Judah Fortgang

Our top same-game parlay picks for Week 4, each tied to a clear story the data suggests could play out.

The Patriots’ secondary has been one of the league’s most vulnerable to explosive plays, and if Christian Gonzalez remains sidelined, it’s a weak-link unit that’s ripe for Bryce Young to exploit.

A contest between the Seattle Seahawks and Arizona Cardinals is among the Week 4 games that present early betting value.

Lean on the new PFF Player Prop Tool to separate signal from noise in Week 3.

Same-game parlays are all about building around game scripts — and the key is finding data-driven narratives that actually have a path to hit. With the new PFF Player Prop Tool highlighting the best matchups, probabilities and market edges, we’re targeting tails with upside in Week 3.

Dak Prescott has thrived this season when kept clean. While quarterbacks like Caleb Williams continue to struggle with high “destroy rates”—taking sacks, missing throws, or scrambling into trouble when undisturbed—Prescott has been sharp and efficient. His improved in-structure play, combined with better protection and scheme, positions him well to take advantage of favorable matchups like this one.

Justin Herbert’s increased scrambling ability has quietly become a key storyline early in the season. After ranking well below average in scramble rate and efficiency last year—largely due to injury—Herbert has doubled his scramble rate and looked far more dynamic. That improvement not only raises his overall value but also gives the Chargers a tool to counter Denver’s strong defense.

A contest between the Atlanta Falcons and Carolina Panthers is among the Week 3 games that present early betting value.

Same-game parlays are all about building around game scripts — and the key is finding data-driven narratives that actually have a path to hit. With the new PFF Player Prop Tool highlighting the best matchups, probabilities and market edges, we’re targeting tails with upside in Week 2.

Week 1 anytime touchdown bets are always a fan favorite — but instead of guessing, you can lean on the new PFF Player Prop Tool to separate signal from noise.

If the Patriots are going to run up the score and win with margin, it is likely on account of Maye carving up this secondary and the Patriots winning through the air. Let’s leverage the tail of Maye — mitigating the effect of the rush and dominating the Dolphins secondary — while the Patriots and their pass rush will ensure Tagovailoa can’t get the ball out quickly and deep to take advantage of their own secondary weakness.

The Lions’ offense put up a clunker in Week 1, but the unit faces a far easier defense in the Bears —who had only a 14% perfect coverage rate against the Vikings in Week 1.

A contest between the Denver Broncos and Indianapolis Colts is among the Week 2 games that present early betting value.

Same-game parlays are all about building around game scripts — and the key is finding data-driven narratives that actually have a path to hit. With the new PFF Player Prop Tool highlighting the best matchups, probabilities and market edges, we’re targeting tails with upside in Week 1.

Week 1 is built for tails, and the uncertainty surrounding rookie QB Michael Penix Jr. creates just that. Backed by the NFL’s most efficient rushing attack and a favorable matchup against a Bucs defense that ranks bottom-10 in disruption, Penix is positioned to succeed right away. With Baker Mayfield losing both his screen-heavy safety net and All-Pro tackle Tristan Wirfs, the bet is Falcons -5.5.

Houston’s explosive play profile makes them a live Week 1 side, with C.J. Stroud’s deep accuracy and a healthy Nico Collins setting the stage for a bounce-back vertical attack. Against a Rams defense that still allowed the sixth-highest explosive play rate last season, Texans alts and Stroud-based SGPs tell the story.

Week of the 2025 NFL season is almost here. Lock in your bets to secure early value.

The 2025 NFL season is nearly here, and there's no better time to secure betting value while team performance remains an unknown.