Betting News & Analysis

Sunday Night Football Staff Picks: Player props, spread bets and more

Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce (87) catches a pass as Cincinnati Bengals cornerback Mike Hilton (21) defends in the second quarter during the AFC championship NFL football game, Sunday, Jan. 30, 2022, at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo. Cincinnati Bengals At Kansas City Chiefs Jan 30 Afc Championship 50

Bet Titans +12.5: Mike Vrabel's Titans are 2-1 SU and ATS as a double-digit road dog; this is too many points in a game likely to be shortened by Derrick Henry.

•  The best way to begin is trying PFF's betting dashboards for free by signing up to PFF+ today.

Bet Travis Kelce o6.5 receptions: PFF Greenline finds a 7.6% edge, the fifth-biggest Sunday night.

Last updated: Nov. 6, 4:30 p.m.

Estimated reading time: 1 min


Here are PFF staff best bets in Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans on “Sunday Night Football in Week 9:

Ben Brown: Patrick Mahomes — Over 2.5 pass TDs

Mahomes is on an incredible 11-3 run going over his prop number since Week 15 last year. Yet he hasn't seen this high of a plus-price offering on o2.5 pass TDs since the playoffs last year. The narrative shifted too far in one direction for this matchup, creating an opportunity to buy low on the best quarterback on the planet.

Bet Gameplan: Playable to +130

Tommy Jurgens: Titans +12.5

This is too many points for a game likely to be shortened by Tennessee, and the Titans’ defense is more than capable of stalling KC in opportune moments. The Titans have been extremely profitable on the moneyline in this spot — Vrabel is 2-1 SU and ATS as a double-digit road dog — and 12.5 points is a gift.

PFF Greenline top play: Travis Kelce — Over 6.5 receptions (-102)

Bet Gameplan: Playable to -120

The PFF Fantasy Football TE Matchup chart gives Kelce a 51% advantage over Titans LB Zach Cunningham, the biggest of Week 9. PFF Greenline finds a 7.6% edge, the fifth-biggest Sunday night. He's gone over this number in 4 of 7 games, including three of the past four. Kadarius Toney's arrival might not bode well for Mecole Hardman, but it should only help the NFL's best tight end maintain his mantle.

Betting Featured Tools

  • PFF's Best Bets Tool reveals the bets PFF's data and algorithms give the biggest edge to within spread, total, player prop, and moneyline markets.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NFL game.

    Available with

  • PFF's Player Props Tool reveals betting opportunities within player prop markets.

    Available with

  • Power Rankings are PFF’s NFL power ratings based on weekly player grades in each facet of play. These power rankings are adjusted based on coach, quarterback and the market each season.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NCAA game.

    Available with

Subscriptions

Unlock all tools and content including Player Grades, Fantasy, NFL Draft, Premium Stats, Greenline and DFS.

$9.99 / mo
$79.99 / yr