Mark Chichester

Every week, we break down the matchups, data angles and player tendencies that matter most to bettors, building a library of actionable insights you can use across the season.

Saquon Barkley draws one of the week’s most favorable trench matchups, pairing his top-10 yards-before-contact profile with a Dallas defense that ranks near the bottom of the league in the same metric. Kansas City’s Hunt brings similar touchdown equity on volume alone, converting 24 of 29 short-yardage carries and owning nearly all of the Chiefs’ inside-the-5 work this season.

Recapping the week in PFF grades, data and insights.

Houston’s top-ranked defense overwhelmed the Buffalo Bills throughout a mistake-heavy 23-19 loss on Thursday night, dropping Buffalo to 7-4. Josh Allen was sacked eight times — the most in his career — as Danielle Hunter, Will Anderson Jr. and the Texans’ front repeatedly collapsed the pocket, while three Bills turnovers and persistent tackling issues on defense kept Houston in control.

While there are a slew of position-specific metrics to assess performance, few exist to quantify overall impact. That’s where PFF Wins Above Replacement enters the fray.

Dak Prescott threw for 268 yards and four touchdowns as the Dallas Cowboys controlled the Las Vegas Raiders in a 33-16 win on Monday night. Prescott consistently attacked through the air, feeding George Pickens for 144 yards and a score and connecting with CeeDee Lamb for another touchdown, while Javonte Williams added 93 rushing yards to keep the offense balanced.

Philadelphia’s lone touchdown came on a trademark Jalen Hurts tush push, but it was the Eagles’ front seven that dictated the game from start to finish. Relentless at the line of scrimmage, they held Detroit to 0-for-5 on fourth down and kept Jared Goff under constant duress, collapsing pockets and disrupting timing throughout the night. It was a defensive performance strikingly reminiscent of their 2024 Super Bowl run — disciplined, physical and completely overwhelming.

The Saskatchewan Roughriders captured their fifth Grey Cup title, defeating the Montreal Alouettes 25-17 behind a dominant defensive showing and three short-yardage touchdowns from Tommy Stevens. Trevor Harris threw for more than 300 yards while A.J. Ouellette added a five-yard rushing score, and Saskatchewan’s defense produced three interceptions — including two by Marcus Sayles and a late red-zone takeaway by Tevaughn Campbell.

Bo Nix led a late 10-play drive to set up Wil Lutz’s 35-yard field goal with seconds remaining, lifting the Denver Broncos to a 22-19 win over the Kansas City Chiefs and a commanding 9-2 lead in the AFC West.

In a game between two of the NFL's best teams, Los Angeles' defense proved the difference. The Rams haunted Sam Darnold to the tune of four interceptions despite a quiet day from Matthew Stafford. Jason Myers' potential game-winning 61-yard field goal missed wide right, moving the Rams to 8-2.

Brock Purdy's return went swimmingly for the 49ers, as the quarterback threw for 220 yards and three touchdowns in a dominant win over the Cardinals. Christian McCaffrey tacked on 121 yards and total three touchdowns in a big day for San Francisco's offense, which offset a historic 452-yard afternoon for Jacoby Brissett.

Bryce Young threw a late touchdown to Tet McMillan and Carolina sealed it in overtime to beat the Atlanta Falcons 30-27, completing a season sweep and handing Atlanta its fifth straight loss. The Falcons built a 21-7 lead behind three rushing touchdowns from Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier, but a series of turnovers, coverage busts and special teams miscues — including a fumbled kickoff and multiple big gains allowed through the air — let the Panthers claw back

Davis Mills hit Nico Collins for a key third-and-16 conversion to set up Matthew Wright’s 35-yard field goal as time expired, lifting the Houston Texans past the Tennessee Titans 16-13 in Week 11.

Jordan Love returned from a shoulder injury to throw two touchdown passes, including a go-ahead strike to Christian Watson in the fourth quarter, as the Green Bay Packers edged the New York Giants 27-20. Backup Malik Willis added a rushing score while filling in briefly, and Emanuel Wilson ran for a touchdown and caught the two-point conversion that followed Watson’s late TD. Evan Williams sealed the win with an end-zone interception of Jameis Winston, helping Green Bay snap a two-game skid and move to 6-3-1 despite losing Josh Jacobs to a knee injury.

Travis Etienne, Trevor Lawrence and rookie Bhaysul Tuten each scored on the ground as the Jacksonville Jaguars rolled past the Los Angeles Chargers 35-6. Jacksonville controlled the game from the start, holding the Chargers to just 135 total yards and eight first downs while intercepting Justin Herbert and sacking him twice before he was replaced in the fourth quarter

De’Von Achane powered Miami’s run game for 119 yards, and Jack Jones’ overtime interception set up Riley Patterson’s winning field goal as the Dolphins edged the Washington Commanders 16-13 in Madrid.

Every week, we break down the matchups, data angles and player tendencies that matter most to bettors, building a library of actionable insights you can use across the season.

Below are 10 head-to-head collisions to circle as you determine which games to prioritize watching and/or following this weekend, including Amon-Ra St. Brown vs. Cooper DeJean.

Drake Maye delivered another efficient performance and TreVeyon Henderson scored three touchdowns as the New England Patriots pulled away from the New York Jets for a 27-14 win on Thursday night.

The Browns retain the top spot in the PFF defensive line rankings ahead of Week 11, though the Broncos and Eagles have jumped four spots after Week 10.