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Fantasy Football: Most overvalued players in every round of drafts

2MAB64R Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry (22) runs to the sidelines during an NFL football game against the Indianapolis Colts, Sunday, Oct. 2, 2022, in Indianapolis. (AP Photo/Zach Bolinger)

  • Derrick Henry’s career could be winding down: Henry will be 30 years old before the end of the season and is playing behind a completely reworked offensive line.
  • Travis Etienne Jr. has some competition: Tank Bigsby might not take the job away from Etienne, but he will make it harder for Etienne to put up big numbers.
  • Dalvin Cook goes from starter to committee: Cook was once a fantasy superstar, but he’s the clear second-best running back on his new team.
Estimated reading time: 11 minutes

Every NFL offseason, players are drafted higher than they should be for one reason or another. Here are the most overvalued players, by round, that you should be avoiding at their current ADP

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Last updated: 7:15 a.m. Wednesday, August 23

Round 1: RB Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans | ADP: 1.12

Henry is nearing the end of his time as a top-fantasy option at 29 years old, but at least for one more season, he will remain the focal point of the Titans' offense.

  • The NFL's former Offensive Player of the Year has 112.5 rushing yards per game which ranks by far the most out of 79 running backs with at least 25 games since 2020.
  • This past season lowered his average with 95.9 rushing yards per game. That still ranked second-most out of running backs last season.
  • Henry set career marks in receptions (33) and receiving yards (398) last season.
  • The Titans have completely reworked their offensive line, which now ranks last heading into the 2023 season. All five members of the line during Henry’s 2020 2000-yard season are gone.
  • With Henry’s age and the state of their offense, his fantasy production is bound to decline. The only question is how much.


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