- A massive week for the Pittsburgh Steelers: According to PFF simulations, the Steelers have a 67% chance of making the playoffs with a Week 14 win, but that number drops to 17% with a loss.
- The Chicago Bears hold the No. 1 seed in the NFC, but for how long? The Los Angeles Rams (35%), Seattle Seahawks (21%) and Green Bay Packers (14%) all have a better chance of securing the top seed in the conference by season's end.
- Get PFF+ for 30% off: Use promo code HOLIDAY30 to unlock the PFF Player Prop Tool, Premium Stats, fantasy dashboards, the PFF Mock Draft Simulator, industry-leading fantasy rankings and much more — everything you need to win your season.

The current situation
Current AFC playoff standings
- New England Patriots (11-2)
- Denver Broncos (10-2)
- Jacksonville Jaguars (8-4)
- Baltimore Ravens (6-6)
- Los Angeles Chargers (8-4)
- Indianapolis Colts (8-4)
- Buffalo Bills (8-4)
Current NFC playoff standings
- Chicago Bears (9-3)
- Los Angeles Rams (9-3)
- Philadelphia Eagles (8-4)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-5)
- Seattle Seahawks (9-3)
- Green Bay Packers (8-3-1)
- San Francisco 49ers (9-4)
The projections
Naturally, it’s unlikely the playoff picture will remain constant over the remainder of the season. And that’s why it makes sense to look at the projected playoff picture — the estimated chances PFF gives each team to make the playoffs.
The following charts display the projected playoff chances for each team, along with the playoff leverage, i.e., how the playoff chances would change with a win or a loss.
The logos show the current playoff chances. The points to the right of the logos indicate the chances after a win, and the points to the left indicate the chances after a loss.