Timo Riske

Senior Data Scientist • View all analysts

Recent Articles

College & Draft
Premium Content
draft-pff-data-study-can-the-consensus-big-board-really-predict-the-2021-nfl-draft

Data scientist Timo Riske compares players' actual draft position to their ranking on past consensus big boards to see whether the draft big boards hold any predictive power.

By Timo Riske Apr 26, 2021 11:45 am EDT
College & Draft
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draft-2021-nfl-draft-one-year-wonders-mac-jones-jamarr-chase-penei-sewell-joe-tryon-caleb-farley

Using PFF metrics to investigate the "one-year wonders" in the 2021 NFL Draft class and whether these players are generally drafted too high, too low or at precisely the right spot.

By Timo Riske and Steve Palazzolo Apr 22, 2021 8:30 am EDT
College & Draft
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draft-2021-nfl-draft-a-new-way-to-analyze-draft-trades

Data scientist Timo Riske looks into a new way of valuing draft trades.

By Timo Riske Apr 21, 2021 6:00 am EDT
College & Draft
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draft-2021-nfl-draft-why-trading-up-doesnt-work-out-for-most-nfl-teams

PFF data scientist Timo Riske looks at NFL drafts from 2011 to 2018 to investigate how successful teams were at trading up.

By Timo Riske Apr 14, 2021 10:00 am EDT
College & Draft
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draft-2021-nfl-draft-consensus-big-boards-biased

PFF's Timo Riske takes to the consensus big boards to see if they hold any predictive power over the NFL draft. The results are positive for the incoming offensive tackle and wide receiver class, two of the strongest position groups in the 2021 NFL Draft.

By Timo Riske Apr 13, 2021 8:45 am EDT
College & Draft
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draft-2021-nfl-draft-measuring-positional-draft-success-for-every-nfl-team

Yesterday we looked at how teams have allocated their draft capital toward different positions, so today we want to proceed by investigating which NFL teams have hit on their draft picks at every position.

By Timo Riske Apr 8, 2021 8:45 am EDT
College & Draft
Premium Content
draft-2021-nfl-draft-investigating-past-draft-success-and-what-it-means-for-the-2021-draft-class

PFF's Timo Riske compares past draft allocation to the 2021 draft class to see whether it will fit the teams’ habits.

By Timo Riske Apr 7, 2021 7:15 am EDT
NFL
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nfl-investigating-positional-aging-curves-with-pff-war

PFF data scientist Timo Riske looks at how fast the average NFL player ages and how it varies through different positions.

By Timo Riske Mar 22, 2021 9:45 am EDT
nfl-free-agency-2021-the-best-and-worst-deals-so-far

PFF's Timo Riske looks back at the first wave of 2021 NFL free agency and details his favorite and least favorite moves so far.

By Timo Riske Mar 18, 2021 8:00 am EDT
nfl-examining-the-ravens-overtime-proposal

PFF data scientist Timo Riske dives into the intricacies of the Ravens' spot-and-choose proposal, explaining how and why it works as well as taking a deeper dive into the game theory behind it.

By Timo Riske Mar 10, 2021 6:00 am EST
nfl-historical-draft-success-for-all-32-nfl-teams

With the 2021 NFL Draft now just over two months away, PFF looks back over the last four years to identify the teams that have had the most successful drafts.

By Timo Riske Feb 25, 2021 11:00 am EST
NFL
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nfl-indianapolis-colts-trade-carson-wentz-2021

The recent trade for Carson Wentz has hamstrung the Indianapolis Colts into building around a quarterback who might not be salvageable. PFF's Timo Riske examines the risk and limited reward that comes with last week's trade.

By Timo Riske Feb 22, 2021 10:30 am EST Indianapolis Colts
NFL
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nfl-passing-schemes-tampa-bay-buccaneers-kansas-city-chiefs-super-bowl-55

PFF data scientist Timo Riske takes an in-depth look at the passing schemes of the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers, focusing on quarterback play, receiving production and more.

By Timo Riske Feb 4, 2021 10:00 am EST
NFL
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nfl-super-bowl-lv-trench-matchups-offensive-line-defensive-line-chiefs-buccaneers

Taking an in-depth look at the offensive line vs. defensive line matchup ahead of Super Bowl LV.

By Timo Riske Feb 2, 2021 8:00 am EST Tampa Bay Buccaneers Kansas City Chiefs
nfl-young-defensive-players-who-deserve-early-extensions-darius-leonard-jaire-alexander-bradley-chubb-and-more

When it comes the navigating the rules on veteran contracts, one of the true win-win scenarios for NFL teams and players is the early extension. A handful of young defensive players from the 2018 NFL Draft deserve early extensions, starting with Darius Leonard, Jaire Alexander and Bradley Chubb.

By Brad Spielberger and Timo Riske Feb 1, 2021 8:48 am EST
NFL
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nfl-second-year-effect-coaches-quarterbacks-aaron-rodgers-matt-lafleur

The PFF data suggests that it might be a good idea to give a quarterback more time to buy into a new scheme when the first year didn’t turn out as well as hoped. Look no further than Aaron Rodgers' MVP campaign as proof.

By Timo Riske Jan 27, 2021 9:30 am EST
NFL
Premium Content
nfl-nfc-afc-championship-offensive-defensive-line-packers-buccaneers-chiefs-bills

Highlighting the best and worst trench matchups ahead of the AFC & NFC championship game.

By Timo Riske Jan 22, 2021 9:00 am EST
NFL
Premium Content
nfl-divisional-round-examining-the-trench-matchups-for-every-divisional-round-game

Highlighting the best and worst trench matchups ahead of the 2020 divisional round.

By Timo Riske Jan 15, 2021 7:30 am EST
NFL
Premium Content
nfl-understanding-rookie-quarterbacks-with-clustering-and-bayesian-forecasting-justin-herbert-had-one-of-the-best-rookie-seasons-ever

PFF data scientist Timo Riske uses Clustering and Bayesian Forecasting to put the rookie seasons of Justin Herbert, Joe Burrow, Tua Tagovailoa and Jalen Hurts into historical context.

By Timo Riske Jan 13, 2021 8:15 am EST
NFL
Premium Content
nfl-super-wild-card-weekend-examining-the-trench-matchup-for-every-wild-card-game

Highlighting the best and worst trench matchups ahead of NFL Super Wild Card Weekend.

By Timo Riske Jan 9, 2021 5:00 am EST
Bio

Timo Riske is a mathematician and American football enthusiast. He joined PFF in 2019 as a Data Scientist from Germany and will tell you the odds.