Fantasy Football Rankings 2024: Nathan Jahnke's quarterback tiers

2TCMHAY Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen runs the ball during the first half of an NFL football game against the Kansas City Chiefs Sunday, Dec. 10, 2023, in Kansas City, Mo. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)

Josh Allen remains on top: Despite losing Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis, Allen is the top quarterback to target because of his excellent passing and rushing abilities.

Two second-year stars in the top eight: C.J. Stroud and Anthony Richardson played well last year, giving fantasy managers reason to be excited about their upside in Year 2.

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Here are my top 40 quarterback rankings for 2024 redraft leagues. The full list is below, with tier details provided at the end of the chart.

Last updated: 7:15 a.m. Friday, Aug. 30

Tier 1

This tier is reserved for the most consistent fantasy quarterbacks. Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts have averaged at least 21 fantasy points per game in each of the last three seasons. They are two of four quarterbacks with at least 2,000 rushing yards in that time, while no one else is above 1,300. They both also have over 10,000 passing yards, unlike the other two rushing quarterbacks, Lamar Jackson and Justin Fields.

Tier 2

The two quarterbacks who averaged at least 21 fantasy points per game in two of the last three seasons are in this tier. Jackson is the only other elite rushing quarterback who still has a starting job, while no quarterback has thrown more than Patrick Mahomes over the last three seasons.

Tier 3

Here is a combination of two signal-callers who have finished among the top-four fantasy quarterbacks in one of the last two seasons. Joe Burrow and Dak Prescott are great passers and have two of the best wide receivers in the game. The other two are sophomore quarterbacks who ranked in the top 12 in fantasy points per game as rookies, which is a rare accomplishment.

Tier 4

Ten quarterbacks averaged over 18.5 fantasy points per game last season. Five are in the first three tiers, two switched teams, and three are here. All of them have reasons to believe they will be better this season, but it’s too early to put them ahead of players who are more proven and still expected to do well in the top three tiers. Jayden Daniels also joins this tier thanks to his rushing potential.

Tier 5

This is a collection of players who have a good chance of finishing among the top-12 fantasy quarterbacks this year if they stay healthy. Most are young, former early first-round picks who haven’t shown enough consistency. It also included Kirk Cousins and Jared Goff who generally hover around QB12 each year and are likely to do the same this year, but they are less likely to finish among the top-five quarterbacks compared to others in the tier.

Tier 6

Most of the other starting quarterbacks in the league fit in this tier. Frankly, there are reasons to be optimistic about most of them. Two are in their sophomore seasons and are capable of breaking out. Justin Fields, Matthew Stafford, Aaron Rodgers and Deshaun Watson all have top-six fantasy finishes at some point in the past four seasons. Daniel Jones, Geno Smith and Baker Mayfield all finished in the top 10 last year or the year before.

Sam Darnold doesn’t have the same history of success, but two different backup Vikings quarterbacks combined for three top-five fantasy finishes last season, and Darnold should be a step up from them. The quarterbacks in the top four tiers have been more consistently good in recent seasons, and the quarterbacks in the fifth tier have more upside of potentially being a great fantasy quarterback rather than a passable starter.

Tier 7

Derek Carr leads this tier, having consistently finished between QB13 and QB19 every year since 2017. While Carr will likely outscore some in the sixth tier, it's easier to envision a scenario where anyone in Tier 6 finishes in the Top 12 this year. That scenario is harder to imagine for Carr.

The concern around Russell Wilson and Gardner Minshew II is that they could lose their jobs. Bo Nix rounds out the tier because of concerns in his receiving group, and he doesn’t have the same reputation for rushing as the other rookie quarterbacks.

Tier 8

These quarterbacks are expected to be backups for most of the season. Jacoby Brissett was announced as the starter for the Patriots, but most assume he won’t keep the starting job long. Drew Lock and Sam Howell have enough starting experience that they could conceivably win their quarterback job sometime this year. Those odds are unlikely, but nearly every other starting job is secure outside of injuries.

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