The San Francisco 49ers beat the Philadelphia Eagles 23-19 in their wild-card matchup, but lost star tight end George Kittle for the remainder of the playoffs. Christian McCaffrey totaled 114 yards with two receiving touchdowns, while Brock Purdy threw for 262 yards and two scores.

Josh Allen led his first career game-winning drive in the postseason, finishing it himself on back-to-back tush pushes to punch in the winning score with just over a minute remaining. The dramatic finish capped a game with four lead changes on four straight possessions and showcased Buffalo’s toughness as Allen absorbed heavy hits all day before carrying the Bills home.

Parker Washington profiles as a strong play for Jacksonville, given his recent surge in target share and production and a Bills coverage unit that looks far more vulnerable to receivers than surface stats suggest. On the San Francisco side, fading George Kittle makes sense against an Eagles defense that has consistently shut down tight ends, especially with Kittle still operating close to the line of scrimmage and limited coming off an ankle injury.

The Rams survived a back-and-forth wild-card battle by answering Carolina’s go-ahead score with Matthew Stafford’s late touchdown pass toColby Parkinson, the decisive play in a narrow victory. Los Angeles leaned on clutch execution from Stafford and its playmakers in the fourth quarter, while the Panthers’ late surge ultimately fell just short.

Caleb Williams threw a go-ahead 25-yard touchdown to DJ Moore with 1:43 left as the Bears erased an 18-point deficit to beat the Packers 31-27 in a wild-card thriller. Chicago outscored Green Bay 25-6 in the fourth quarter, then sealed its first playoff win in 15 years when Jaquan Brisker deflected Jordan Love’s desperation heave on the final play.

Tetairoa McMillan profiles as a strong target-volume play for Carolina, as game script should push the Panthers toward a pass-heavy approach and McMillan has consistently drawn looks when Bryce Young is under pressure, making Over 4.5 receptions (+110) appealing. Meanwhile, Jordan Love is well-positioned to clear Over 215.5 passing yards (-120), facing a Bears defense that struggles to generate pressure and has allowed frequent downfield production when coverage breaks down.

Our SGP picks are built around data-driven narratives — how a matchup is likely to unfold, which players are best positioned to benefit and where the edges lie.

Jordan Love has thrived when defenses make coverage mistakes, and his matchup benefits from a defense that struggles to sustain perfect coverage. Meanwhile, C.J. Stroud has consistently punished man coverage, a strength that aligns well against a Steelers defense leaning heavily on those looks.

Indiana’s dominant defense forced three first-half touchdown-producing turnovers and Fernando Mendoza threw five scoring passes as the unbeaten Hoosiers routed Oregon 56-22 in the Peach Bowl semifinal. Top-seeded Indiana (15-0) advanced to the national championship game against Miami after overwhelming the Ducks early and never letting up.

Ben Linsey provides data-driven, contextual betting notes for both sides of the ball for every wild-card game.

Using PFF grades and stats, these five players have distinguished themselves once the regular season concludes and the stakes elevate.

Ladd McConkey and Josh Palmer profile as players whose target volume should rebound in the wild-card round based on their route usage, quarterback tendencies and predicted target share.

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For the 2025 season, PFF’s awards and All-Pro selections were determined through the most rigorous process the company has used to date.

Carson Beck led a 75-yard drive capped by a 3-yard touchdown run with 18 seconds left as Miami edged Ole Miss 31-27 in the Fiesta Bowl to reach its first national championship game since 2001.

PFF’s media research team has been hard at work this week, preparing for kickoff by pulling data-driven insights and talking points for our broadcast partners around the league. Now, we’re sharing those same nuggets with you.