NFL Week 12: Schedule, odds and best early bets

• Bet Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa o2.5 pass TDs vs Texans: 28.9% PFF Greenline edge leads Week 12; as hot as any QB over past 3 games, with 3 TDs, 0 INTs, completing 77+ percent of attempts (12.4 ypa).

• Bet Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes o2.5 pass TDs vs Rams: 20.6% PFF Greenline edge is again among the week's biggest; Mahomes over in 6 games so far this season.

• Bet Panthers QB Sam Darnold u0.5 pass TDs vs Broncos: Darnold debuts against PFF's top-rated coverage defense (6th in pass rush, overall).

Last updated: Nov. 27, 11:13 a.m.

Estimated reading time: 2 mins

Take a look at the odds for every Week 12 game, courtesy of BetMGM, followed by PFF Greenline and PFF staff best bets.

Sunday, Nov. 27

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cleveland Browns

• Bet Bucs WR Mike Evans — Over 4.5 receptions (+106): Game-high 6.2% Greenline edge; Evans over in 6/9 so far this season.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Tennessee Titans

• Bet Over 43.5: Slight 1.2% Greenline edge after huge passing days by Joe Burrow, Ryan Tannehill in Week 11.

• Bet RB Samaje Perine — Under 44.5 rush yards: Bengals pass at NFL's third-highest rate over expected; Titans allow 3.9 ypc (3rd).

Houston Texans @ Miami Dolphins

• Bet Texans RB Dameon Pierce — Under 70 rush yards: Only below 70 twice since Week 3, but career-low 10 yards in Week 11 blowout — with another expected.

• Bet Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill anytime TD: PFF's top-graded receiver is a problem for Houston's secondary, including Steven Nelson (77.3).

Chicago Bears @ New York Jets

• Bet Over 38.5: PFF's worst-graded defense (45.6), Chicago should be good cure for what ails Jets offense as Mike White takes the reins.

• Bet Jets RB Michael Carter anytime TD: At +145, this is an excellent price for a player that should get action in both the passing and receiving game. 

Atlanta Falcons @ Washington Commanders

• Bet Commanders RB Antonio Gibson — Under 13.5 carries: 7.5% edge found by Greenline, which is fading Gibson fully this week.

• Bet Commanders WR Terry McLaurin — Over 60.5 receiving yards: Overs have been very profitable against Falcons; McLaurin has more than half of offense's air yards with Taylor Heinicke behind center.

Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers

• Bet Panthers QB Sam Darnold u0.5 pass TDs vs Broncos: Darnold debuts against PFF's top-rated coverage defense (6th in pass rush, overall).

Baltimore Ravens @ Jacksonville Jaguars

• Bet Jaguars WR Christian Kirk — Over 5.5 receptions: Nice matchup for Kirk, over in 3 of past 4, 6/10 in Jags' maiden voyage; 2.9% Greenline edge.

Los Angeles Chargers @ Arizona Cardinals

• Bet Chargers RB Austin Ekeler — Under 98.5 rush/rec. yards: 4.1% PFF Greenline edge; Ekeler under in 6/10 so far.

• Bet Chargers WR Keenan Allen 125+, anytime TD, Bolts win (+1564): Cards blitz a ton (41%), and Justin Herbert looks Allen's way third-most in NFL vs blitz.

Las Vegas Raiders @ Seattle Seahawks

• Bet Raiders TE Foster Moreau — Under 3.5 receptions: Game-high 8.4% Greenline edge; Moreau under in 7/8 games this season.

• Bet Seahawks QB Geno Smith — Over 1.5 pass TDs: Smith over in 8/10; Raiders pass ‘D' is dead last in EPA/pass allowed.

Los Angeles Rams @ Kansas City Chiefs

• Bet Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes o2.5 pass TDs vs Rams: 22.7% PFF Greenline edge is once among biggest of the week; Mahomes over in 6 games so far this season, above his 49.7% career clip.

New Orleans Saints @ San Francisco 49ers

• Bet 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo — Over 2.5 rush yards: He has exactly 3 rushing yards in 3 straight games and has cashed in 6/9 overall; 3.4% Greenline edge.

• Bet Saints RB Alvin Kamara — Under 49.5 rush yards: Kamara gaining 5+ yards on 5.7% of carries, fifth-worst in NFL this season.

Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles

• Bet Eagles RB Miles Sanders u14.5 carries vs Packers: 12% Greenline edge; Packers' slow pace and struggles defending the pass could limit Sanders' rushes.

Monday, Nov. 28

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Indianapolis Colts