Betting News & Analysis

NFL Week 4: Odds, lines, spreads and best bets

Jacksonville, Florida, USA; Jacksonville Jaguars head coach Doug Pederson talks with Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) during the first half against the Pittsburgh Steelers at TIAA Bank Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Pendleton-USA TODAY Sports

· Bet Cowboys QB Cooper Rush u31.5 pass attempts (-104): PFF Greenline shows 43.1% edge.

· Bet Lions WR DJ Chark u3.5 receptions vs. Seahawks (+124): 38.8% edge is the highest in Seattle-Detroit.

· Bet Browns -1.5 at Falcons: PFF Greenline shows 4.3% edge on Cleveland.

• New users who bet $10 or more at BetMGM will receive a free year’s subscription to PFF+ — a $79.99 value.

Estimated reading time: 4 mins


Take a look at the odds for every Week 4 game, courtesy of BetMGM, followed by PFF Greenline and PFF staff best bets.

Sunday, Oct. 2

Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts

Spread Total Moneyline
Titans +3.5 (-105) O43 (-110) +150
Colts -3.5 (-115) U43 (-110) -185

· Bet: Colts RB Nyheim Hines u2.5 receptions (+131): Greenline edge of 21.7% is highest in Titans-Colts.

Chicago Bears @ New York Giants

Spread Total Moneyline
Bears +3 (-105) O38.5 (-110) +125
Giants -3 (-115) U38.5 (-110) -150

· Bet: Bears-Giants O 38.5: PFF Greenline edge over 3%.

Buffalo Bills @ Baltimore Ravens

Spread Total Moneyline
Bills -3.5 (-110) O50 (-110) -175
Ravens +3.5 (-11-) U50 (-110) +145

· Bet: Bills WR Isaiah McKenzie u2.5 receptions (+110): 13.6% edge is Greenline's largest in Bills-Ravens.

· Bet: Ravens QB Lamar Jackson o54.5 rush yards (-114): Jackson has at least 55 rushing yards in over 60% of career starts.

Los Angeles Chargers @ Houston Texans

Spread Total Moneyline
Chargers -6 (-110) O45 (-110) -250
Texans +6 (-110) U45 (-110) +200

· Bet: Texans QB Davis Mills o2.5 rush yards (-111): Nearly 10% Greenline edge.

Seattle Seahawks @ Detroit Lions

Spread Total Moneyline
Seahawks +3.5 (-110) O47.5 (-110) +150
Lions -3.5 (-110) U47.5 (-110) -185

· Bet Lions WR DJ Chark u3.5 receptions vs. Seahawks (+124): 38.8% edge is the highest in Seattle-Detroit.

· Bet Seahawks WR D.K. Metcalf o5.5 receptions: He has a 91.7 PFF grade against man coverage, and his 40.9% threat rate vs. man — which Detroit plays more than any team in the league — easily the best in football.

New York Jets @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Spread Total Moneyline
Jets +3.5 (-115) O41.5 (-110) +150
Steelers -3.5 (-105) U41.5 (-110) -185

· Bet Jets RB Breece Hall u8.5 carries (-105): Greenline edge of 14.1 percent; Jets should be in comeback mode.

· Live-betting strategy: Should Steelers jump out to an opening lead of touchdown or greater, consider Zach Wilson's Jets on the back-door cover or win.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Philadelphia Eagles

Spread Total Moneyline
Jaguars +6.5 (-110) O44.5 (-110) +200
Eagles -6.5 (-110) U45.5 (-110) -250

· Bet Jaguars RB Travis Ettiene u6.5 carries (-132): 15.9% Greenline edge among greatest in Jags-Eagles.

· Bet Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence o22.5 completions (-114): Teams have passed the ball 4% more than expected on the Eagles defense (8th in NFL); likely favorable game script.

Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys

Spread Total Moneyline
Commanders +3 (-110) O41.5 (-110) +140
Cowboys -3 (-110) U41.5 (-110) -165

· Bet Cowboys QB Cooper Rush u226.5 pass yards (-115 DK): 24.8% edge via Greenline; Washington run ‘D' 52.3 grade (26th).

· Bet Cowboys QB Cooper Rush u31.5 pass attempts (-104): PFF Greenline shows 43.1% edge.

Cleveland Browns @ Atlanta Falcons

Spread Total Moneyline
Browns -1 (-110) O47.5 (-110) -115
Falcons +1 (-110) U47.5 (-110) +105

· Bet Browns -1.5: Greenline shows 4.3% edge.

Arizona Cardinals @ Carolina Panthers

Spread Total Moneyline
Cardinals +1 (-110) O43.5 (-110) +105
Panthers -1 (-110) U43.5 (-110) -115

· Bet: Panthers TE Tommy Tremble o3.5 receiving yards (-120): 12.3% Greenline Edge.

· Bet: Cardinals +1:  Kliff Kingsbury has an 18-6-2 ATS record on the road; Matt Rhule has a 1-6 ATS record as a home favorite.

Denver Broncos @ Las Vegas Raiders

Spread Total Moneyline
Broncos +2.5 (-110) O45.5 (-110) +125
Raiders -2.5 (-110) U45.5 (-110) -150

 

· Bet Davante Adams o7.5 receptions (-112): PFF Greenline edge of 12.7%..

· Bet Broncos +2.5: Take the better team and take the points.

New England Patriots @ Green Bay Packers

Spread Total Moneyline
Patriots +9.5 (-110) O40 (-110) +340
Packers -9.5 (-110) U40 (-110) -450

· Bet: Pats-Pack O 40: PFF Greenline edge of 2.7%.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Spread Total Moneyline
Chiefs +1 (-115) O46 (-110) -105
Buccaneers -1 (-105) U46 (-110) -115

· Bet Bucs WR Russell Gage u3.5 receptions (+110): WRs healthier, limiting target share; game-high 16.1 PFF Greenline edge.

· Bet Chiefs alt line-7.5: With big disparity between offensive capabilities, attractive spot to grab alt line before market adjustment.

Monday, Oct. 3

Los Angeles Rams @ San Francisco 49ers

Spread Total Moneyline
Rams +1.5 (-110) O42.5 (-110) +105
49ers -1.5 (-110) U42.5 (-110) -125

· Bet 49ers RB Jeff Wilson Jr. u1.5 receptions vs. Rams (+119): 22.6% edge is Greenline's highest in Rams-Niners.

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