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NFL playoff picture ahead of Week 15

  • A huge week for the Baltimore Ravens: According to PFF simulations, the Ravens have a 48% chance of making the playoffs with a Week 15 win, but that number drops to 12% with a loss.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders are lining up for the No. 1 overall pick: From here, the Raiders land the first overall pick in 36% of PFF simulations.
  • Get PFF+ for 30% off: Use promo code HOLIDAY30 to unlock the PFF Player Prop Tool, Premium Stats, fantasy dashboards, the PFF Mock Draft Simulator, industry-leading fantasy rankings and much more — everything you need to win your season.

The current situation

Current AFC playoff standings
  1. Denver Broncos (11-2)
  2. New England Patriots (11-2)
  3. Jacksonville Jaguars (8-4)
  4. Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6)
  5. Los Angeles Chargers (9-4)
  6. Buffalo Bills (9-4)
  7. Houston Texans (8-5)
Current NFC playoff standings
  1. Los Angeles Rams (10-3)
  2. Green Bay Packers (9-3-1)
  3. Philadelphia Eagles (8-5)
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-6)
  5. Seattle Seahawks (10-3)
  6. San Francisco 49ers (9-4)
  7. Chicago Bears (9-4)

The projections

Naturally, it’s unlikely the playoff picture will remain constant over the remainder of the season. And that’s why it makes sense to look at the projected playoff picture — the estimated chances PFF gives each team to make the playoffs.

The following charts display the projected playoff chances for each team, along with the playoff leverage, i.e., how the playoff chances would change with a win or a loss.

The logos show the current playoff chances. The points to the right of the logos indicate the chances after a win, and the points to the left indicate the chances after a loss.

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