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NFL Week 5: Favorite player prop bets using PFF Key Insights

2Y7367W San Francisco 49ers running back Jordan Mason (24) runs with the ball during an NFL football game against the Los Angeles Rams, Sunday, Sept. 22, 2024, in Inglewood, Calif. (AP Photo/Kyusung Gong)

Jordan Mason to exceed his rushing total? Mason doesn’t offer the same receiving threat or explosiveness as Christian McCaffrey, but he’s stepped into a valuable role in one of the most efficient offenses in the league, playing 78% of San Francisco’s offensive snaps through four weeks (the third-highest among running backs). 

• There is value in George Pickens: The Steelers aim to be a run-heavy offense, but that focus on the ground game has opened up some value for Pickens. He’s clearly the top target, earning a target on 25% of his routes — a top-20 mark among wide receivers. His 11 targets on passes 10-plus yards downfield are nearly equal to the rest of the team’s combined total (12).

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Estimated Reading Time: 5 minutes


This offseason, we worked on developing “Key Insights,” a new data-driven tool that should help provide betting guidance throughout the year. Those insights look for strength-on-weakness matchups that could be meaningful through a player prop lens and should begin populating on PFF player pages as the season progresses.

To give a peak behind the curtain at the kind of information those insights provide, here are four of my favorite Week 5 player prop bets stemming from the first run of our Key Insights tool.

2024 Key Insight Prop Bet Record: 8-8 (-0.52 units)

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