Turn $10 into $1,000 this season — Bet No. 10

• The goal is to provide readers with three picks each week over the 2022 NFL season — one on Thursday night, one for the Sunday slate and one for Monday evening — to turn $10 into $1,000. PFF betting expert Ben Brown will identify the best short-odds selections. The readers' role simply is tailing every pick.

• First, they must sign up with BetMGM and deposit $10 or more. Not only will they be on their way to $1,000, but as a bonus, they'll also receive a free PFF subscription after signing up and making their initial deposit. Moreover, if their first $10 bet loses, BetMGM will provide a $10 credit in a free bet.

What are we waiting for? Let's make some money.

Estimated reading time: 2 min

Bet No. 10: Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Bucs o46.5 (-110)

PFF Greenline shows 1.5% value on over 46.5 — and the PFF play-by-play simulation offers a similar outlook for this game cruising over its total. Scoring and QB play both are down from prior season league-wide averages, but if two of the very best offenses and quarterbacks can’t put up 47 points in ideal conditions, there's most likely a greater league-wide adjustment needed to betting models. I’m willing to back overs one more time in this spot before declaring defeat on the season.

PREVIOUS BETS IN OUR $10-TO-$1,000-ON-BETMGM CAMPAIGN THIS NFL SEASON:

• BET No. 9: Miami Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill o5.5 receptions (-142): turned $4.01 into $6.83.