Cam Newton is who he thought he was, the New England Patriots are once again the No. 1 team in the AFC, and first-round fantasy running backs are dropping like flies right before the start of the fantasy football playoffs. Therefore, the Week 13 waiver wire figures to be critical for fantasy managers looking to fill voids in lineups.
Click here for more PFF tools:
It’s crazy how we are just two weeks away from the start of the fantasy playoffs. I continue to tweak my fantasy football player rankings based on new information and trends, but at this point, we know each player’s role and how teams can be attacked defensively.
Therefore, don’t get cute and bench a stud after a bad game if the peripheral usage is still present, especially with dual-threat running backs such as Darrell Henderson, Saquon Barkley and David Montgomery. Each has collected high-end receiving usage.
With plenty of other PFF premium stats available to adjust rankings based on a player’s high-value opportunities, expected fantasy point output and route participation, it will be easy to highlight the best waiver-wire pickups, optimal starts/sits, under-the-radar DFS plays and beatable player prop bets.
Those key data points — along with PFF player grades, implied team totals, PFF fantasy projections and strength of schedule — are all factored into my position-by-position Week 13 fantasy football rankings.
2021 WEEK 13 QB FANTASY FOOTBALL RANKINGS
|Patrick Mahomes II||KC||4||1|
Murray's game action was in Week 8, where he finished as the QB28 after hurting his ankle.
But with so much time off — and DeAndre Hopkins‘s return — fantasy managers shouldn't hesitate to go back to Murray. Before Murray’s injury, he ranked as the QB4 in fantasy points per game (24.8).
At least these were my initial thoughts on Murray before he and Hopkins were both deemed game-time decisions by head coach Kliff Kingsbury.
Luckily, the schedule gods are working in favor of fantasy football gamers with the Arizona Cardinals–Chicago Bears matchup kicking off at 1 p.m. ET, so you’ll have ample time to make a pivot for a backup plan like Taylor Heinicke, Tyrod Taylor, Jimmy Garoppolo or Tua Tagovailoa.
The Bills have allowed the fewest passing yards per game this season (189.1), and the New England Patriots rank fourth (219.3). This AFC East matchup has the second-lowest projected total on the Week 13 slate (44 points), so it shouldn't feature many offensive fireworks from either team.
Hence why I’d bet the under on Allen’s 265.5 passing yards prop — a number he has surpassed only once in his last five games. The same goes for Mac Jones’ 220.5-yard passing prop and Stefon Diggs’ 75.5 receiving yards prop. Like Allen, those players have hit their betting number just once in their last five games played.
Take advantage of this correlated three-legged Monday Night Football parlay at PrizePicks.
Allen’s status as a top-tier fantasy quarterback doesn’t change due to his rushing, but he does fall in my quarterback rankings because he does not project to have a ceiling game this week.
Hurts’ streak of top-12 quarterback fantasy finishes finally came to an end in Week 12, as the New York Giants defense forced Hurts to beat them as a traditional pocket passer, and Hurts failed to deliver.
The Eagles quarterback completed just 45% of his passes en route to an abysmal 46.2 PFF passing grade. Woof.
But on the bright side, he did finish the game with 77 rushing yards. And that’s the most important thing to remember with Hurts, as his fantasy value is tied to his rushing production, which is not going away anytime soon.
Keep him as a starter in fantasy lineups — assuming all reports are positive about his ankle injury — in a smash spot versus PFF’s 32nd-ranked New York Jets defense. The Jets defense has allowed the second-most passing yards to quarterbacks over the last four weeks.
When Hill started at QB in 2020, he posted the league’s highest adjusted completion percentage (83%) and performed admirably within the structure of New Orleans' offense. For fantasy purposes, he was a revelation.
The tight-end-turned-quarterback averaged 22.6 fantasy points per game — sixth-best over that time. His rushing production — 209 yards and four touchdowns — massively boosted his numbers. When Hill starts, his rushing upside alone makes him a potential top-12 option at the position.
Hill also gets a favorable matchup against Dallas. New Orleans has allowed the most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks in their last four contests, so Hill and company will have to stay aggressive on offense to keep pace with Dak Prescott, who is my No. 3-ranked quarterback for Week 13.
Unless you have an absolute locked-and-loaded stud at quarterback, Hill is the must-play option off the waiver wire.
2021 WEEK 13 RB FANTASY FOOTBALL RANKINGS