This article was produced by the team at PredictionMachine.com.
PredictionMachine.com's Predictalator uses current rosters, strength-of-schedule, and pace-adjusted team and player stats to play, one play at a time, every game 50,000 times before it's actually played. Each entire NFL Playoff matchup is played individually, with the team that wins each game advancing. The percentages in the table below represent the team's likelihood of advancing to that round.
In the most likely Super Bowl, the Arizona Cardinals win over the Denver Broncos by an average score of 23-19. The Cardinals are 32.4 percent likely to win the Super Bowl. The Broncos are the second-most likely team to win the Super Bowl, at 23.9 percent.
NFL Super Bowl odds (based on 2015-16 NFL Playoffs played 50,000 times):
Region | Seed | Team | Champ. |
AFC | 1 | DEN | 23.9% |
AFC | 2 | NE | 20.2% |
Region | Seed | Team | Champ. |
NFC | 1 | CAR | 23.4% |
NFC | 2 | ARI | 32.4% |
Notes
– The NFC is 55.8 percent likely to win the Super Bowl.
– Most likely Super Bowl—Arizona vs. Denver—is 27.2% likely.
– Least likely Super Bowl—New England vs. Carolina—is still 22.9% likely
PredictionMachine.com's picks use the state-of-the-art Predictalator, which plays every game 50,000 times before it's actually played to give you the angle you need. PredictionMachine.com finished the 2014 NFL postseason 9-1-1 against-the-spread, the 2011 NFL postseason 11-0 ATS and is 44-19-1 ATS all-time in the NFL Playoffs. Specifically in the Conference Championship round, the site is 9-1 (90 percent ATS), which includes four perfect 2-0 ATS seasons.