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Matthew Stafford has excelled against man coverage this season, averaging a dominant 0.50 EPA per play versus man coverage. He now faces a Ravens defense that plays man at one of the league’s highest rates and is arguably at its weakest point all season.

By Judah Fortgang Oct 12, 2025 8:45 am EDT

Whether you're a seasoned bettor or just getting into the swing of things, the PFF Player Prop Tool gives you actionable takes to beat the sportsbooks.

By Mason Cameron Oct 12, 2025 8:15 am EDT

Tampa Bay enters Week 6 with the defensive profile, pressure rate, and matchup edges to justify laying 9.5 points. With a hobbled Mac Jones facing a blitz-heavy front and the 49ers struggling without Nick Bosa, this game sets up perfectly for the Bucs to dominate both sides of the ball.

By Judah Fortgang Oct 12, 2025 5:00 am EDT
5 months ago

PFF's Ben Linsey, Mason Cameron and Judah Fortgang share their favorite bets of Week 6 of the 2025 NFL season.

Utilizing the new PFF Player Prop Tool, here are two projections to target ahead of NFL Week 6 action.

By Ryan Smith Oct 10, 2025 10:43 am EDT

Week 6 is here, and PFF’s analysts have locked in their favorite bets of the week, powered by the PFF Player Prop Tool.

By PFF.com Oct 10, 2025 9:45 am EDT

Injuries, weather, and public pick releases are just a few factors that can swing numbers. But spotting early signals—before prices settle into full efficiency—is where betting edges are made. Below, we’ll walk through how notable market-maker openers have shifted since Sunday and what those moves might be telling us.

By Tyler Phillips Oct 9, 2025 2:00 pm EDT

Across 209 non-anytime-touchdown bets with an edge of 10% or higher, the tool delivered a 57.9% hit rate (121-88) and netted 17.9 units of profit in Week 5.

By Mark Chichester Oct 9, 2025 1:00 pm EDT

Cam Skattebo’s role in the Giants’ offense continues to grow, especially with key injuries thinning the receiving corps. He’s coming off another strong performance as a pass-catcher and ranks third among running backs in PFF receiving grade this season. Even with Tyrone Tracy returning, Skattebo should remain heavily involved in the passing game this week.

By Mason Cameron Oct 9, 2025 11:00 am EDT

Early in the season, markets are especially volatile as oddsmakers and bettors alike search for a true read on each team. Big swings are common, and while knowing that lines move is useful, the real edge comes from understanding why they move. This information can shape your stance and identify the right entry points.

By Tyler Phillips Oct 8, 2025 3:16 pm EDT

Highlighting the three teams that gained the most ground after last week’s results. We’ll also examine schedule strength over the next four weeks, spotlighting the softest and toughest upcoming slates — a crucial lens for identifying potential overreactions in lines, totals, and futures.

By Tyler Phillips Oct 7, 2025 11:45 am EDT

A contest between the Arizona Cardinals and Indianapolis Colts is among the Week 6 games that present early betting value.

By Mason Cameron and Judah Fortgang Oct 6, 2025 9:45 am EDT

A big contributing factor to the Jaguars' success stems from winning the turnover battle, with the Jags leading the NFL in takeaways with 13 – four more than any other team. That sets up an interesting battle in this matchup, as the Chiefs have turned over the ball just once this season.

By Mason Cameron Oct 6, 2025 5:45 am EDT

Whether you're a seasoned bettor or just getting into the swing of things, the PFF Player Prop Tool gives you actionable takes to beat the sportsbooks.

By Mason Cameron Oct 5, 2025 8:52 am EDT

What makes this game especially intriguing from a tail-outcome perspective is how Denver's strengths align with Philly’s vulnerabilities and how that imbalance compounds in a negative game state. If Denver’s pass rush can force the Eagles into obvious passing situations, that plays directly into the Broncos’ hands.

By Judah Fortgang Oct 5, 2025 5:45 am EDT

Anytime touchdown bets are always a fan favorite — but instead of guessing, you can lean on the new PFF Player Prop Tool to separate signal from noise.

By Judah Fortgang Oct 5, 2025 5:30 am EDT

Our top same-game parlay picks for Week 5, each tied to a clear story the data suggests could play out.

By Judah Fortgang Oct 5, 2025 5:15 am EDT

While Dak Prescott has faced consistent pressure behind a struggling offensive line, he’s been highly effective when kept clean—ranking second only to Jordan Love in EPA per play from a clean pocket. Against a Jets defense that ranks last in explosive play rate allowed, Prescott is well-positioned for a big day.

By Judah Fortgang Oct 5, 2025 5:00 am EDT
6 months ago

PFF's Ben Linsey, Mason Cameron and Max Chadwick share their favorite bets of Week 5 of the 2025 NFL season.

Week 5 is here, and PFF’s analysts have locked in their favorite bets of the week, powered by the PFF Player Prop Tool.

By PFF.com Oct 3, 2025 9:45 am EDT
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NFL and NCAA spread picks and locks of the week from the PFF Forecast team of betting experts.