NFL News & Analysis

NFL Week 6 preview: QB comparisons, team metrics and more

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) reacts after downing the ball in the closing minute against the Jacksonville Jaguars at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

Previewing quarterback matchups, team metrics and more for all 13 games on the Week 6 slate of the 2022 NFL season, including a Sunday night game between the Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles.

SF@ATL | NE@CLV | NYJ@GB | JAX@IND | MIN@MIA | CIN@NO | BLT@NYG | TB@PIT | CAR@LAR | ARZ @ SEA | BUF@KC | DAL@PHI | DEN@LAC

Sunday, October 16th

San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons

Team Metrics
49ers Falcons
Power Rank: Overall 6th 27th
Power Rank: Defense 1st 15th
Power Rank: Offense 12th 24th
SOS Played 31st 13th
Avg Offensive Snaps 64.6 63.6
% Run Plays 48.3% 49.7%
% Pass Plays 51.7% 50.3%
EPA Per Run -0.090 0.000
EPA Per Pass 0.050 0.020
QB Comparison
49ers Falcons
Quarterback J. Garoppolo M. Mariota
PFF Grade 68.3 61.2
Passer Rating Clean 107.1 79.5
Passer Rating Under Pressure 63.5 74.9
Big-Time Throw % 4.0% 2.6%
Turnover-Worthy Play % 2.4% 5.1%
Power Rating 2.5 1.5
Power Rating Rank 18th 20th
Stat to know

The 49ers offense has proven to be more efficient and effective with Jimmy Garoppolo under center, turning bottom-three performance in touchdown drive rate (7.69%) and explosive pass rate (10.26%) with Trey Lance into a No. 1 ranking in each metric (23.81% touchdown drive rate; 19.20% explosive pass rate) since Garoppolo took over in 2022.

New England Patriots @ Cleveland Browns

Team Metrics
Patriots Browns
Power Rank: Overall 14th 12th
Power Rank: Defense 17th 8th
Power Rank: Offense 17th 7th
SOS Played 19th 32nd
Avg Offensive Snaps 63.2 73.0
% Run Plays 45.6% 47.6%
% Pass Plays 54.4% 52.4%
EPA Per Run -0.010 0.110
EPA Per Pass -0.090 0.060
QB Comparison
Patriots Browns
Quarterback B. Zappe J. Brissett
PFF Grade 68.2 78.0
Passer Rating Clean 111.1 97.5
Passer Rating Under Pressure 39.6 44.9
Big-Time Throw % 0.0% 3.2%
Turnover-Worthy Play % 2.27% 2.66%
Power Rating 0 1
Power Rating Rank 30th 25th
Stat to know

Browns RB Nick Chubb has created big plays in the running game more often than any other back, ranking first in explosive (10-plus yards) rushing attempts in 2022 with 20 — seven more than second place (Saquon Barkley, 13).

New York Jets @ Green Bay Packers

Team Metrics
Jets Packers
Power Rank: Overall 25th 7th
Power Rank: Defense 14th 3rd
Power Rank: Offense 28th 5th
SOS Played 14th 18th
Avg Offensive Snaps 73.8 66.0
% Run Plays 32.6% 41.6%
% Pass Plays 67.4% 58.4%
EPA Per Run -0.060 -0.050
EPA Per Pass -0.070 -0.040
QB Comparison
Jets Packers
Quarterback Z. Wilson A. Rodgers
PFF Grade 77.4 74.1
Passer Rating Clean 111.4 108.8
Passer Rating Under Pressure 0.0 51.2
Big-Time Throw % 2.9% 4.8%
Turnover-Worthy Play % 5.80% 2.15%
Power Rating 1 7.5
Power Rating Rank 25th 1st
Stat to know

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers still thrives in crucial situations, ranking second in big-time throw rate in a two-minute drill (8.0%) and fourth in third-down conversion percentage since 2020.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts

Team Metrics
Jaguars Colts
Power Rank: Overall 26th 19th
Power Rank: Defense 18th 20th
Power Rank: Offense 29th 19th
SOS Played 22nd 16th
Avg Offensive Snaps 68.6 73.2
% Run Plays 40.2% 35.0%
% Pass Plays 59.8% 65.0%
EPA Per Run -0.170 -0.300
EPA Per Pass 0.090 -0.100
QB Comparison
Jaguars Colts
Quarterback T. Lawrence M. Ryan
PFF Grade 61.7 52.5
Passer Rating Clean 108.3 94.5
Passer Rating Under Pressure 32.2 38.6
Big-Time Throw % 3.5% 0.4%
Turnover-Worthy Play % 3.98% 5.17%
Power Rating 4 4.5
Power Rating Rank 15th 14th
Stat to know

Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence has struggled mightily against the Cover-3 scheme that the Colts typically employ, ranking 31st in PFF passing grade, 29th in big-time throw rate (1.8%), 24th in turnover-worthy play rate (38%) and 28th in QB rating (77.4) against the three-high zone defense.

Minnesota Vikings @ Miami Dolphins

Team Metrics
Vikings Dolphins
Power Rank: Overall 13th 18th
Power Rank: Defense 24th 22nd
Power Rank: Offense 8th 30th
SOS Played 26th 2nd
Avg Offensive Snaps 70.8 62.4
% Run Plays 34.4% 35.1%
% Pass Plays 65.6% 64.9%
EPA Per Run 0.000 -0.070
EPA Per Pass 0.040 0.120
QB Comparison
Vikings Dolphins
Quarterback K. Cousins S. Thompson
PFF Grade 74.3 58.2
Passer Rating Clean 96.8 98.2
Passer Rating Under Pressure 58.6 28.4
Big-Time Throw % 2.7% 2.6%
Turnover-Worthy Play % 3.11% 5.13%
Power Rating 5.5 0
Power Rating Rank 10th 30th
Stat to know

New head coach Mike McDaniel has put his own stamp on Miami's offense this year — after using 21 personnel on just 0.7% of the team's offensive snaps (28th) in 2021, the Dolphins rank first in 21 personnel usage in 2022, employing the package on 34.3% of offensive snaps this season.

Cincinnati Bengals @ New Orleans Saints

Team Metrics
Bengals Saints
Power Rank: Overall 11th 21st
Power Rank: Defense 16th 9th
Power Rank: Offense 6th 18th
SOS Played 15th 30th
Avg Offensive Snaps 74.4 68.2
% Run Plays 35.1% 40.8%
% Pass Plays 64.9% 59.2%
EPA Per Run -0.230 -0.040
EPA Per Pass 0.040 -0.100
QB Comparison
Bengals Saints
Quarterback J. Burrow A. Dalton
PFF Grade 65.0 80.3
Passer Rating Clean 90.2 106.5
Passer Rating Under Pressure 87.7 73.3
Big-Time Throw % 2.2% 5.1%
Turnover-Worthy Play % 3.86% 5.08%
Power Rating 6.5 0.5
Power Rating Rank 5th 28th
Stat to know

Since 2015, Saints QB Jameis Winston has thrown beyond the sticks more often than anyone else, ranking first in the percentage of passes past the first-down marker.

Baltimore Ravens @ New York Giants

Team Metrics
Ravens Giants
Power Rank: Overall 10th 22nd
Power Rank: Defense 27th 28th
Power Rank: Offense 20th 16th
SOS Played 7th 24th
Avg Offensive Snaps 63.2 68.0
% Run Plays 40.6% 42.6%
% Pass Plays 59.4% 57.4%
EPA Per Run -0.070 0.000
EPA Per Pass 0.090 0.040
QB Comparison
Ravens Giants
Quarterback L. Jackson D. Jones
PFF Grade 75.2 66.6
Passer Rating Clean 108.6 96.0
Passer Rating Under Pressure 71.6 70.2
Big-Time Throw % 4.4% 1.1%
Turnover-Worthy Play % 3.28% 2.73%
Power Rating 6.5 1.5
Power Rating Rank 5th 20th
Stat to know

Ravens QB Lamar Jackson is thriving on mid-range throws this season, ranking first in PFF passing grade, first in big-time throw rate (21.4%) and eighth in passer rating (110.6) on throws 10-to-19 yards downfield.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Team Metrics
Buccaneers Steelers
Power Rank: Overall 3rd 23rd
Power Rank: Defense 10th 21st
Power Rank: Offense 2nd 22nd
SOS Played 5th 4th
Avg Offensive Snaps 68.4 65.0
% Run Plays 32.2% 33.2%
% Pass Plays 67.8% 66.8%
EPA Per Run -0.370 -0.020
EPA Per Pass 0.090 -0.220
QB Comparison
Buccaneers Steelers
Quarterback T. Brady K. Pickett
PFF Grade 77.2 67.3
Passer Rating Clean 104.3 69.0
Passer Rating Under Pressure 51.9 40.3
Big-Time Throw % 4.0% 1.3%
Turnover-Worthy Play % 1.32% 3.95%
Power Rating 7.5 1.5
Power Rating Rank 1st 20th
Stat to know

Steelers rookie QB Kenny Pickett has the second-lowest percentage of passes deemed uncatchable thus far in 2022, as just 12.9% of his passes have been charted as uncatchable this season.

Carolina Panthers @ Los Angeles Rams

Team Metrics
Panthers Rams
Power Rank: Overall 32nd 9th
Power Rank: Defense 26th 4th
Power Rank: Offense 32nd 13th
SOS Played 20th 3rd
Avg Offensive Snaps 59 65.6
% Run Plays 32.9% 30.2%
% Pass Plays 67.1% 69.8%
EPA Per Run -0.14 -0.21
EPA Per Pass -0.25 -0.13
QB Comparison
Panthers Rams
Quarterback P. Walker M. Stafford
PFF Grade 70.8 58.2
Passer Rating Clean 116.7 87.9
Passer Rating Under Pressure 39.6 67.6
Big-Time Throw % 0.0% 3.2%
Turnover-Worthy Play % 0.0% 4.6%
Power Rating 0.5 6
Power Rating Rank 28th 9th
Stat to know

Even though Rams QB Matthew Stafford has been getting pressured at a high rate (Rams offensive line has allowed a 41.5% pressure rate, 31st), his performance when not pressured has been more worrisome, ranking 30th in PFF passing grade, 24th in big-time throw rate (2.1%), 25th in turnover-worthy play rate (3.5%) and 26th in passer rating (87.9).

Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks

Team Metrics
Cardinals Seahawks
Power Rank: Overall 17th 31st
Power Rank: Defense 30th 29th
Power Rank: Offense 14th 1st
SOS Played 9th 25th
Avg Offensive Snaps 76.4 61.0
% Run Plays 33.8% 37.1%
% Pass Plays 66.2% 62.9%
EPA Per Run 0 -0.01
EPA Per Pass -0.01 0.15
QB Comparison
Cardinals Seahawks
Quarterback K. Murray G. Smith
PFF Grade 69.3 90.2
Passer Rating Clean 99.8 120.6
Passer Rating Under Pressure 34.6 85.6
Big-Time Throw % 1.7% 6.0%
Turnover-Worthy Play % 2.1% 3.8%
Power Rating 5 3
Power Rating Rank 11th 17th
Stat to know

In 2021, Seahawks QB Geno Smith ranked first in touchdown rate but 29th in turnover-worthy play percentage on 20-plus-yard passes.

Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs

Team Metrics
Bills Chiefs
Power Rank: Overall 1st 2nd
Power Rank: Defense 2nd 11th
Power Rank: Offense 3rd 4th
SOS Played 6th 8th
Avg Offensive Snaps 69.8 68.8
% Run Plays 28.6% 34.6%
% Pass Plays 71.4% 65.4%
EPA Per Run -0.29 -0.09
EPA Per Pass 0.3 0.25
QB Comparison
Bills Chiefs
Quarterback J. Allen P. Mahomes
PFF Grade 87.5 85.8
Passer Rating Clean 104.6 116.9
Passer Rating Under Pressure 116.8 96
Big-Time Throw % 5.2% 4.5%
Turnover-Worthy Play % 3.9% 2.3%
Power Rating 7.5 7.5
Power Rating Rank 1st 1st
Stat to know

Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes has struggled more against the Bills than most teams, as he sees precipitous drops in passer rating (107.1 against all teams vs. 90.5 against the Bills), yards per attempt (8.1 vs. 6.2) and average depth of target (8.6 vs. 6.6) when playing Buffalo since 2018.

Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles

Team Metrics
Cowboys Eagles
Power Rank: Overall 5th 4th
Power Rank: Defense 5th 6th
Power Rank: Offense 26th 11th
SOS Played 10th 29th
Avg Offensive Snaps 63.8 76.4
% Run Plays 45.5% 45.4%
% Pass Plays 54.5% 54.6%
EPA Per Run -0.08 0.01
EPA Per Pass -0.1 0.17
QB Comparison
Cowboys Eagles
Quarterback C. Rush J. Hurts
PFF Grade 63.9 80.4
Passer Rating Clean 95.5 109.5
Passer Rating Under Pressure 89.7 59.1
Big-Time Throw % 2.2% 3.5%
Turnover-Worthy Play % 3.7% 2.0%
Power Rating 0 5
Power Rating Rank 30th 11th
Stat to know

After allowing the fourth-highest yards per reception (11.9 yards) in 2021, the Cowboys secondary has been much stingier in 2022, allowing just 9.5 yards per reception (second-lowest in the NFL) this season.

Monday, October 17th

Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers

Team Metrics
Broncos Chargers
Power Rank: Overall 16th 15th
Power Rank: Defense 7th 19th
Power Rank: Offense 21st 10th
SOS Played 28th 21st
Avg Offensive Snaps 70.4 70.4
% Run Plays 36.8% 36.3%
% Pass Plays 63.2% 63.7%
EPA Per Run -0.31 -0.14
EPA Per Pass -0.01 0.12
QB Comparison
Broncos Chargers
Quarterback R. Wilson J. Herbert
PFF Grade 59.7 72.8
Passer Rating Clean 92.5 115.2
Passer Rating Under Pressure 52.3 72.1
Big-Time Throw % 3.3% 2.8%
Turnover-Worthy Play % 2.8% 1.8%
Power Rating 6.5 6.5
Power Rating Rank 5th 5th
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