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Throughout Trevor Lawrence’s last three seasons, he’s been a high-risk, high-reward quarterback. His 1.8 big-time throws per game over the last two seasons are the fourth-most among quarterbacks, but he’s also had one of the highest turnover-worthy throw rates.
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Lawrence’s average depth of target flew to 9.9 yards by last season, but his new offensive coordinator, Liam Coen, has consistently had relatively low target depths. Lawrence’s deep ball accuracy in the previous three years was in the bottom quarter of the league, but in the top quarter of the league in short passes. The change in offensive philosophy should be a great asset to his fantasy value.
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Brian Thomas Jr.’s emergence, along with the addition of second overall pick Travis Hunter, gives Lawrence the best wide receiver duo of his career, and potentially one of the top wide receiver duos in the NFL.