Betting News & Analysis

Week 9 NFL Betting Trends: MNF Home dogs are 20-8-1 to the Under since 2012

East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) drops back to pass against the New York Jets during the first half at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

• Ravens QB Lamar Jackson is 13-1 in his career vs NFC opponents; Saints QB Andy Dalton 5-2 ATS and SU at home vs Baltimore.

• Since 2021, home favorites vs non-division opponents are 1-10 ATS on SNF.

• Patrick Mahomes' Chiefs are 9-5 to the Under as double-digit home favorites; Mike Vrabel's Titans 2-1 ATS and SU as a double-digit road underdogs (including playoffs).

Here's a sampling of obscure, and actionable trends in Week 9 marquee games:

Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets

– Josh Allen is 21-9-3 ATS on the road 

– Since 1999, road favorites of 13 or more v divisional opponents are 13-7 ATS

Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals

– HC Kliff Kingsbury is 11-17 ATS at home, and 5-11 ATS as a home favorite

– Pete Carroll's Seahawks are 7-4-1 ATS on the road v Arizona

Los Angeles Rams @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

– Sean McVay's Rams are 10-5 ATS as road underdogs (including playoffs)

– Since 2010, the Rams are 6-0 ATS and 5-1 SU playing in Tampa Bay (including playoffs)

Tennessee Titans @ Kansas City Chiefs

– Since 2021, home favorites vs non-division opponents are 1-10 ATS on SNF

– Mahomes is 9-5 to the Under as a double-digit home favorite

– Mike Vrabel is 2-1 ATS and SU as a double-digit road underdog (including playoffs)

– Since 2007, Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in Kansas City

Baltimore Ravens @ New Orleans Saints

– Since 2012, MNF home underdogs are 20-8-1 to the Under

– Lamar Jackson is 13-1 SU vs the NFC

Since 2014, the Saints are 3-15 ATS when hosting AFC opponents

– Andy Dalton is 5-2 ATS and SU at Home versus Baltimore

 

Betting Featured Tools

  • PFF's Best Bets Tool reveals the bets PFF's data and algorithms give the biggest edge to within spread, total, player prop, and moneyline markets.

    Available with

  • PFF's Player Props Tool reveals betting opportunities within player prop markets.

    Available with

  • Power Rankings are PFF’s NFL power ratings based on weekly player grades in each facet of play. These power rankings are adjusted based on coach, quarterback and the market each season.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NFL game.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NCAA game.

    Available with

Subscriptions

Unlock the 2023 Fantasy Draft Kit, with League Sync, Live Draft Assistant, PFF Grades & Data Platform that powers all 32 Pro Teams

$31 Draft Kit Fee + $8.99/mo
OR
$89.88/yr + FREE Draft Kit