Turn $10 into $1,000 this season — Bet No. 13

Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) motions on the line of scrimmage against the Buffalo Bills during the first half at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

• The goal is to provide readers with three picks each week over the 2022 NFL season — one on Thursday night, one for the Sunday slate and one for Monday evening — to turn $10 into $1,000. PFF betting expert Ben Brown will identify the best short-odds selections. The readers' role simply is tailing every pick.

• First, they must sign up with BetMGM and deposit $10 or more. Not only will they be on their way to $1,000, but as a bonus, they'll also receive a free PFF subscription after signing up and making their initial deposit. Moreover, if their first $10 bet loses, BetMGM will provide a $10 credit in a free bet.

What are we waiting for? Let's make some money.

Estimated reading time: 2 min

Bet No. 13: Kansas City Chiefs o2.5 pass TDs (+130) vs. Las Vegas Raiders

• Last Sunday once again showed that when Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid are dialed in, no one can possibly stop them. And while there are a few reasons why this could be an obvious let-down spot for the Chiefs, given the lackluster start to the season for the Raiders, and this game being sandwiched between marquee matchups for Kansas City, that seems like an oversimplification of the handicapping process — and could be the reason we are getting such a soft price on Mahomes o2.5 pass TDs.

This $4.04 bet returns $9.29.


• BET No. 1: Buffalo Bills WR Stefon Diggs O 5.5 Receptions (-110): turned $10 into $19.09.

• BET No. 2: New Orleans Saints ml at Atlanta Falcons (-250): turned $19.09 into $26.73.

• BET No. 3: Seattle Seahawks +6 vs. Denver Broncos (-110): turned $20 into $38.18.

• BET No. 4: Kansas City Chiefs ml vs Los Angeles Chargers (-200): turned $44.91 into $67.37.

• BET No. 5: Arizona Cardinals +5.5 at Las Vegas Raiders (-110): turned $33 into $63.00.

• BET No. 6: Buffalo Bills ml vs. Tennessee Titans (-450): turned $97.37 into $119.01

• BET No. 7: Cleveland Browns QB Jacoby Brissett U 26.5 pass attempts vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (-105): turned $95 into $0(Remaining balance: $24.01.)

• BET No. 8: San Francisco 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo o2.5 rush yards at Denver Broncos (-120): turned $20 into $0. (Remaining balance: $4.01.)

• BET No. 9: Miami Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill o5.5 receptions (-142): turned $4.01 into $6.83

• BET No. 10: Kansas City ChiefsTampa Bay Bucs o46.5: (-110): turned $6.83 into $13.04.

• BET No. 11: Los Angeles Rams WR Cooper Kupp o8.5 receptions (+110): turned $10 into $21. (Current balance: $24.04)

• BET No. 12: Indianapolis Colts WR Michael Pittman o5.5 receptions (+110) at Denver Broncos: turned $20 into 0. (Remaining balance: $4.04)

Betting Featured Tools
  • PFF's Best Bets Tool reveals the bets PFF's data and algorithms give the biggest edge to within spread, total, player prop, and moneyline markets.

    Available with

  • PFF's Player Props Tool reveals betting opportunities within player prop markets.

    Available with

  • Power Rankings are PFF’s NFL power ratings based on weekly player grades in each facet of play. These power rankings are adjusted based on coach, quarterback and the market each season.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NFL game.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NCAA game.

    Available with


Unlock the 2023 Fantasy Draft Kit, with League Sync, Live Draft Assistant, PFF Grades & Data Platform that powers all 32 Pro Teams

$31 Draft Kit Fee + $8.99/mo
$89.88/yr + FREE Draft Kit