Judah Fortgang

Drake London draws a plus matchup against a depleted 49ers secondary — one where he holds a clear advantage over any corner he lines up against. He’s back to commanding a 30%-plus target share from Michael Penix Jr., with one of the best all-around roles in the NFL, including a dominant presence in the red zone as the Falcons' clear No. 1 target.

PFF's top SGP picks for Week 7, each tied to a clear story the data suggests could play out.

With the Lions’ secondary in disarray, Baker Mayfield is set up to exploit them vertically, generating the kind of explosive plays that can break open this game.

From a fundamentals perspective, the Falcons appear to be the better team in this matchup. With San Francisco’s defense banged up and the market slow to adjust, we’re going back to the well — backing Atlanta against a 49ers team that’s not nearly as formidable as perception suggests.

A contest between the Houston Texans and Seattle Seahawks is among the Week 7 games that present early betting value.

Top SGP picks for Week 6, each tied to a clear story the data suggests could play out.

Josh Jacobs also draws a favorable matchup against a Bengals defense that ranks in the bottom 10 across nearly every major category. With one of the safest roles in football, a soft matchup and a perfect game script, there’s no need to overthink it—back Josh Jacobs to find the end zone.

Matthew Stafford has excelled against man coverage this season, averaging a dominant 0.50 EPA per play versus man coverage. He now faces a Ravens defense that plays man at one of the league’s highest rates and is arguably at its weakest point all season.

Tampa Bay enters Week 6 with the defensive profile, pressure rate, and matchup edges to justify laying 9.5 points. With a hobbled Mac Jones facing a blitz-heavy front and the 49ers struggling without Nick Bosa, this game sets up perfectly for the Bucs to dominate both sides of the ball.

A contest between the Arizona Cardinals and Indianapolis Colts is among the Week 6 games that present early betting value.

What makes this game especially intriguing from a tail-outcome perspective is how Denver's strengths align with Philly’s vulnerabilities and how that imbalance compounds in a negative game state. If Denver’s pass rush can force the Eagles into obvious passing situations, that plays directly into the Broncos’ hands.

Anytime touchdown bets are always a fan favorite — but instead of guessing, you can lean on the new PFF Player Prop Tool to separate signal from noise.

Our top same-game parlay picks for Week 5, each tied to a clear story the data suggests could play out.

While Dak Prescott has faced consistent pressure behind a struggling offensive line, he’s been highly effective when kept clean—ranking second only to Jordan Love in EPA per play from a clean pocket. Against a Jets defense that ranks last in explosive play rate allowed, Prescott is well-positioned for a big day.

A contest between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams is among the Week 5 games that present early betting value.

Our top same-game parlay picks for Week 4, each tied to a clear story the data suggests could play out.

The Patriots’ secondary has been one of the league’s most vulnerable to explosive plays, and if Christian Gonzalez remains sidelined, it’s a weak-link unit that’s ripe for Bryce Young to exploit.