NFL Anytime Touchdown Bets: Austin Ekeler, Alvin Kamara among best Week 10 bets

2T5TM01 Los Angeles Chargers running back Austin Ekeler (30) reacts after scoring a touchdown against the New York Jets during the first quarter of an NFL football game, Monday, Nov. 6, 2023, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Adam Hunger)

• RB Austin Ekeler, Los Angeles Chargers: Plenty of Ekeler’s touchdown equity comes in the passing game, and the Lions rank 28th among defenses in expected points added (EPA) allowed per play and 29th in success rate allowed on targets to running backs.

• RB Alvin Kamara, New Orleans Saints: Since Week 4, only Josh Jacobs has recorded more carries inside the 10-yard line than Alvin Kamara. Over that same stretch, Kamara also leads the league in rush attempts from inside the 5-yard line. The Saints star has as solid a red-zone role as any back can have.

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RB Austin Ekeler, Los Angeles Chargers

Ekeler was last season's touchdown leader, but he hasn’t had the same success this season, as he has found the end zone just four times in five games. 

However, he might be in a spot to get back on track in Week 10, as the Lions rank dead last in rushing success rate allowed on rushes from within the red zone

Plenty of Ekeler’s touchdown equity comes in the passing game, and the Lions also rank 28th among defenses in expected points added (EPA) allowed per play and 29th in success rate allowed on targets to running backs.

In a spot that should feature plenty of scoring, look for Ekeler to find his way into the end zone.


RB Alvin Kamara, New Orleans Saints

Since Week 4, only Josh Jacobs has recorded more carries inside the 10-yard line than Alvin Kamara. Over that same stretch, Kamara also leads the league in rush attempts from inside the 5-yard line. The Saints star has as solid a red-zone role as any back can have.

Teams have run against the Minnesota Vikings in the red zone at a high rate, with the defense ranking bottom-10 in success rate allowed to running backs.

Always a threat to score on the ground or in the air, Kamara is in a great spot to add to his touchdown total.


Longshot: TE Dalton Schultz, Houston Texans

The Bengals have really struggled to defend tight ends this season, as they rank 29th in both coverage grade and success rate allowed on targets to tight ends. They rank 32nd in EPA per play on those plays.

Meanwhile, Schultz has earned red-zone targets at the sixth-highest rate of any pass-catcher in the NFL as one of C.J. Stroud‘s favorite targets. 

In a game without emerging WR Nico Collins, look for Stroud to find his favorite target in the red zone in a favorable matchup against the Bengals.


 

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