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Week 13 fantasy football waiver wire pickups, trade candidates and start or sit roster decisions based on PFF routes run

Houston, Texas, USA; New York Jets wide receiver Elijah Moore (8) runs after the catch against Houston Texans free safety Eric Murray (23) in the fourth quarter at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Thomas Shea-USA TODAY Sports

Opportunity is king in fantasy football, and chasing target volume has always been a winning strategy — especially in PPR leagues. PFF premium stats offers proprietary data that goes well beyond the box score, including routes run for every player on the depth chart.

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Targeting players who are running a high percentage of routes is a good strategy for identifying breakout candidates, DFS targets and the best waiver wire pickups. This weekly report will look at the previous week's rate of routes run per dropback compared to larger samples to find sleeper running backs, wide receivers and tight ends who are garnering more or less opportunities in the passing game heading into Week 13.

Last week's article highlighted the likes of Josh Reynolds, Brandon Aiyuk, D.J. Moore, Cedrick Wilson, Dontrell Hilliard, Dawson Knox, Cole Kmet, Dalton Schultz, Rob Gronkowski and Leonard Fournette as players whose receiving usage was likely to transform into fantasy production sooner than later.

This data does not include the Monday Night Football game between the Seattle Seahawks and Washington Football Team.


Rate of routes run per dropback | Week 12
Player Routes run % of routes run per dropback
Adam Thielen 37 100%
Mike Evans 39 100%
Michael Gallup 53 100%
Van Jefferson 42 100%
Davante Adams 48 98%
Diontae Johnson 46 98%
Chase Claypool 46 98%
Marvin Jones Jr. 44 98%
Jarvis Landry 42 98%
Odell Beckham Jr. 41 98%
Chris Godwin 38 97%
Justin Jefferson 36 97%
Nelson Agholor 35 97%
DeVonta Smith 35 97%
Elijah Moore 30 97%
Amon-Ra St. Brown 26 96%
Cooper Kupp 40 95%
Robby Anderson 35 95%
D.J. Moore 35 95%
Jakobi Meyers 34 94%
Noah Brown 50 94%
Brandin Cooks 32 94%
Michael Pittman Jr. 48 94%
Keelan Cole 29 94%
Darnell Mooney 42 93%

Van Jefferson Jr. is getting WR1-esque treatment for the Los Angeles Rams. The second-year wideout stayed heavily involved in the Rams passing attack despite all the efforts to get Odell Beckham Jr. more looks in the offense.

Jefferson and Matthew Stafford connected on a huge 79-yard touchdown, which is how the Rams wide receiver scored the vast majority of his fantasy points. Continue to view Jefferson as a boom-or-bust fantasy WR3 ahead of a plus-matchup versus the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 13.

Rate of routes run per dropback | Last four weeks


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