The good news is that these picks continued to get great closing-line value (the line we bet in this article is better than the closing line with respect to the side we bet). We took the Washington Football Team +9.5, which closed +7, the New York Jets +11.5, which closed +10, and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1.5, which at one point during the week was -1.5. Heck, even the Packers closed at +3.
We are 6-7-1 on our written picks so far and 2-1 on our locks of the week, with the Monday Night Football game pending.
We’re on to Week 4, which has a number of intriguing options based on the early betting odds. All our initial reactions and guessing of the lines can be found on the PFF Forecast, which airs LIVE directly after Sunday Night Football and again on Wednesday evening.
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Week 4 NFL Football Betting Odds (spread, total)
Thursday Night Football
Sunday 1PM ET
Sunday 4PM ET
Sunday Night Football
Monday Night Football
Week 4 NFL Best Bets to Grab Early
Point (George Chahrouri): Quarterback Patrick Mahomes has made more turnover-worthy plays (passes that should be intercepted or bad fumbles) than big-time throws (PFF’s highest-graded throws). Expect some regression for Mahomes, who has had better than a 2-to-1 ratio of big-time throws to turnover-worthy plays in his NFL career.
The Chiefs are 0-3 against the spread this season, which is probably why this line is less than a touchdown. The Eagles will have less rest and are still a little inflated by a Week 1 victory over the hapless Falcons.