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Fantasy Football: Hunting Week 10's best NFL DFS stacks

Glendale, Arizona, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15), running back Jerick McKinnon (1), wide receiver Marquez Valdes-Scantling (11) and offensive tackle Orlando Brown Jr. (57) celebrate a touchdown with wide receiver Mecole Hardman (17) against the Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

  • Stack the Kansas City Chiefs: While not cheap, the Chiefs dominate all the stack projections, as they have a significantly higher chance of being the top stack than any other team.
  • High-value RB-DST stack for Week 10: The Chicago Bears have a good chance of being the highest-scoring RB-DST stack at a much lower cost and roster allocation.
Estimated reading time: 8 minutes

This DFS main-slate stacks analysis is a variation of the methodology used in analyses on the single-game DraftKings showdown slates. It uses the combination of current projections, historical game results and similarity algorithms to simulate an upcoming game by looking back at the most similar historical matchups. In this analysis, I’m taking the same outline and applying it instead to the DFS main slate by projecting the likelihood each team’s QB-WR, RB-DST, QB-WR-TE, QB-RB-WR stacks will be the highest scoring of the slate. These are some of the most popular stack combinations employed in DFS strategy.

The numbers below harness the unexpected connections and reactions between players that have happened over the past several years and thereby point to under/overvalued stacks that won’t be identified through traditional projections and logical deduction.


QUARTERBACK/WIDE RECEIVER STACK

QB/WR players
Team Opponent Highest % Player Pos DK Fpts DK Salary FD Fpts FD Salary
KC JAX 18.3 Patrick Mahomes QB 25.9 7,800 25.9 7,800
KC JAX 18.3 JuJu Smith-Schuster WR 12.5 6,000 12.5 6,000
BUF MIN 7.6 Josh Allen QB 29.1 8,600 29.1 8,600
BUF MIN 7.6 Stefon Diggs WR 19.6 8,300 19.6 8,300
CLV MIA 6.6 Jacoby Brissett QB 18.0 5,400 18.0 5,400
CLV MIA 6.6 Amari Cooper WR 14.0 6,500 14.0 6,500
PIT NO 5.9 Kenny Pickett QB 17.3 5,100 17.3 5,100
PIT NO 5.9 Diontae Johnson WR 13.1 5,800 13.1 5,800
GB DAL 5.6 Aaron Rodgers QB 19.4 5,800 19.4 5,800
GB DAL 5.6 Allen Lazard WR 14.7 6,100 14.7 6,100
LV IND 5.5 Derek Carr QB 19.5 5,600 19.5 5,600
LV IND 5.5 Davante Adams WR 18.6 8,700 18.6 8,700
CHI DET 5.2 Justin Fields QB 18.5 6,500 18.5 6,500
CHI DET 5.2 Darnell Mooney WR 11.5 5,500 11.5 5,500
NYG HST 5.2 Daniel Jones QB 20.7 5,700 20.7 5,700
NYG HST 5.2 Wan'Dale Robinson WR 12.2 4,700 12.2 4,700
ARZ LA 4.6 Kyler Murray QB 20.3 7,200 20.3 7,200
ARZ LA 4.6 DeAndre Hopkins WR 18.1 8,000 18.1 8,000
MIN BUF 4.5 Kirk Cousins QB 16.9 6,000 16.9 6,000
MIN BUF 4.5 Justin Jefferson WR 18.5 8,800 18.5 8,800
LA ARZ 4.5 Matthew Stafford QB 20.9 5,600 20.9 5,600
LA ARZ 4.5 Cooper Kupp WR 23.0 9,000 23.0 9,000
DAL GB 4.1 Dak Prescott QB 18.5 6,600 18.5 6,600
DAL GB 4.1 CeeDee Lamb WR 15.2 7,000 15.2 7,000
DET CHI 4.0 Jared Goff QB 15.6 5,500 15.6 5,500
DET CHI 4.0 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR 13.3 6,900 13.3 6,900
HST NYG 3.5 Davis Mills QB 17.3 5,100 17.3 5,100
HST NYG 3.5 Brandin Cooks WR 15.0 5,300 15.0 5,300
MIA CLV 3.4 Tua Tagovailoa QB 20.6 6,700 20.6 6,700
MIA CLV 3.4 Tyreek Hill WR 22.1 9,100 22.1 9,100
NO PIT 3.4 Andy Dalton QB 16.7 5,500 16.7 5,500
NO PIT 3.4 Chris Olave WR 13.9 6,800 13.9 6,800
TEN DEN 3.1 Malik Willis QB 15.3 5,000 15.3 5,000
TEN DEN 3.1 Robert Woods WR 8.5 4,900 8.5 4,900
IND LV 2.6 Sam Ehlinger QB 17.2 5,000 17.2 5,000
IND LV 2.6 Michael Pittman Jr. WR 13.4 6,200 13.4 6,200
JAX KC 1.9 Trevor Lawrence QB 16.6 5,400 16.6 5,400
JAX KC 1.9 Christian Kirk WR 13.3 5,900 13.3 5,900
DEN TEN 1.9 Russell Wilson QB 17.1 5,900 17.1 5,900
DEN TEN 1.9 Courtland Sutton WR 12.2 5,600 12.2 5,600

RUNNING BACK/DST

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