Betting News & Analysis

NFL Week 9: Schedule, odds and best early bets

Houston, Texas, USA; Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry (22) rushes past Houston Texans safety Jonathan Owens (36) for a touchdown in the second quarter at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Thomas Shea-USA TODAY Sports

• Bet Bills QB Josh Allen o2.5 pass TDs at Jets: PFF Greenline's second-biggest edge in Week 9 (18.4%).

Bet Bucs -3 vs Rams: There’s still plenty of value on Tampa despite this not being the best of the number.

• Bet Saints moneyline vs Ravens: Lamar Jackson has struggled when he's not blitzed — and New Orleans sends extra rushers only 17% of time.

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Last updated: Nov. 6, 10:45 a.m.

Estimated reading time: 2 mins


Take a look at the odds for every Week 9 game, courtesy of BetMGM, followed by PFF Greenline and PFF staff best bets.

Sunday, Nov. 6

Los Angeles Chargers @ Atlanta Falcons

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Chargers -2.5 (-110) o49.5 (-110) -145
Falcons +2.5 (-110) u49.5 (-110) +120

• Bet Falcons TE Kyle Pitts — Under 3.5 receptions (-111): 2.5% PFF Greenline edge; Pitts has only gone over in 2/7 games so far, and Falcons could welcome back Cordarrelle Patterson.

Miami Dolphins @ Chicago Bears

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Dolphins -4.5 (-110) o46.5 (-105) -200
Bears +4.5 (-110) u46.5 (-115) +165

• Bet Darnell Mooney — Under 3.5 receptions (-111): His PFF grade of 67 ranks 54th among 94 receivers; arrival of Chase Claypool won't boost Mooney's volume.

• Bet Tyreek Hill anytime TD (+105): The NFL's leading receiver surprisingly has caught a touchdown in only one game, but that changes Sunday at Soldier Field.

Carolina Panthers @ Cincinnati Bengals

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Panthers +7 (-115) o42.5 (-110) +260
Bengals -7 (-105) u42.5 (-110) -350

• Bet P.J. Walker — Over 194.5 pass yards (-113): 5.4% PFF Greenline edge is the game's third-biggest; Walker's only cleared this number once in four starts, but should be favorable game script.

• Bet D.J. Moore — anytime TD (+225): He'll look to make it three straight games in the end zone — keeping his helmet on this time — and draws Cincinnati defense without top corner Chidobe Awuzie.

Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Packers -3.5 (-110) o49.5 (-110) -200
Lions +3.5 (-110) u49.5 (-110) +165

• Bet Aaron Rodgers — Over 1.5 rush yards (-111): This should be basically stealing against Lions' man-heavy scheme given Green Bay's receiving corps limitations.

Indianapolis Colts @ New England Patriots

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Colts +5.5 (-110) o40.5 (-110) +200
Patriots -5.5 (-110) u40.5 (-110) -250

• Bet Sam Ehlinger — Under 0.5 pass TDs (+184): 16.1% Greenline edge; Ehlinger's first-ever trip to Foxborough unlikely to result in high passing grade.

• Bet Colts +5.5: However, Ehlinger's legs can boost Colts' run game and help cover this number.

Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Bills -11.5 (-110) o46 (-110) -600
Jets +11.5 (-110) u46 (-110) +425

• Bet Bills QB Josh Allen — Over 2.5 pass TDs: PFF Greenline's second-biggest edge in Week 9 (18.4%).

• Bet Jills RB Michael Carter — Under 30.5 rush yards: He's currently dead last among qualifying backs in carries that go for negative rushing yards over expected (RYOE).

Minnesota Vikings @ Washington Commanders

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Vikings -3 (-115) o43.5 (-110) -165
Commanders +3 (-105) u43.5 (-110) +140

• Bet Taylor Heinicke — Under 0.5 INTs: 4.6% Greenline edge; Heinicke cut his turnover-worthy play percentage by more than half in his second start, but Vikings rank No. 9 in INT rate (2.8%).

Bet T.J. Hockenson — Under 33.5 receiving yards: We can look at Irv Smith's performance when healthy to give us a good idea of Hockenson's likely production (o33.5 yards in 2/7 games).

Las Vegas Raiders @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Raiders -2.5 (-110) o48 (-110) -145
Jaguars +2.5 (-110) u48 (-110) +120

• Bet Davante Adams — Over 6.5 receptions (-116): After worst receiving day as a Raider in shutout in New Orleans, Adams feasts on Jacksonville's 23rd-graded coverage unit; 9.3% Greenline edge.

Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Seahawks +1.5 (-110) o49 (-110) +105
Cardinals -1.5 (-110) u49 (-110) -125

• Bet Zach Ertz — Under 39.5 receiving yards (-112): 2.8% Greenline edge; 55 total receiving yards on nine combined targets since Hopkins' return.

• Bet DeAndre Hopkins — anytime TD (+105): 27 targets, including 22 catches, a fantastic one-handed TD among them; in rookie Tariq Woolen's toughest matchup yet, bet plus-price Nuk.

 

Los Angeles Rams @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Rams +3 (-105) o42.5 (-110) +130
Buccaneers -3 (-115) u42.5 (-110) -155

Bet Bucs -3 vs Rams: There’s still plenty of value on Tampa despite this not being the best of the number.

Tennessee Titans @ Kansas City Chiefs

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Titans +12.5 (-110) o45.5 (-110) +450
Chiefs -12.5 (-110) u45.5 (-110) -650

• Bet Patrick Mahomes — Over 2.5 pass TDs (+117): 15.5% PFF Greenline edge currently biggest in SNF.

• Bet Travis Kelce — Over 6.5 receptions (-109): 5.9% Greenline edge; Kelce over in 4/7 games this season, has week's biggest advantage vs LB Zach Cunningham, per PFF TE Matchup Chart.

Monday, Nov. 6

Baltimore Ravens @ New Orleans Saints

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Ravens -2 (+100) o47.5 (-110) -140
Saints +2 (-120) u47.5 (-110) +115

Bet Saints moneyline + o23.5 team total: Andy Dalton top 5 in several stable QB metrics, including from a clean pocket, on early downs, without play action and in avoiding negative plays; Lamar Jackson has struggled when he's not blitzed — and New Orleans sends extra rushers only 17% of time.

 

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