Betting News & Analysis

NFL Week 5: Schedule, odds and best early bets

Arlington, Texas, USA; Dallas Cowboys quarterback Cooper Rush (10) and wide receiver CeeDee Lamb (88) celebrates a touchdown against the Washington Commanders in the fourth quarter at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

• Bet: Patriots QB Bailey Zappe u29.5 pass attempts (-104): Greatest Greenline Edge of Week 5 (44.5%)

• Bet Zappe u18.5 completions: 42.6% edge in Zappe's first-ever start.

Bet Tom Brady o2.5 pass TDs (+161): Bucs offense is healthier and has a chip on its shoulder (27.6% edge).

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Last updated: Sun. Oct. 9, 11:05 a.m.

Estimated reading time: 2 mins


Take a look at the odds for every Week 5 game, courtesy of BetMGM, followed by PFF Greenline and PFF staff best bets.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Buffalo Bills 

Spread Total Moneyline
Steelers +14 (-110) O45.5 (-110) +600
Bills -14 (-110) U45.5 (-110) -900

• Bet Steelers WR Chase Claypool u2.5 receptions (+123): 19.2% edge; Claypool was held without a catch for first time in NFL Sunday, when rookie Kenny Pickett played 2nd half.

Los Angeles Chargers @ Cleveland Browns

Spread Total Moneyline
Chargers -1.5 (-120) O46.5 (-110) -125
Browns +1.5 (+100) U46.5 (-110) +105

• Bet RB Kareem Hunt u10.5 carries (-115): Hunt below this number for first time Sunday; 15.1% Greenline edge.

Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings

Spread Total Moneyline
Bears +7.5 (-110) O44 (-110) +260
Vikings -7.5 (-110) U44 (-110) -350

• Bet Bears WR Equanimeous St. Brown u1.5 catches (+126): 15.6 Greenline edge on Brown, who's below two catches in three of first four games with pass-allergic Bears.

Detroit Lions @ New England Patriots

Spread Total Moneyline
Lions +3 (-115) O46.5 (-110) +130
Patriots -3 (-105) U46.5 (-110) -155

• Bet: Patriots QB Bailey Zappe u29.5 pass attempts (-104): Greatest Greenline Edge of Week 5 (44.5%)

• Bet Zappe u18.5 completions: 42.6% edge in Zappe's first-ever start.

Seattle Seahawks @ New Orleans Saints

Spread Total Moneyline
Seahawks +5 (-115) O46 (-110) +180
Saints -5 (-105) U46 (-110) -225

Bet Andy Dalton u1.5 pass TDs (-127): Saints without Michael Thomas, and Dalton has two or fewer TD passes in 8 of past 10 appearances.

Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets

Spread Total Moneyline
Dolphins -3.5 (-115) O45.5 (-110) -185
Jets +3.5 (+105) U45.5 (-110) +150

Bet Dolphins -3 at Jets (-110): 2.8% edge on Miami bouncing back behind Teddy Bridgewater with a full week to prepare as the starter.

Bet QB Zach Wilson u0.5 pass TD (+185): 13.8 Greenline edge — though Wilson has at least one TD in four straight games spanning back to rookie year.

Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Spread Total Moneyline
Falcons +10 (-110) O46 (-110) +350
Buccaneers -10 (-110) U46 (-110) -450

Bet Tom Brady o2.5 pass TDs (+161): Bucs offense is healthier and has a chip on its shoulder (27.6% edge).

Bet QB Marcus Mariota u0.5 pass TDs (+166): He's made most of his fresh start in Atlanta, but Greenline shows 13.8% edge against Bucs dangerous ‘D.'

Tennessee Titans @ Washington Commanders

Spread Total Moneyline
Titans -1 (-110) O43 (-110) -110
Commanders +1 (-110) U43 (-110) -110

Bet WR Nick Westbrook-Ikhine u2.5 receptions (-113): No Treylon Burks, but Westbrook-Ikhine will still be behind Robert Woods and Kenny Phillips (12.9%).

Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Spread Total Moneyline
Texans +7 (-110) O43.5 (-110) +260
Jaguars -7 (-110) U43.5 (-110) -350

Bet Texans +7 at Jaguars (-110): Plucky Houston projected to play yet another close game, via Greenline (2.7%).

Bet RB Dameon Pierce u84.5 rush/rec yards (-113): Coming off his breakout game, Pierce expected to cool off vs. tough Jags ‘D;' 11.1% Greenline edge.

San Francisco 49ers @ Carolina Panthers

Spread Total Moneyline
49ers -6.5 (-110) O40 (-110) -275
Panthers +6.5 (-110) U40 (-110) +220

Bet Panthers QB Baker Mayfield u0.5 pass TDs (+159): Greenline edge of 12.1% that Baker doesn't throw a TD. Carolina has had most Perfectly Covered Plays against twice in first four games; 49ers top-graded PFF ‘D.'

Dallas Cowboys @ Los Angeles Rams 

Spread Total Moneyline
Cowboys +5.5 (-110) O42 (-110) +200
Rams -5.5 (-110) U42 (-110) -250

Bet WR Noah Brown u37.5 receiving yards (-119): Though Brown has gone well over this number in four straight, Greenline shows 11.1% edge here.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Arizona Cardinals

Spread Total Moneyline
Eagles -5 (-115) O49 (-110) -225
Cardinals +5 (-105) U49 (-110) +185

Bet RB Miles Sanders u1.5 receptions (+141): 21.5% Greenline Edge on Sanders, who had his best rushing day Sunday.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens

Spread Total Moneyline
Bengals +3 (-105) O47.5 (-110) +135
Ravens -3 (-115) U47.5 (-110) -160

Bet Bengals ml at Ravens: PFF Greenline shows an early edge of 2.4% on the Bengals ml (+145) Sunday Night in Baltimore.

Monday, Oct. 10

Las Vegas Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs 

Spread Total Moneyline
Raiders +7 (-105) O51.5 (-110) +275
Chiefs -7 (-115) U51.5 (-110) -350

 

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