Betting News & Analysis

NFL Week 12: Schedule, odds and best early bets

Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow (9) drops back to throw in the second quarter of of the NFL Week 11 game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Cincinnati Bengals at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh on Sunday, Nov. 20, 2022. The Steelers led 20-17 at halftime. Cincinnati Bengals At Pittsburgh Steelers Week 11

• Bet Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa o2.5 pass TDs vs Texans: 28.9% PFF Greenline edge leads Week 12; as hot as any QB over past 3 games, with 3 TDs, 0 INTs, completing 77+ percent of attempts (12.4 ypa).

• Bet Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes o2.5 pass TDs vs Rams: 20.6% PFF Greenline edge is again among the week's biggest; Mahomes over in 6 games so far this season.

• Bet Panthers QB Sam Darnold u0.5 pass TDs vs Broncos: Darnold debuts against PFF's top-rated coverage defense (6th in pass rush, overall).

Last updated: Nov. 27, 11:13 a.m.

Estimated reading time: 2 mins


Take a look at the odds for every Week 12 game, courtesy of BetMGM, followed by PFF Greenline and PFF staff best bets.

Sunday, Nov. 27

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cleveland Browns

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Bucs -3 (-115) o42.5 (-110) -175
Browns +3 (-105) u42.5 (-110) +145

Bet Bucs WR Mike Evans — Over 4.5 receptions (+106): Game-high 6.2% Greenline edge; Evans over in 6/9 so far this season.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Tennessee Titans

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Bengals -1 (-110) o43 (-110) -115
Titans +1 (-110) u43 (-110) +105

Bet Over 43.5: Slight 1.2% Greenline edge after huge passing days by Joe Burrow, Ryan Tannehill in Week 11.

Bet RB Samaje Perine — Under 44.5 rush yards: Bengals pass at NFL's third-highest rate over expected; Titans allow 3.9 ypc (3rd).

Houston Texans @ Miami Dolphins

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Texans +14 (-110) o47 (-110) +575
Dolphins -14 (-110) u47 (-110) -900

Bet Texans RB Dameon Pierce — Under 70 rush yards: Only below 70 twice since Week 3, but career-low 10 yards in Week 11 blowout — with another expected.

Bet Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill anytime TD: PFF's top-graded receiver is a problem for Houston's secondary, including Steven Nelson (77.3).

Chicago Bears @ New York Jets

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Bears +7 (-110) o38.5 (-110) +240
Jets -7 (-110) u38.5 (-110) -300

Bet Over 38.5: PFF's worst-graded defense (45.6), Chicago should be good cure for what ails Jets offense as Mike White takes the reins.

Bet Jets RB Michael Carter anytime TD: At +145, this is an excellent price for a player that should get action in both the passing and receiving game. 

Atlanta Falcons @ Washington Commanders

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Falcons +3.5 (-105) o40.5 (-110) +155
Commanders -3.5 (-115) u40.5 (-110) -190

Bet Commanders RB Antonio Gibson — Under 13.5 carries: 7.5% edge found by Greenline, which is fading Gibson fully this week.

Bet Commanders WR Terry McLaurin — Over 60.5 receiving yards: Overs have been very profitable against Falcons; McLaurin has more than half of offense's air yards with Taylor Heinicke behind center.

Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Broncos -1 (-110) o36.5 (-110) -120
Panthers +1 (-110) u36.5 (-110) +100

• Bet Panthers QB Sam Darnold u0.5 pass TDs vs Broncos: Darnold debuts against PFF's top-rated coverage defense (6th in pass rush, overall).

Baltimore Ravens @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Ravens -3.5 (-110) o43.5 (-110) -200
Jaguars +3.5 (-110) u43.5 (-110) +165

• Bet Jaguars WR Christian Kirk — Over 5.5 receptions: Nice matchup for Kirk, over in 3 of past 4, 6/10 in Jags' maiden voyage; 2.9% Greenline edge.

Los Angeles Chargers @ Arizona Cardinals

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Chargers -2.5 (-115) o48.5 (-110) -145
Cardinals +2.5 (-105) u48.5 (-110) +120

• Bet Chargers RB Austin Ekeler — Under 98.5 rush/rec. yards: 4.1% PFF Greenline edge; Ekeler under in 6/10 so far.

• Bet Chargers WR Keenan Allen 125+, anytime TD, Bolts win (+1564)Cards blitz a ton (41%), and Justin Herbert looks Allen's way third-most in NFL vs blitz.

Las Vegas Raiders @ Seattle Seahawks

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Raiders +3.5 (-105) o47.5 (-110) +155
Seahawks -3.5 (-115) u47.5 (-110) -190

• Bet Raiders TE Foster Moreau — Under 3.5 receptions: Game-high 8.4% Greenline edge; Moreau under in 7/8 games this season.

• Bet Seahawks QB Geno Smith — Over 1.5 pass TDsSmith over in 8/10; Raiders pass ‘D' is dead last in EPA/pass allowed.

Los Angeles Rams @ Kansas City Chiefs

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Rams +15.5 (-110) o42 (-110) +775
Chiefs -15.5 (-110) u42 (-110) -1400

• Bet Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes o2.5 pass TDs vs Rams: 22.7% PFF Greenline edge is once among biggest of the week; Mahomes over in 6 games so far this season, above his 49.7% career clip.

New Orleans Saints @ San Francisco 49ers

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Saints +8.5 (-105) o43.5 (-105) +333
49ers -8.5 (-115) u43.5 (-115) -450

• Bet 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo — Over 2.5 rush yards: He has exactly 3 rushing yards in 3 straight games and has cashed in 6/9 overall; 3.4% Greenline edge.

• Bet Saints RB Alvin Kamara — Under 49.5 rush yards: Kamara gaining 5+ yards on 5.7% of carries, fifth-worst in NFL this season.

Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Packers +6.5 (-110) o46 (-110) +230
Eagles -6.5 (-110) u46 (-110) -300

Bet Eagles RB Miles Sanders u14.5 carries vs Packers: 12% Greenline edge; Packers' slow pace and struggles defending the pass could limit Sanders' rushes.

Monday, Nov. 28

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Indianapolis Colts

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Steelers +2.5 (-110) o39 (-110) +120
Colts -2.5 (-110) u39 (-110) -145

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