Opportunity is king in fantasy football, and chasing target volume has always been a winning strategy — especially in PPR leagues. PFF premium stats offers proprietary data that goes well beyond the box score, including routes run for every player on the depth chart.
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Targeting players who are running a high percentage of routes is a good strategy for identifying breakout candidates, DFS targets and the best waiver wire pickups. This weekly report will look at the previous week's rate of routes run per dropback compared to larger samples to find sleeper running backs, wide receivers and tight ends who are garnering more or less opportunities in the passing game heading into Week 13.
Last week's article highlighted the likes of Josh Reynolds, Brandon Aiyuk, D.J. Moore, Cedrick Wilson, Dontrell Hilliard, Dawson Knox, Cole Kmet, Dalton Schultz, Rob Gronkowski and Leonard Fournette as players whose receiving usage was likely to transform into fantasy production sooner than later.
Rate of routes run per dropback | Week 12
|Player||Routes run||% of routes run per dropback|
|Marvin Jones Jr.||44||98%|
|Odell Beckham Jr.||41||98%|
|Amon-Ra St. Brown||26||96%|
|Michael Pittman Jr.||48||94%|
Van Jefferson Jr. is getting WR1-esque treatment for the Los Angeles Rams. The second-year wideout stayed heavily involved in the Rams passing attack despite all the efforts to get Odell Beckham Jr. more looks in the offense.
Jefferson and Matthew Stafford connected on a huge 79-yard touchdown, which is how the Rams wide receiver scored the vast majority of his fantasy points. Continue to view Jefferson as a boom-or-bust fantasy WR3 ahead of a plus-matchup versus the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 13.
Rate of routes run per dropback | Last four weeks