News & Analysis

Updated final season win projections for all 32 NFL teams

Now just days away from the start of the regular season, we want to revisit the season win totals. As always, these are the result of thousands of simulations using our proprietary grades and situational information. Enjoy!

AFC East

NE 10.7 wins, 87.1% to make playoffs, 80.3 to win division, 13.9 to win Super Bowl

NYJ 6.9, 18.8%, 7.6%, 0.4%

BUF 6.6, 15.2%, 6.6%, 0.3%

MIA 6.5, 13.3%, 5.5%, 0.2%

AFC West

KC 10.6, 81.95, 60.9%, 15.8%

LAC 9.3, 56.5%, 27.1%, 4.7%

DEN 7.5, 24.0%, 8.4%, 1.0%

OAK 6.5, 11.6%, 3.7%, 0.3%

AFC North

PIT 9.3, 61.1%, 43.7%, 5.0%

CLE 8.4, 44.4%, 26.7%, 2.3%

CIN 7.5, 28.2%, 15.0%, 1.0%

BAL 7.4, 26.5%, 14.5%, 0.9%

AFC South

HOU 8.0, 39.6%, 31.1%, 2.0%

TEN 8.0, 38.2%, 29.4%, 1.7%

JAX 7.6, 31.1%, 23.1%, 1.2%

IND 7.1, 22.6%, 16.2%, 0.5%

 

NFC East

PHI 9.4, 61.7%, 48.6%, 5.5%

DAL 8.5, 43.0%, 30.2%, 2.8%

NYG 7.3, 22.4%, 13.7%, 0.8%

WAS 6.5, 13.0%, 7.5%, 0.3%

NFC West

LA 9.6, 65.9%, 48.3%, 7.7%

SEA 8.6, 47.2%, 28.6%, 4.0%

SF 8.0, 35.6%, 20.0%, 2.0%

ARZ 5.7, 7.7%, 3.6%, 0.1%

NFC North

MIN 8.4, 44.7%, 32.5%, 3.1%

CHI 8.1, 39.8%, 28.4%, 2.3%

GB 8.0, 35.8%, 24.7%, 2.0%

DET 7.1, 22.2%, 14.5%, 0.8%

NFC South

NO 10.3, 76.9%, 60.6%, 12.8%

ATL 8.2, 37.6%, 19.2%, 2.8%

CAR 7.4, 24.4%, 10.8%, 0.9%

TB 7.3, 22.2%, 9.4%, 1.1%

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