NFL Week 13 same-game parlays

  • Get PFF+ for 40% off: Use promo code BLACKFRIDAY to unlock the PFF Player Prop Tool, Premium Stats, fantasy dashboards, the PFF Mock Draft Simulator, industry-leading fantasy rankings and much more — everything you need to win your season.

Same-game parlays (SGPs) let you combine multiple bets from a single game into one ticket, increasing the potential payout if your game script hits. Our SGP picks are built around data-driven narratives — how a matchup is likely to unfold, which players are best positioned to benefit and where the edges lie.

This week, we’re also leaning on the new PFF Player Prop Tool, available exclusively for PFF+ members. It highlights the props with the highest probability of success, surfaces matchup insights that NFL teams themselves track and syncs with sportsbooks in real time, so you always know where the best number is.

Here are our top SGP picks for Week 13, each tied to a clear story the data suggests could play out.

Adonai Mitchell steps into the spotlight

Following his trade to the New York Jets, Mitchell has gradually worked his way into the rotation, and last week he earned a full-time role by running a route on 30 of QB Tyrod Taylor’s 35 dropbacks.

Mitchell has always been an elite talent with good separation ability and yards-after-catch skills, and he now steps into a full-time workload for the first time in his career.

Mitchell has done most of his damage against the blitz, ranking fifth among all wide receivers in yards per route run while also earning a good PFF grade in those situations. That sets up well against a Falcons defense that sends extra pressure at the second-highest rate in the NFL.

If Mitchell continues producing in that area, it not only gives the Jets the WR spark they’ve been missing — it likely lifts Tyrod Taylor’s efficiency and creates more passing volume for the entire offense.

SGP Build: 85-1 on DraftKings
  • WR Adonai Mitchell: 100+ receiving yards & anytime TD
  • QB Tyrod Taylor: 280+ passing yards

Bo Nix cruises past the Washington Commanders secondary

Building off a betting angle from our matchup column — the Denver Broncos’ ability to win vertically against a Washington defense that can’t generate disruption — the next question is which Broncos receiver stands to benefit most.

Washington’s tendencies point us in a clear direction: they play single coverage at one of the highest rates in the NFL, giving Denver’s downfield playmakers plenty of opportunities to win isolated matchups.

This is exactly the kind of matchup where Troy Franklin thrives. He leads the Broncos with a 32% target rate against single coverage and consistently separates at a top-tier level — a perfect fit against a Washington defense that allows the highest explosive-play rate in the league.

Franklin is Denver’s most dangerous downfield weapon, and he’s well-positioned to connect with Nix on a few vertical shots.

After years of sitting behind Courtland Sutton, Franklin has officially arrived as the Broncos’ WR2, running a route on 85% of Nix’s dropbacks over the last month and cementing himself as a full-time player in one of his best matchups of the season.

SGP Build: 25-1 on DraftKings
  • WR Troy Franklin: 90+ receiving yards
  • QB Bo Nix: 280+ passing yards
  • Denver Broncos: -5.5

Demario Douglas with the opportunity to burn the Giants downfield

The New York Giants defense has leaned heavily on man coverage this season, lining up in it at the second-highest rate in the NFL.

And man coverage is exactly where Demario Douglas has thrived. He owns the fifth-highest yards per route run average vs. man coverage among all receivers and leads the NFL in separation generated.

Yes, the Patriots’ crowded wide receiver room limits his total snaps, but Douglas’ target rate more than makes up for it — he’s being targeted on 30% of his routes against man. Add in his vertical ability paired with the league’s best deep-ball passer, and Douglas has multiple paths to a true ceiling game this week.

SGP Build: 55-1 on Draft Kings
  • WR Demario Douglas: 80+ receiving yards & anytime TD
Betting Featured Tools
Subscriptions

Unlock the 2024 Fantasy Draft Kit, with Live Draft Assistant, Fantasy Mock Draft Sim, Rankings & PFF Grades

$24.99/mo
OR
$119.99/yr