PFF Analysts

Timo Riske

Senior Data Scientist • View all analysts

Recent Articles

NFL winners and losers: Notable matchups from Week 11

Dallas Cowboys CB Trevon Diggs held his own against Minnesota's Justin Jefferson in Week 11, while Bengals pass-rusher Trey Hendrickson decidedly won his matchup against Pittsburgh Steelers tackle Dan Moore Jr.

by Timo Riske 2 months ago

2022 NFL Playoff Picture: San Francisco 49ers boost playoff chances to 88% with a Week 11 win over the Arizona Cardinals

According to PFF's model, the San Francisco 49ers have an 88% chance of making the playoffs with a Week 11 win. Their chances fall to 60% with a loss.

by Timo Riske 2 months ago

Predicting the 2022 NFL MVP: Tua Tagovailoa enters the MVP race

Predicting the 2022 NFL MVP after Week 10 of the season. Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts were firmly in the race, but Tua Tagovailoa has now joined the conversation after a number of incredibly efficient performances.

by Timo Riske 2 months ago

NFL winners and losers: Notable matchups from Week 10

Every NFL game contains individual matchups, with Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson and Green Bay Packers linebacker Quay Walker among those to come out on top in Week 10.

by Timo Riske 2 months ago

NFL Week 10: Live underdogs in Sunday's games, including Vikings with QB edge in Buffalo

Timo Riske's favorite underdog bets in Week 10 include the Minnesota Vikings +3.5 at Buffalo Bills.

by Timo Riske 2 months ago

2022 NFL Playoff Picture: Miami Dolphins boost playoff chances to 85% with a Week 10 win over the Cleveland Browns

According to PFF's model, the Miami Dolphins have an 85% chance of making the playoffs with a Week 10 win. Their chances fall to 59% with a loss.

by Timo Riske 2 months ago

Predicting the 2022 NFL MVP: Josh Allen's slip-up opens the door for Patrick Mahomes

Predicting the 2022 NFL MVP after Week 9 of the season.

by Timo Riske 2 months ago

2022 NFL Playoff Picture: It's crunch time for Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

According to PFF's model, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a 70% chance of making the playoffs if they beat the Los Angeles Rams in Week 9. Those chances fall to 45% with a loss. 

by Timo Riske 2 months ago

Predicting the 2022 NFL MVP: This year's honors are Josh Allen's to lose

Predicting the 2022 NFL MVP after Week 8 of the season. As long as he can avoid bad games, the MVP Award is Josh Allen's to lose.

by Timo Riske 2 months ago

NFL Week 8 Best Underdog Bets: Back Rams to learn from mistakes vs 49ers

In his Week 8 live underdog column, Timo Riske is betting on the Los Angeles Rams vs the San Francisco 49ers in what could be the defending champs' last chance to prove they're contenders again.

by Timo Riske 3 months ago

NFL Playoff Picture: Green Bay Packers and San Francisco 49ers would drastically improve playoff hopes with a Week 8 win

According to PFF's model, the Green Bay Packers and San Francisco 49ers enter Week 8 with less than a 50% chance of making the postseason. But both teams would radically improve their odds with a win.

by Timo Riske 3 months ago

2022 NFL MVP: Kansas City Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes closes the gap

Patrick Mahomes did all that he possibly could have done in order to strengthen his MVP candidacy. Statistically, he had the most efficient game of the 2022 season, generating 0.82 expected points added (EPA) per passing play against the league's best defense in Week 7.

by Timo Riske 3 months ago

NFL Week 7: Best Underdog Bets, including Browns +6.5 at Ravens

In Week 7, Timo Riske's favorite underdog bets include the Cleveland Browns +6.5 at Baltimore Ravens.

by Timo Riske 3 months ago

2022 NFL MVP: It's a three-horse race between Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts

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More than a third of all regular season games have now been played, and it looks as though there are only three quarterbacks remaining in the MVP race: Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts.

by Timo Riske 3 months ago

NFL Week 6: Best underdog bets, including Chiefs getting points vs Bills

Among Timo Riske's favorite Week 6 underdog bets: Patrick Mahomes and Co. Getting points. At home. Buffalo is the best team in football, but this is a rare opportunity.

by Timo Riske 3 months ago

2022 NFL MVP: Buffalo Bills' Josh Allen in the driver's seat heading into Week 6

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Week 5 of the 2022 NFL season all but confirmed that the MVP Award will come down to a competition between Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Lamar Jackson.

by Timo Riske 3 months ago

NFL Betting 2022: 5 Live Dogs in Week 5

In his first weekly column highlighting 5 live underdogs, Timo Riske writes that it makes sense to ride with the Bengals +3 at Baltimore in a high-variance spot between two inconsistent offenses in Week 5.

by Timo Riske 3 months ago

2022 NFL MVP: Patrick Mahomes takes the top spot, while Matthew Stafford falls out of the top 10

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Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes has overtaken Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen as the MVP favorite after Week 4 of the 2022 NFL season, while Los Angeles Chargers QB Justin Herbert leaps to No. 5.

by Timo Riske 3 months ago

Adjusting pass-blocking and pass-rush grades for difficulty of assignment: Aaron Donald and Myles Garrett rise to the top

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Timo Riske evaluates how accurate pass-blocking and pass-rushing grades are compared to the difficulty of players' assignments.

by Timo Riske 3 months ago

2022 NFL MVP: Josh Allen remains No. 1 with Jalen Hurts, Lamar Jackson and Tua Tagovailoa closing in

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Josh Allen continues at No. 1 in PFF's MVP simulation after Week 3 of the 2022 NFL season, but Lamar Jackson and Jalen Hurts are gaining ground.

by Timo Riske 4 months ago
Bio

Timo Riske joined PFF in a 2019 as a data scientist from Germany and will tell you the odds.

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