Betting News & Analysis

NFL Week 6: Schedule, odds and best early bets

Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) warms up against the Kansas City Chiefs before an AFC Divisional playoff football game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

• Bet Bills QB Josh Allen — Over 2.5 pass TDs (+161): After nearly 80 combined points and 1,000 total yards in the January instant classic, fun play with a huge Greenline edge (18.8%).

• Bet Jaguars RB Travis Etienne — Under 32.5 rush yards (-105): Game-high PFF Greenline edge of 6.3%.

• Bet Giants RB Saquon Barkley — Over 18.5 carries (+109): 5.4% PFF Greenline edge.

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Last updated: Sun. Oct. 16, 10:00 a.m.

Estimated reading time: 2 mins


Take a look at the odds for every Week 6 game, courtesy of BetMGM, followed by PFF Greenline and PFF staff best bets.

Sunday, Oct. 16

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Spread Total Moneyline
Buccaneers -9.5 (-115) o46 (-110) -450
Steelers +9.5 (-105) u46 (-110) +340

Bet QB Kenny Pickett u36.5 pass attempts (-116): Currently PFW Greenline's greatest edge of Week 6 — 39.7%.

Bet WR Mike Evans o24.5 yards longest completion (-108): Steelers have allowed league-high 30 catches of 15+ yards; Evans has gone over this total in past 4 games.

Cincinnati Bengals @ New Orleans Saints

Spread Total Moneyline
Bengals -3 (-110) o43 (-110) -155
Saints +3 (-110) u43 (-110) +130

Bet Bengals WR JaMarr Chase o6.5 receptions (+102): 7% PFF Greenline Edge.

Bet Bengals QB Joe Burrow u0.5 INT (-119): Only one turnover-worthy play in past 72 drop backs.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts

Spread Total Moneyline
Jaguars +1.5 (-110) o41 (-110) +100
Colts -1.5 (-110) u41 (-110) -120

• Bet Jaguars RB Travis Ettiene — Under 32.5 rush yards (-105): Game-high PFF Greenline edge of 6.3%.

Bet Matt Ryan — Under 1.5 pass TDs vs. Jaguars (-130): Ryan is dead last in EPA/play when the defense plays a coverage where middle of the field is open (MOFO), which Jags do at NFL's sixth-highest rate.

New England Patriots @ Cleveland Browns

Spread Total Moneyline
Patriots +2.5 (-110) o43 (-110) +115
Browns -2.5 (-110) u43 (-110) -140

• Bet Patriots +2.5: Browns are 29th in EPA/play allowed defensively, while New England is 8th and appears equipped to stop fairly limited passing game.

Bet Browns RB Nick Chubb o18.5 yards longest carry (-110): Chubb over this mark in past 10 games spanning to 2021 season.

New York Jets @ Green Bay Packers

Spread Total Moneyline
Jets +7.5 (-110) 45 (-110) +280
Packers -7.5 (-110) 45 (-110) -350

Bet Jets RB Michael Carter — Under 7.5 carries (-102): Game-high 24.5% PFF Greenline edge.

Baltimore Ravens @ New York Giants

Spread Total Moneyline
Ravens -5.5 (-110) 46 (-110) -250
Giants +5.5 (-110) 46 (-110) +200

• Bet RB Saquon Barkley — Over 18.5 carries (+109): 5.4% PFF Greenline edge.

Bet Ravens -6 at Giants: Toughest game of the season for Giants, and it’s doubtful they have the offense capable of keeping pace with the Ravens (8th in EPA/play, 6th in PFF pass-blocking).

Minnesota Vikings @ Miami Dolphins

Spread Total Moneyline
Vikings -3 (-110) o45.5 (-110) -165
Dolphins +3 (-110) u45.5 (-110) +135

Bet WR K.J. Osborn — Under 2.5 receptions (+100): Game-high PFF Greenline edge of 14%.

San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons

Spread Total Moneyline
49ers -4.5 (-110) o45.5 (-110) -225
Falcons +4.5 (-110) u45.5 (-110) +180

Bet TE George Kittle — Under 3.5 receptions (+111): PFF Greenline edge of 11.6%.

Bet RB Jeff Wilson Jr. — Over 8.5 receiving yards (-110): At least one back has went over this mark against Atlanta, which has allowed the ninth-most total yards to the position.

Carolina Panthers @ Los Angeles Rams

Spread Total Moneyline
Panthers +10 (-110) o41.5 (-110) +340
Rams -10 (-110) u41.5 (-110) -450

Bet Rams WR Cooper Kupp — Over 7.5 receptions (-145): 11.8% PFF Greenline edge.

Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks

Spread Total Moneyline
Cardinals -2.5 (-110) o50.5 (-110) -145
Seahawks +2.5 (-110) u50.5 (-110) +120

• Bet WR Tyler Lockett — Over 5.5 catches (+120): PFF Greenline edge of 7.5%.

Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs

Spread Total Moneyline
Bills -2.5 (-110) o54 (-110) -145
Chiefs +2.5 (-110) u54 (-110) +120

• Bet QB Josh Allen — Over 2.5 pass TDs (+161): After nearly 80 combined points and 1,000 total yards in the January instant classic, fun play with a huge Greenline edge (18.8%).

• Bet RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire — Under 2.5 receptions (+128): Game-high PFF Greenline edge of 26.6%.

Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles

Spread Total Moneyline
Cowboys +6.5 (-110) o42 (-110) +220
Eagles -6.5 (-110) u42 (-110) -275

Bet Cowboys +6.5: PFF Greenline edge of 1.7%.

 

Monday, Oct. 17

Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers

Spread Total Moneyline
Broncos +4.5 (-110) o45.5 (-110) +185
Chargers -4.5 (-110) u45.5 (-110) -225

Bet Broncos ml: PFF Greenline edge of 3.4%.

Bet Broncos +4.5: Denver's defense is keeping games close — and the Chargers struggle to put teams away.

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