Betting News & Analysis

Turn $10 into $1,000 this season — Bet No. 10

Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) calls a play at the line during the first half against the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

• The goal is to provide readers with three picks each week over the 2022 NFL season — one on Thursday night, one for the Sunday slate and one for Monday evening — to turn $10 into $1,000. PFF betting expert Ben Brown will identify the best short-odds selections. The readers' role simply is tailing every pick.

• First, they must sign up with BetMGM and deposit $10 or more. Not only will they be on their way to $1,000, but as a bonus, they'll also receive a free PFF subscription after signing up and making their initial deposit. Moreover, if their first $10 bet loses, BetMGM will provide a $10 credit in a free bet.

What are we waiting for? Let's make some money.

Estimated reading time: 2 min


Bet No. 10: Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Bucs o46.5 (-110)

PFF Greenline shows 1.5% value on over 46.5 — and the PFF play-by-play simulation offers a similar outlook for this game cruising over its total. Scoring and QB play both are down from prior season league-wide averages, but if two of the very best offenses and quarterbacks can’t put up 47 points in ideal conditions, there's most likely a greater league-wide adjustment needed to betting models. I’m willing to back overs one more time in this spot before declaring defeat on the season.

 

This $6.83 bet returns $13.04.

PREVIOUS BETS IN OUR $10-TO-$1,000-ON-BETMGM CAMPAIGN THIS NFL SEASON:

• BET No. 1: Buffalo Bills WR Stefon Diggs O 5.5 Receptions (-110): turned $10 into $19.09.

• BET No. 2: New Orleans Saints ml at Atlanta Falcons (-250): turned $19.09 into $26.73.

• BET No. 3: Seattle Seahawks +6 vs. Denver Broncos (-110): turned $20 into $38.18.

• BET No. 4: Kansas City Chiefs ml vs Los Angeles Chargers (-200): turned $44.91 into $67.37.

• BET No. 5: Arizona Cardinals +5.5 at Las Vegas Raiders (-110): turned $33 into $63.00.

• BET No. 6: Buffalo Bills ml vs. Tennessee Titans (-450): turned $97.37 into $119.01

• BET No. 7: Cleveland Browns QB Jacoby Brissett U 26.5 pass attempts vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (-105): turned $95 into $0(Remaining balance: $24.01.)

• BET No. 8: San Francisco 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo o2.5 rush yards at Denver Broncos (-120): turned $20 into $0. (Remaining balance: $4.01.)

• BET No. 9: Miami Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill o5.5 receptions (-142): turned $4.01 into $6.83

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