 am EDT
NFL
Premium Content

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes maintains his No. 1 ranking in PFF's MVP simulation after Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season.

By Timo Riske Sep 14, 2022 7:00 am EDT

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes enters the 2022 NFL season as the MVP favorite in PFF's simulation.

By Timo Riske Sep 6, 2022 9:25 am EDT
NFL
Premium Content

PFF's expansion of the route-running and coverage grading process in 2019 opened the door for new insights into how we can view success for receivers and coverage defenders.

By Timo Riske Jul 12, 2022 5:15 am EDT

Timo Riske breaks down how NFL teams spent capital following the 2022 NFL Draft in Las Vegas.

By Timo Riske May 3, 2022 5:00 am EDT

The Pittsburgh Steelers lead the way in PFF's analytics-driven 2022 NFL Draft grades, thanks to the additions of Kenny Pickett, George Pickens, DeMarvin Leal and Calvin Austin III.

By Timo Riske May 2, 2022 8:45 am EDT

Timo Riske uses data collected from the PFF mock draft simulator to gather the public's opinion on the first round of the 2022 NFL Draft.

By Timo Riske Apr 28, 2022 5:00 am EDT
Bio

Timo Riske is a mathematician and American football enthusiast. He joined PFF in 2019 as a Data Scientist from Germany and will tell you the odds.