IDP Stock Market looks at IDP players that are being overvalued and undervalued based on our advanced NFL statistics. If you’re looking for the sell-high or buy-low IDP candidates for your fantasy roster, this is the article for you.
Buy:
Kelvin Sheppard – LB – Buffalo Bills
Last week I nominated Colin McCarthy as a rookie linebacker rising in value, but it could have easily been Kelvin Sheppard who was mentioned. Well this week it is Sheppard’s turn as he has now confirmed himself as the Bills starting middle linebacker moving forwards, although he isn’t taking all the snaps. Over the last three weeks as a starter he has played 72.7% snaps and accumulated 14 solo tackles (and 2 assisted), giving him a solo tackle frequency of 9.93% which translates to a 100+ tackle season as an every down ILB (1,000+ snaps) in 2012. Even more impressively for a rookie he has also only missed 1 tackle all year and has used his sideline-to-sideline abilities to register an impressive +4.1 grade against the run which reinforces the confidence that he can establish himself as a reliable IDP asset. Sheppard is an LB2 moving forwards and has the potential, in a traditionally productive position in the Bills scheme (see Posluszny, Paul) to threaten low-end LB1 status next year if he can play a 3 down role.
Prince Amukamara – CB – New York Giants
It took a lot longer than the Giants would have liked, but their beleaguered secondary finally got what it needed in the return from injury of their 1st round rookie, Prince Amukamara. The old fantasy adage of plugging rookie cornerbacks into your line-up holds true no matter how highly thought of they are, and we’ve had numerous examples this year of rookie CBs posting good fantasy scorers. Patrick Peterson, Jimmy Smith, Richard Shermon, Marcus Gilchrist all come to mind as rookies who have held value and Amukamara followed the trend with a decent performance last week. In just 33 snaps (of a possible 75) Amukamara was targeted 6 times (allowing 2 completions) and recorded 5 solo tackles and an interception. He represents immediate short-term value for the next few weeks and I’d recommend that dynasty and keeper league owners stash him if they can and make a call at the end of the season whether he maintained a level of form worth rostering in 2012 and beyond.
Hold:
Jamar Chaney – LB – Philadelphia Eagles
It’s been an up and down season for Jamar Chaney who found himself embroiled in a preseason positional battle with Casey Matthews for the starting MLB spot on the Eagles defense. After losing the battle to Casey Matthews, Matthews played himself out of the role by week 3 by being flat out bad, and at that point Chaney took over. Although his level of play has been pretty mediocre, grading only -6.5 since week 3, he has been a solid fantasy contributor. Chaney plays all defensive downs, has averaged 5.9 tackles a game, added 2 interceptions and a sack to his totals which makes him a low-end LB2 with match-up potential to be a low-end LB1 if he has a big game. He is a useful asset to have on your roster, but we’ll have to see whether the Eagles are confident enough in him to retain his value and starting job in 2012.
Sell:
Greg Hardy – DE – Carolina Panthers
Greg Hardy was a preseason sleeper for several IDP experts, and rightly so opposite one of the league’s best in Charles Johnson. There have been plenty of other Ends who have profited from single-coverage across from a premier pass-rusher and Hardy, who had impressed in spells in 2010 (+8.0), looked set to break out. 3 sacks, 4 hits and 14 hurries in the first five games of the year boded well, but over the following five games Hardy has recorded no sacks, 3 hits and 9 hurries. Averaging only 2.9 total tackles a game makes Hardy vulnerable to poor scores which can really cost a team in the fantasy playoffs, so look to bench Hardy or trade him while you still can.
Questions and comments are welcome – @PFF_RossMiles
© 2025 PFF - all rights reserved.