PFF provides every fan with the right information to best prepare for Week 2 of the 2019 NFL season. We offer advanced stats and grades on key players to watch, fantasy football advice and links to PFF Greenline predictions for all 16 NFL games on the schedule for this week.
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Thursday, September 12
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers
NFL Players to Watch
Vernon Hargreaves III earned an impressive 84.9 coverage grade across his 34 coverage snaps in Week 1, allowing just one reception from three targets for 14 yards and snagging a pick-six in the process. On his interception, Hargreaves made an outstanding break on the ball covering San Francisco 49ers’ Tevin Coleman on a short hitch and turned Jimmy Garoppolo’s errant throw into six points. Hargreaves will see a mix of two talented Carolina Panthers pass-catchers in Curtis Samuel and second-year Maryland product DJ Moore against Carolina in Week 2. The Panthers duo combined for 10 receptions and 108 receiving yards from 14 targets in Week 1 against the Los Angeles Rams.
Fantasy Football Preview
Don’t panic about Cam Newton and the Panthers’ passing game yet. A Week 1 matchup against the Rams is scary for any quarterback, especially when Aqib Talib is on the field. Last year, the Rams allowed 26.4 fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks when Talib was inactive but cut that number basically in half (13.8) when he played. You’d have liked Newton to do better than his 7.8-point outing in Week 1, but cut him some slack until he faces a friendlier defense.
Spread: CAR -6.5 | Total: 49.5
Look ahead lines had this spread pegged at -5.5 before Week 1. The Bucs had an atrocious start to 2019, and this line adjusted out to -6.5 and even -7 in some spots. With both offenses in the top half of our offensive ranking, Greenline is intrigued by a certain side of the total.
Sunday, September 15
Arizona Cardinals @ Baltimore Ravens
NFL Players to Watch
Rookie Oklahoma product Marquise Brown turned eight routes into 147 yards and two touchdowns in Week 1 against the hapless Miami Dolphins. He turned a short slant route into a 47-yard touchdown on his first trip to the end zone and burned Minkah Fitzpatrick on a go route from the slot for and 83-yard touchdown soon after. The 5-foot-9, 170-pound speedster is just scratching the surface and should see a favorable matchup against an Arizona secondary without Patrick Peterson. The Cardinals gave up 321 yards on targets to the slot or outside receivers against Detroit, the third-highest total of any NFL defense in Week 1.
Fantasy Football Preview
Kyler Murray came out in his first career game and got hit in the mouth. And then he rebounded fine. His PFF grade through the third quarter against the Lions was 35.6, but then he put up a 78.9 in the fourth quarter as the Cardinals came back to tie the game. Sure, you’d rather four quarters of production, but for a debuting rookie behind a bad offensive line facing one of the league’s most fearsome defensive fronts, that’s reassuring. He’ll be fine.
Spread: BAL -13.5 | Total: 37
The second-largest spread price in Week 2 pits our 28th-ranked Cardinals against the seventh-ranked Ravens. The spread has held firm since the open, but the total has been pounded from an opening of 41 finally settling in at a market consensus of 47. Greenline can help answer whether that move was too extreme.
San Francisco 49ers @ Cincinnati Bengals
NFL Players to Watch
Only Jameis Winston turned in a lower passing grade than Jimmy Garoppolo among quarterbacks with 20-plus dropbacks in Week 1. Jimmy G threw a terrible interception to Vernon Hargreaves III that resulted in a pick-six and really struggled pushing the ball downfield the few times he aired it out. He finished the game with a week-low 5.5 average depth of target and just a 6.2 yard per attempt average. He also completed just one of the seven attempts he three 10-plus yards down the field. Cincinnati’s defense isn’t among the league’s best by any means, but Sam Hubbard, Geno Atkins and Carl Lawson will feast on Jimmy G and the 49ers’ offense if they can’t stretch the field. The Bengals trio combined for 12 total pressures against the Seattle Seahawks in Week 1.
Fantasy Football Preview
There are plenty of big names to be nervous about coming out of Week 1 because of frustrating fantasy performances. George Kittle definitely is not one of them. Yes, we would have liked more than 54 yards, especially considering he had eight receptions, but Kittle played 91.0% of the 49ers’ offensive snaps, had 10 targets when no one else on the team topped three and had two touchdowns called back due to penalty. Kittle is still firmly the fantasy TE2.
Spread: CIN -1.5 | Total: 45
Quite a bit of market uncertainty seems to exist around the 2019 Bengals. After opening as a pick 'em, this line moved out to -1.5 in most spots favoring the home Bengals. With two defenses in the bottom fourth of our defensive rankings, make sure to check out Greenline to see if there's a play on the total.
Los Angeles Chargers @ Detroit Lions
NFL Players to Watch
The Chargers will be in bad spot offensively for as long as Trent Scott takes the field as the team’s starter at left tackle in place of the injured Russell Okung. Scott allowed five total pressures and was beat an additional two times against the Indianapolis Colts in Week 1, earning a dismal 48.3 single-game pass-blocking grade in the process. Including his poor performance this past week, Scott has earned just a 48.7 overall grade, a 42.3 pass-blocking grade and a 54.2 run-blocking grade across 198 career offensive snaps. Expect Matt Patricia and the Lions’ defense to seek out ways to expose Scott on Sunday.
Fantasy Football Preview
T.J. Hockenson is here. It’s not a stretch at all to say the Detroit tight end had the best debut game of any rookie tight end ever, and he did it with plenty of deep plays — his average depth of target of 18.2 yards was almost six yards deeper than the deepest tight end’s last year (Rob Gronkowski, 12.5 yards). He won’t maintain that aDOT, and he probably won’t continue to haul in 131 yards a game, but he’s definitely now on the TE1 radar.
Spread: DET +2.5 | Total: 48
The Lions played three and a half quarters of solid football in Week 1 before letting Arizona climb back into the game. With 20 places between these two teams' ELO rankings, is 2.5 points too great of an obstacle for the road favorite Chargers?
Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers
NFL Players to Watch
Rookie center Garrett Bradberry learned quickly that Atlanta Falcons veteran defensive interior Grady Jarrett is the real deal in Week 1. Bradberry earned just a 35.1 overall grade and a 51.5 run-blocking grade against Atlanta in Week 1. He also allowed one pressure and got beat an additional two times in his 11 pass-blocking snaps. And things don’t get any easier for the rookie in Week 2, as he should see a ton of Green Bay Packers star defensive interior Kenny Clark this upcoming Sunday. Clark had an unspectacular start to the 2019 season against the Chicago Bears in Week 1, but he earned 90.5 and 87.5 overall grades in 2018 and 2017, respectively.
Fantasy Football Preview
The Vikings led 14-0 before seven minutes had passed in Week 1 and never saw the lead get lower than that, so don’t attach too much to the fact that the team attempted only 10 passes. Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs are still stars, and they’ll get theirs in the long run, even if this team is more run-heavy than in recent years. The player you might want to worry about, though? Kyle Rudolph. The tight end played on every single one of the team’s offensive snaps in Week 1, but saw zero targets and stayed in to block more than anything else. He’s off the fantasy radar unless and until something changes.
Spread: GB -3 | Total: 44
This rivalry game is the tightest Week 2 matchup according to our various team rankings. The spread has pushed out to the key -3 number after opening at -2.5 with the total sliding two points from the opening 46 down to 44.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans
NFL Players to Watch
All eyes will be on rookie signal-caller Gardner Minshew in his first career start against the Texans in Week 2. The former Washington State gunslinger finished the 2018 season ranked seventh in passing grade (89.1) and first in adjusted completion percentage (80.7%) among draft-eligible quarterbacks. He also ranked third in the class in turnover-worthy play percentage (1.69%), recording just 12 turnover-worthy plays across his 708 dropbacks. And his NFL debut couldn’t have gotten off to a better start, as he completed 22-of-25 passes for 275 yards and two touchdowns on his way to an 87.4 passing grade against the Kansas City Chiefs’ defense in Week 1. He doesn’t have a ton of arm talent, but he throws with great anticipation for a rookie and very well could surprise people going against a Texans defense that struggled against New Orleans on Monday Night Football this past week. Houston’s coverage unit was so bad the team’s brass already released veteran Aaron Colvin, and JJ Watt tallied just one pressure going against New Orleans’ offensive line.
Fantasy Football Preview
Carlos Hyde comfortably outworked Duke Johnson during their Cleveland tenure in 2018. That wasn’t the case in Week 1 — Johnson played 41 snaps compared to 23 for Hyde — but we’re still seeing a split. Hyde had 10 carries, Johnson had nine. Johnson’s receiving work (five targets compared to one for Hyde) means he’s still the back you want in Houston, but the overall split and its efficacy (they combined for 140 rushing yards on 19 carries) means neither one currently looks like anything more than a flex option.
Spread: HOU -8.5 | Total: 43.5
After placing their starting quarterback on IR, the Jaguars opened as 10-point dogs but have been bet down to 8.5 after the Texans' narrow defeat on Monday night. These teams are within three places of each other according to our overall ELO ranking. Check out Greenline to see if this is enough to make up for the loss of a starting quarterback on the road for the Jaguars.
New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins
NFL Players to Watch
Losing Trey Flowers this offseason had many questioning the Patriots’ pass-rush entering the 2019 season. And while New England didn’t get much pressure against Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers in Week 1, third-year defensive lineman Deatrich Wise Jr. showed he may be capable of filling Flowers’ shoes. Wise recorded four total pressures on just 16 pass-rush snaps on his way to a team-high 79.1 pass-rush grade against Pittsburgh in Week 1. No other Patriots defensive lineman earned a pass-rush grade above 62.0 in the contest. Wise is in a prime position to build off his strong start to the 2019 NFL season going against an atrocious offensive line in South Beach. The Dolphins had three different offensive linemen allow three or more pressures in Week 1, including Julie’n Davenport and Danny Isidora.
Fantasy Football Preview
Lamar Jackson had a 60.0 PFF passing grade in 2018. He had a 93.6 in Week 1. Tom Brady had an 88.6 passing grade in 2018. How high can it climb in Week 2 against this woeful Dolphins team? Sure, that was a small sample, and a lot of Jackson’s improvements have to be credited to Jackson himself, but Miami looks like a team to use all of your weapons against in 2019, and to do so hungrily.
Spread: MIA +19 | Total: 47.5
The spread that refuses to settle in Week 2, this line opened with the Patriots favored by 15.5 on the road and has continued to climb currently settled at 19 for the road favorites. If it closes at this price, it would be the biggest road spread the Patriots have had to overcome in over 10 years. A whopping 29 spots separate these two teams' ELO rankings and defensive rankings, and 24 spots separate their offensive rankings. Check Greenline to see if these ranking discrepancies are enough to justify a play on either side at the current market price.
Buffalo Bills @ New York Giants
NFL Players to Watch
Rookie cornerback DeAndre Baker, a first-round pick out of Georgia, is in desperate need of a bounce-back week. Cowboys’ Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup gave Baker fits in Week 1, torching the young cornerback for 132 yards, three first downs and a touchdown as a duo. He earned, as you’d expect, a dismal 28.4 coverage grade for his efforts (or lack thereof) against Dallas. And things don’t get any easier for the rookie against Buffalo, especially if he’s pitted against Bills speedster John Brown at any point in the game. Brown caught 7-of-9 targets for 123 yards and a touchdown against the New York Jets in Week 1.
Fantasy Football Preview
Only four starting quarterbacks in Week 1 put up a lower overall grade than Josh Allen’s 52.3, and only one put up a lower rushing grade than Allen’s 44.1 (among those who actually logged a carry). Yes, he salvaged a wholly respectable fantasy day of 22.0 points thanks to a late-game comeback that included a rushing score and a passing score, but he’s going to have to cut down on the turnovers and improve overall for him to be anything like a fantasy option.
Spread: NYG +1.5 | Total: 43.5
The Giants have surprisingly been bet down after opening as 2.5 home dogs. With some oddsmakers moving all the way to pick 'em, has this line over adjusted too much for a team ranked 29th in our ELO rankings?
Seattle Seahawks @ Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL Players to Watch
Steelers’ TJ Watt and Javon Hargrave earned 89.1 and 82.0 pass-rush grades, respectively, going against the New England Patriots’ offensive line in Week 1. The duo combined for a whopping 11 pressures and two additional pass-rush wins across 40 combined pass-rush opportunities. In other words, Seattle’s offensive line is in for a rough Week 2 outing against Pittsburgh. While DJ Fluker and Ethan Pocic allowed just one pressure between the two of them, Justin Britt, Duane Brown and Germain Ifedi all earned sub-70.0 pass-blocking grades and allowed nine total pressures as a trio against Cincinnati in Week 1. Expect this to be a lopsided affair in the trenches in favor of Watt, Hargrave & Co.
Fantasy Football Preview
There were 124 receivers to see at least one target in Week 1. By PFF overall grading, Pittsburgh’s receivers ranked 35th (JuJu Smith-Schuster), 84th (James Washington), 97th (Ryan Switzer), 101st (Diontae Johnson), 102nd (Johnny Holton) and a cool 124th (Donte Moncrief). Yes, they were facing one of the game’s best secondaries in New England, but that’s a horrifying collection of grades for what was supposed to be a powerful receiving offense. If the Steelers don’t rebound in Week 2, we can start to get very concerned.
Spread: PIT -4 | Total: 46.5
Between these two evenly matched teams, the only big ranking discrepancy is on the offensive side, where the Seahawks rank ninth and the Steelers slot in at 19th. With a handful of Steelers players currently listed as questionable, this line has moved from an opening of -4.5 down a full point in some spots. Greenline offers a play and with this line still moving, the question is when is the correct time to pounce.
Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans
NFL Players to Watch
Kemoko Turay, the Colts’ second-year Rutgers product, had a career day against the Los Angeles Chargers’ hapless offensive line in Week 1. He recorded four pressures in just 15 pass-rush snaps en route to a 94.9 pass-rush grade on the day. And Turay will have another favorable matchup going against Titans left tackle Dennis Kelly on Sunday. Replacing the suspended Taylor Lewan, Kelly recorded a 56.9 pass-blocking grade and allowed three pressures on his 30 pass-blocking snaps against the Cleveland Browns in Week 1.
We can’t move onto the next game without discussing Titans rookie wideout AJ Brown. The former Ole Miss standout was electric in his NFL regular season debut, catching three of his four targets for 100 yards and forcing several missed tackles along the way.
Fantasy Football Preview
The Colts led for exactly zero seconds of their Week 1 game. Despite the unfavorable gamescript, Marlon Mack played 48 snaps compared to 17 for Nyheim Hines, reassuring for investors who might have been worried about Mack’s gamescript sensitivity a year ago. Hines still had four targets while Mack didn’t get a single one, so he’s not a pure bell-cow by any means, but if Mack can continue to see the field that much even if the Colts trail, he’ll be a borderline RB1 in 2019.
Spread: TEN -3 | Total: 45
The new-look Colts had a surprisingly solid start to the NFL season taking the Chargers to overtime. With two defenses ranked in the top-10, this total could be slightly mispriced as oddsmakers continue to struggle to peg the Colts correctly to start the season.
Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Redskins
NFL Players to Watch
La’el Collins enters Week 2 as the highest-graded offensive tackle in football after a strong performance against the New York Giants highlighted by several impact blocks in the run game. He’ll look to build on his hot start with another dominant outing against a Washington Redskins defensive front lacking top-end talent outside of veteran Ryan Kerrigan. With Amari Cooper drawing a ton of rave reviews (and rightfully so) for his fiery performance in Week 1, Michael Gallup is getting enough attention for his strong start to his sophomore season in the NFL. The former Colorado State phenom caught all seven of his targets against New York for 158 yards and five first downs while also forcing three missed tackles after the catch.
Redskins rookie wideout Terry McLaurin also deserves some love for his NFL regular season debut and will be a player to watch against Dallas and in the weeks following. McLaurin caught 5-of-7 targets for 125 yards and a score against Philadelphia in Week 1, earning an 84.7 receiving grade in the process.
Fantasy Football Preview
Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup each topped 100 yards in Week 1. The last time the Cowboys had two 100-yard receivers in the same game, Matt Cassel was the starting quarterback back in Week 9 of 2015 when Cole Beasley and Dez Bryant did it. Whether it is Gallup’s development or an improved Dak Prescott or the Kellen Moore offense, we’ll have to wait and see, but this offense appears to have an element we haven’t seen from it in some time.
Spread: WAS +4.5 | Total: 46.5
The Cowboys had one of the best starts to the 2019 season with their offense looking like a revelation under new offensive coordinator Kellen Moore. After opening at 44, this total has risen up to 46.5. Greenline can tell you whether that adjustment is correct or the market is overvaluing one week of data on the Cowboys.
Kansas City Chiefs @ Oakland Raiders
NFL Players to Watch
Derek Carr and Tyrell Williams both exceeded expectations in the Raiders’ season opener against the Denver Broncos on Monday night. Carr earned the second-highest passing grade of any quarterback in Week 1 at 92.6, and Williams led the way with 86.2 receiving grade, 105 yards and a score. Carr really thrived throwing the football quickly after the snap, as he completed 16-of-18 passes thrown within 2.5 seconds of the snap for 165 yards and a score while averaging 4.5 air yards per target. Jon Gruden’s offensive gameplan put Carr and the Raiders’ front-five in a position to succeed against a very good Denver Broncos defensive front.
With Tyreek Hill expected to “miss a few weeks” with a shoulder injury, Kansas City will lean on Sammy Watkins to fill the void similar to how he did against Jacksonville in Week 1. Watkins torched the Jags’ defense, catching 9-of-11 targets for 198 yards, three touchdowns and two additional first downs en route to a 91.4 receiving grade.
Fantasy Football Preview
Gardner Minshew was one of Week 1’s biggest surprises, replacing an injured Nick Foles and putting up an 87.8 PFF grade and notching a 100% adjusted completion percentage (his three incompletions came on two drops and a batted pass). That’s great for the rookie, but it’s fair to wonder how much of his performance came because of gamescript and the fact that the Chiefs are amenable to passing production. Derek Carr, who tied for our top overall quarterback grade in Week 1, could be the next to test the hypothesis that the Chiefs allow plenty of fantasy numbers, and that makes him a viable streaming option in Week 2.
Spread: OAK +7.5 | Total: 52.5
The Raiders shocked the league Monday night turning turmoil into triumph in their opening week victory. This total has actually dropped a full point down to 52.5 from the open. With two of the three worst defenses in the NFL according to our rankings duking it out, is that line movement correct?
Chicago Bears @ Denver Broncos
NFL Players to Watch
Rookie guard Dalton Risner had a stellar start to his NFL career against Oakland on Monday night. He earned an 84.2 overall grade and 80.0-plus marks as both a run-blocker (80.3) and pass-blocker (83.3) across 62 offensive snaps. He allowed zero total pressures in his 35 pass-blocking snaps, as well. Risner, however, will face a much tougher test in Week 2 than he did against the Raiders’ defensive front in Week 1. Bears interior defensive linemen Akiem Hicks and Eddie Goldman both pose as challenges for Risner this upcoming week. Hicks earned a 92.0 overall grade in Chicago a year ago, and Goldman wasn’t too far behind with his 89.0 overall grade in 2018.
Fantasy Football Preview
It’s fair to question exactly how much an offense facing its old defensive coordinator really matters — it’s not like Vic Fangio was in the Bears’ quarterback meetings — but all things equal, you’d rather not see it. The fact that Mitchell Trubisky put up only a 49.1 PFF grade (30th of 32 qualified QBs) and a 62.1 passer rating (better only than Jameis Winston’s) in Week 1 would already be cause for concern without the fact that he’s going against Fangio and the Broncos. Trubisky still has upside for the year, but don’t count on it in Week 2.
Spread: DEN +2.5 | Total: 40.5
The lowest total of Week 2 belongs to the Bear-Broncos matchup. Is it quality defense or atrocious offense holding this total down? Greenline can offer insight on how to play both the spread and total in this game.
New Orleans Saints @ Los Angeles Rams
NFL Players to Watch
Rams’ Joseph Noteboom and Rob Havenstein both turned in poor performances against the Panthers in Week 1. Both offensive linemen earned sub-50.0 overall grades and run-blocking grades while also allowing eight total pressures as a duo. They’ll have to right the ship in a hurry going against a Saints defensive line that mauled Deshaun Watson early and often in Week 1. Cameron Jordan and Trey Hendrickson combined for nine total pressures in New Orleans’ 30-28 win over the Texans last week.
Fantasy Football Preview
One of the party lines around these parts was that Todd Gurley could still be extremely effective for fantasy even with a reduced touch load. And while that’s true (he generated 101 yards on 15 touches in Week 1), his lack of work near the end zone has to be a concern. In Week 1, Gurley had no touches inside the red zone. Malcolm Brown got five red-zone carries, including two inside the five-yard line that both resulted in touchdowns. If that continues, Gurley could be frustrating all year.
Spread: LAR -2.5 | Total: 53
After squeaking out a wild victory on Monday night, the Saints have to travel to LA for a rematch of the NFC Championship. As the third- and fourth-best teams according to our ELO rankings, both of these offenses also are in the top five. The biggest discrepancy is our defensive rankings, where the Saints are 16th and the Rams are third. Along with home-field advantage, is this enough for the Rams to be the play at less than a field goal favorite?
Philadelphia Eagles @ Atlanta Falcons
NFL Players to Watch
Desean Jackson’s return to Philadelphia got off to an impressive start in Week 1, as the 32-year-old speedster hauled in eight of his nine targets for 154 yards and two touchdowns on his way to an 88.7 overall grade against Washington. Only 18 of his 154 receiving yards came after the catch, six of his eight receptions went for either a touchdown or first down and he finished the game with a 15.6 average depth of target. Jackson will test Atlanta’s secondary in more ways than one, putting the pressure on safeties Ricardo Allen and Keanu Neal to limit the big play.
Grady Jarrett had himself a day against Minnesota despite coming home with the loss. He tore apart the Vikings’ interior offensive line en route to a 92.4 overall grade and a 95.1 pass-rush grade on the day. Going against one of – if not the – best interior offensive line in football – Jarrett will need to be at his best again to have a significant impact on Sunday.
Fantasy Football Preview
The stack is a very popular and often successful fantasy football strategy, particularly in DFS. Pairing a quarterback and his pass-catcher lets you double up on production. And the Eagles are doing their level best to render it moot. DeSean Jackson, Alshon Jeffery and Zach Ertz all had between six and nine targets in Week 1; out of the backfield, Darren Sproles, Jordan Howard and Miles Sanders all had either two or three. Even Nelson Agholor (5) and Dallas Goedert (3) were relevant. The Eagles' ridiculous assortment of receiving weapons means that it’s one of the deepest and potentially best offenses in 2019, but it makes figuring out who to pair with Carson Wentz in a given week a daunting task.
PFF Greenline Preview (Game of the Week)
Spread: ATL +1 | Total: 51
The PFF Game of the Week brought to you by BetMGM is the Sunday nightcap with two teams whose offenses rank in the top-10 league-wide. After opening as a pick 'em, this line appears to have the most disagreement between bookmakers with some holding to the opening line while others range all the way to Eagles -2. Depending on prices dealt, a moneyline bet on the Eagles could be the play if found at straight up -110 odds.
Monday, September 16
Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets
NFL Players to Watch
Denzel Ward needs a bounce-back game after falling victim to the AJ Brown Show against the Tennessee Titans in Week 1. Ward gave up a big 47-yard gain to Brown and was called for a penalty to start his sophomore season in the NFL, and he earned just a 29.0 single-game coverage grade as a result. He’ll likely be asked with covering a combination of Robby Anderson and Jamison Crowder against the Jets this week, two receivers that can win in multiple ways if given the opportunity to do so.
Fantasy Football Preview
Remember when the Jets were downplaying Le’Veon Bell’s role in the preseason? Ty Montgomery was great in training camp, they said, and he’d have plenty to do. Adam Gase has no history of using a bell-cow back. All that jazz. Well, in Week 1, Bell got 17 of the Jets’ 18 backfield carries, all of the backfield targets and played 100% of the team’s offensive snaps. He’s a monster.
Spread: NYJ +2.5 | Total: 45
Both teams had disappointing starts to the 2019 season. After opening as a pick 'em, this has slid out to Jets being priced as a home dog at +2.5. With the Jets being the worst team according to our ELO rankings, is this drop enough to make them a buy at the current market price?
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