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Jacksonville Jaguars @ Kansas City Chiefs – CBS, 1:00 PM
Bortles' conservative passing
Blake Bortles has thrown the ball downfield at a lower rate than any other quarterback. With an adjusted completed percentage of 50% on deep passes, the Jaguars could benefit from Bortles throwing the ball downfield more often.
Dede dominating the crossing route
Bortles has been finding success underneath, specifically on passes to Dede Westbrook on crossing routes. 52% of Westbrooks's targets have come from crossing routes, the highest rate in the league.
Jaguars run defense: Outside fixed, inside exposed
While the Jags have been effective in shutting down opposing pass offenses, a weakness that could be exploited by Kareem Hunt is the Jaguars' inability to shut down inside zone running plays. After finishing 2017 in the middle of the pack, the Jaguars have regressed to being the sixth-worst team at stopping inside zone plays, allowing 5.19 yards per attempt.
Off-ball coverage suits the Jags
The matchup of the week involves the dynamic Kansas City offense and the shutdown cornerbacks of the Jacksonville defense. Tyreek Hill and company will have a hard time getting open against the Jaguars' defense that has allowed opposing quarterbacks a passer rating of only 86.5 when they've been targeted in off-man coverage.
Mahomes needs to get it out quick
So far in 2018, Patrick Mahomes has found tremendous success on quick passes, throwing for a passer rating of 143.9 after holding the ball for 2.5 seconds or less.
Mahomes throwing deep often
Unlike Blake Bortles, who throws the least deep passes per attempt in the league, Patrick Mahomes has thrown more deep passes per attempt than any other quarterback in the NFL this season. With a passer rating of 137.0 on such throws, Mahomes has the league's second-highest passer rating on passes of 20+ yards downfield.
Chiefs defense not tackling well
The inability to take players down after the catch has been a glaring weakness of the Chiefs' defense so far this season. Through four games, the team has combined to miss 32 tackles on passing plays – the most among NFL defenses.
Ford is having a career year
Blake Bortles will have his work cut out for him facing Dee Ford, who trails only Khalil Mack in terms of pressures generated among edge defenders. With six hits, Ford is tied for first in the NFL among edge defenders.