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Long-shot Super Bowl parlay bets: Chiefs lean on Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Eagles passing game dominates

Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Marquez Valdes-Scantling (11) catches a touchdown pass under coverage from Cincinnati Bengals cornerback Mike Hilton (21) in the third quarter of the AFC championship NFL game between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Kansas City Chiefs, Sunday, Jan. 29, 2023, at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo. The Kansas City Chiefs advanced to the Super Bowl with a 23-20 win over the Bengals. Mandatory Credit: Sam Greene-USA TODAY Sports

• Chiefs lean on Marquez Valdes-Scantling: Valdes-Scantling, as the lone healthy Kansas City wideout, figures to see the largest share of the snaps, just as he did in the conference championship game. 

• Eagles passing game dominates: It would not be entirely shocking to see the Chiefs game-plan around trying to stop the Eagles' rushing attack, forcing Jalen Hurts to beat them through the air. 

Estimated Reading Time: 3 mins


Story: Kansas City Chiefs lean on Marquez Valdes-Scantling in receiving game en route to victory

In many ways, this parlay is an extension of the logic from Leveraging Tails and some of our other single-game parlays. 

The core angle and source of value here is that If we tallied up the totals of the Kansas City receiving props for the day (263 as of this writing), it would come up as 32 yards short of Patrick Mahomes‘ passing prop. If Mahomes is to hit his passing prop — as I think he might — this would mean there is a ton of value on one of his receivers to fly well above their receiving prop as the market tries to price in the uncertainty of the Chiefs and their hurt receivers. 

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