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NFL Betting: Top mismatches to target in conference championship playoffs

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver A.J. Brown (11) reacts after a first down catch against the Jacksonville Jaguars during the second quarter at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

  • Bet on the A.J. Brown bounce-back: After earning just 22 yards in the divisional round, Brown should be in for a more productive game this week.
  • Cincinnati Bengals’ offense set for a big game: The Bengals have had plenty of offensive success against the Kansas City Chiefs in the past, and there’s reason to believe more is on the way.
  • Philadelphia Eagles‘ dominant run game: The Eagles hold a significant advantage in the trenches this week against the San Francisco 49ers‘ run-defending line.
Estimated reading time: 5 minutes

San Francisco 49ers @ Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown is coming off a quiet game in the divisional round, posting just 22 receiving yards, which is far from the norm for the Ole Miss product. Brown’s biggest mismatch this week will come when lining up against Deommodore Lenoir, who owns just a 55.2 coverage grade this season and leads all 49ers’ corners in yards allowed per reception (12.4). This is, in large part, due to 339 receiving yards allowed after the catch, which ranks among the top-10 highest totals at his position.

The 49ers have surprisingly struggled to generate pressure at a high rate this postseason, ranking 10th of 14 playoff teams in pressure rate (28.4%) through two games. The Eagles offensive line has remained dominant after leading the regular season in pass-blocking grade (85.5), earning a 90.4 pass-blocking grade last week as well. Brown’s 30.3% target rate from a clean pocket ranks seventh among all wide receivers this season and he should continue to get plenty of looks this weekend.

Bet: A.J. Brown over 70.5 receiving yards (1.87 on BETMGM)

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