Fantasy Football: Week 14 red-zone report

RJ Harvey has taken over the high-value touches: Since J.K. Dobbins‘ injury, Harvey has dominated the red-zone touches and draws a positive matchup to take advantage of that workload this week.
Chase Brown is due for more touchdowns: Considering Brown’s workload in the red zone, he should be able to find more success and draw a good matchup to deliver this week.
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Estimated Reading Time: 40 minutes

The high-scoring areas of the field are the most valuable areas of opportunity for our fantasy football assets. This report will keep track of each team’s top performers in that area of the field, as well as the players getting the most opportunities in the red zone. Adding even more fantasy value to this report, we’ll also include each team’s opponent and their effectiveness when defending in the red zone to identify our best matchups.

Note: Plays called back due to penalties or plays with pre-snap penalties will not be included within the player data.

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Arizona Cardinals

Week 14 opponent: Los Angeles Rams
Total red-zone plays faced: 111 (17th)
Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 25.8% (2nd)
Red zone successful run plays allowed: 28.6% (10th)

Arizona WR/TEs:

Position	WR/TE	RZ Route Rate	RZ Target rate	RZ Carries	RZ TDs	RZ FF PTs
TE	Trey McBride	94.3%	25.6%	0	8	73.5
TE	Elijah Higgins	24.1%	14.3%	0	0	-0.3
TE	Tip Reiman	5.7%	0.0%	0	0	0.0
TE	Travis Vokolek	3.4%	0.0%	0	0	0.0
TE	Josiah Deguara	2.3%	0.0%	0	0	0.0
TE	Pharaoh Brown	0.0%	0.0%	0	0	0.0
WR	Michael Wilson	87.4%	11.8%	0	1	12.6
WR	Marvin Harrison Jr.	64.4%	17.9%	0	4	34.9
WR	Greg Dortch	49.4%	16.3%	3	3	31.7
WR	Zay Jones	34.5%	6.7%	0	0	0.0
WR	Xavier Weaver	16.1%	14.3%	0	0	1.9
WR	Simi Fehoko	8.0%	0.0%	0	0	0
WR	Andre Baccellia	4.6%	25.0%	0	0	1.5

Arizona RBs:

RB	RZ Carries	RZ Carry Rate	RZ TDs	RZ Routes	RZ TGTs	RZ FF PTs
Bam Knight	15	34.1%	5	24	6	39.4
Michael Carter	7	15.9%	1	23	4	11.3
James Conner	5	11.4%	2	6	1	14.9
Emari Demercado	5	11.4%	1	14	4	11.4
Trey Benson	3	6.8%	0	7	2	2.4
Jermar Jefferson	0	0.0%	0	0	0	0.0

The Rams have been a top-three red-zone defense at limiting offensive success rate this season (27.0%), allowing just 15 red-zone touchdowns, the second-fewest.
Trey McBride has been regressing very positively from his low touchdown totals in 2024, as he’s been a touchdown machine this season, leading the position in red-zone touchdowns. McBride will be put to the test in a very difficult matchup this week, which could temper expectations.

Atlanta Falcons

Week 14 opponent: Seattle Seahawks
Total red-zone plays faced: 125 (9th)
Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 29.4% (7th)
Red zone successful run plays allowed: 27.5% (6th)

Atlanta WR/TEs:

Position	WR/TE	RZ Route Rate	RZ Target rate	RZ Carries	RZ TDs	RZ FF PTs
TE	Kyle Pitts	97.7%	11.9%	0	1	8.5
TE	Charlie Woerner	18.6%	0.0%	0	0	0.0
TE	Teagan Quitoriano	2.3%	0.0%	0	0	0.0
TE	Feleipe Franks	0.0%	0.0%	0	0	0.0
WR	Drake London	79.1%	32.4%	0	6	48.1
WR	Darnell Mooney	69.8%	16.7%	0	0	4.0
WR	David Sills V	48.8%	9.5%	0	2	15.8
WR	Casey Washington	23.3%	0.0%	0	0	0.0
WR	Dylan Drummond	14.0%	0.0%	0	0	0.0
WR	KhaDarel Hodge	2.3%	0.0%	0	0	0.0
WR	Jamal Agnew	0.0%	0.0%	0	0	0
WR	Deven Thompkins	0.0%	0.0%	0	0	0

Atlanta RBs:

RB	RZ Carries	RZ Carry Rate	RZ TDs	RZ Routes	RZ TGTs	RZ FF PTs
Tyler Allgeier	25	52.1%	7	9	1	50.0
Bijan Robinson	25	52.1%	5	32	8	43.6
Carlos Washington Jr.	0	0.0%	0	0	0	0.0
Nate Carter	0	0.0%	0	0	0	0.0

The Seahawks red-zone defense ranks top-six at limiting offensive success rate (28.8%), while the Falcons red-zone offense ranks top-12 in that regard (36.3%).
Tyler Allgeier held the edge in red-zone carries over Bijan Robinson through the first 10 weeks of the year, though Robinson has out-carried Allgeier eight to four over the last three games. This has also led to three of Robinson’s five red-zone touchdowns on the year recently, putting him on a positive trajectory to be the best bet to overcome this difficult matchup.

Baltimore Ravens

Week 14 opponent: Pittsburgh Steelers
Total red-zone plays faced: 127 (8th)
Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 27.0% (3rd)
Red zone successful run plays allowed: 34.0% (18th)

Baltimore WR/TEs:

Position	WR/TE	RZ Route Rate	RZ Target rate	RZ Carries	RZ TDs	RZ FF PTs
TE	Mark Andrews	76.4%	26.2%	3	4	33.5
TE	Isaiah Likely	32.7%	11.1%	0	0	1.5
TE	Charlie Kolar	30.9%	17.6%	0	2	15.3
WR	Zay Flowers	80.0%	13.6%	0	0	6.6
WR	Rashod Bateman	50.9%	17.9%	0	2	17.2
WR	DeAndre Hopkins	45.5%	4.0%	0	0	0.0
WR	Tylan Wallace	27.3%	13.3%	0	1	8.5
WR	Devontez Walker	3.6%	50.0%	0	1	7.2
WR	LaJohntay Wester	1.8%	0.0%	0	0	0.0

Baltimore RBs:

RB	RZ Carries	RZ Carry Rate	RZ TDs	RZ Routes	RZ TGTs	RZ FF PTs
Derrick Henry	41	59.4%	6	12	1	46.6
Keaton Mitchell	9	13.0%	1	4	0	10.3
Justice Hill	3	4.3%	2	16	1	13.1
Rasheen Ali	1	1.4%	0	3	0	0.5

The Steelers rank as a top-10 unit overall at limiting offensive success rate (29.9%) while the Ravens have struggled significantly in the red zone, ranking 28th overall in offensive success rate (27.4%).
Derrick Henry is still the top option to overcome the team’s struggles this week as he’s dominated the carries in the red zone, and the Steelers’ weakness is at least defending the run so far.

Buffalo Bills

Week 14 opponent: Cincinnati Bengals
Total red-zone plays faced: 155 (1st)
Red zone successful pass plays allowed: 44.4% (29th)
Red zone successful run plays allowed: 28.4% (9th)

Buffalo WR/TEs:

Position	WR/TE	RZ Route Rate	RZ Target rate	RZ Carries	RZ TDs	RZ FF PTs
TE	Dawson Knox	61.8%	11.8%	0	1	10.6
TE	Dalton Kincaid	36.4%	25.0%	0	2	20.4
TE	Jackson Hawes	12.7%	28.6%	0	1	9.7
TE	Keleki Latu	3.6%	0.0%	0	0	0.0
WR	Khalil Shakir	72.7%	22.5%	0	1	16.9
WR	Keon Coleman	70.9%	15.4%	0	3	23.7
WR	Brandin Cooks	61.8%	2.9%	0	0	0.0
WR	Joshua Palmer	38.2%	19.1%	0	0	3.3
WR	Tyrell Shavers	25.5%	0.0%	0	0	0.0
WR	Gabe Davis	16.4%	22.2%	0	0	1.5
WR	Elijah Moore	14.5%	0.0%	1	1	6.4
WR	Curtis Samuel	12.7%	14.3%	0	1	7.6
WR	Mecole Hardman Jr.	0.0%	0.0%	0	0	0

Buffalo RBs:

RB	RZ Carries	RZ Carry Rate	RZ TDs	RZ Routes	RZ TGTs	RZ FF PTs
James Cook	37	58.7%	4	22	2	35.8
Ty Johnson	5	7.9%	1	24	2	8.2
Ray Davis	4	6.3%	1	5	3	11.3

The Bengals are tied for the most snaps defending the red zone this season and, as a result, have allowed the most touchdowns (34) against in that area of the field.
The Bills rank second overall in offensive red-zone success rate (39.8%) with James Cook standing to be the prime beneficiary this week in an ideal matchup.

Carolina Panthers

Week 14 opponent: Bye week

Carolina WR/TEs:

Position	WR/TE	RZ Route Rate	RZ Target rate	RZ Carries	RZ TDs	RZ FF PTs
TE	Ja'Tavion Sanders	46.8%	22.2%	0	0	10.8
TE	Tommy Tremble	42.9%	12.1%	0	1	11.4
TE	Mitchell Evans	19.5%	20.0%	0	2	14.6
TE	James Mitchell	2.6%	0.0%	0	0	0.0
WR	Tetairoa McMillan	93.5%	19.4%	0	4	40.3
WR	Xavier Legette	62.3%	18.8%	0	2	18.3
WR	Jalen Coker	39.0%	6.7%	0	0	1.5
WR	Hunter Renfrow	37.7%	20.7%	0	2	19.7
WR	Brycen Tremayne	16.9%	7.7%	0	0	1.8
WR	Jimmy Horn Jr.	14.3%	0.0%	0	0	0.0
WR	David Moore	10.4%	0.0%	0	0	0
WR	Dalevon Campbell	0.0%	0.0%	0	0	0
WR	Dan Chisena	0.0%	0.0%	0	0	0

Carolina RBs:

RB	RZ Carries	RZ Carry Rate	RZ TDs	RZ Routes	RZ TGTs	RZ FF PTs
Rico Dowdle	30	61.2%	5	30	4	40.2
Chuba Hubbard	12	24.5%	2	29	6	20.3
Trevor Etienne	4	8.2%	0	3	0	1.9
DeeJay Dallas	1	2.0%	0	1	0	0.0