Betting News & Analysis

Premium Content Sign Up

Sharpe's Take: Best NFL bets to make in Week 5

Amazingly, we’re already a quarter of the way through the 2020 NFL regular season!  So, before we get into the thick of the Week 5 action, let’s identify a couple of value bets to make, do a quick check on totals and then take a look ahead at a Week 6 bet you might want to grab before Week 5 gets underway.

LEVERAGE

As usual, we’ll start with leverage charts. For each team, the number on the left represents their playoff chances with a loss this week while the number on the right represents their playoff chances with a win. These probabilities are calculated by simulating the season thousands of times using PFF data.

Win or lose this week, eight teams in the AFC still have over a 50% chance at the playoffs. The other eight AFC teams aren't that fortunate.

While the Kansas City Chiefs are virtual locks to advance — with the Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills not far behind — one of the eight teams in this top half isn’t going to make the cut, given that only seven teams advance.

There are two AFC games with significant playoff implications this week. The first is the 4:25 p.m. ET clash between the Indianapolis Colts and Cleveland Browns, while the second is the Tuesday night bout between the Buffalo Bills and Tennessee Titans (COVID-19 permitting, of course).

DOMINATE FANTASY FOOTBALL & BETTING WITH AI-POWERED DATA & TOOLS TRUSTED BY ALL 32

Unlimited Fantasy League Sync
Fantasy Start/Sit Line-Up Optimizer & Waiver Wire
WR-CB & OL-DL Matchups, PFF Player Grades, & Premium Stats 2.0 Tools
Nathan Jahnkes Rankings - #1 Most Accurate Last 70 Weeks
PFF Best Bets, Player Props, & Power Ranking Tools
NFL Mock Draft Sim with Trades & Draft Grades

Already have a subscription? Log In

Betting Featured Tools

  • PFF's Best Bets Tool reveals the bets PFF's data and algorithms give the biggest edge to within spread, total, player prop, and moneyline markets.

    Available with

  • PFF's Player Props Tool reveals betting opportunities within player prop markets.

    Available with

  • Power Rankings are PFF’s NFL power ratings based on weekly player grades in each facet of play. These power rankings are adjusted based on coach, quarterback and the market each season.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NFL game.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NCAA game.

    Available with

Subscriptions

Unlock the 2023 Fantasy Draft Kit, with League Sync, Live Draft Assistant, PFF Grades & Data Platform that powers all 32 Pro Teams

$31 Draft Kit Fee + $8.99/mo
OR
$89.88/yr + FREE Draft Kit