News & Analysis

PFF's NFL Power Rankings for the 2021 NFL season

Despite losing in the Super Bowl, the Kansas City Chiefs are the clear No. 1 team in PFF's NFL Power Rankings for the 2021 NFL season. Tampa is the second-highest-ranked team but repeats as Super Bowl champions the highest number of times in PFF's AWS-powered simulations. The rankings are based on PFF’s ELO Ratings along with PFF-exclusive player grades for each team.

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1. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 15.1%
Highest-Graded Player: TE Travis Kelce (93.5)

2. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 16.0%
Highest-Graded Player: QB Tom Brady (92.5)

3. BUFFALO BILLS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 7.5%
Highest-Graded Player: QB Josh Allen (90.9)

4. GREEN BAY PACKERS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 13.8%
Highest-Graded Player: QB Aaron Rodgers (94.5)

5. BALTIMORE RAVENS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 4.2%
Highest-Graded Player: LT Ronnie Stanley (79.9)

Dec 10, 2020; Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Rams defensive end Aaron Donald (99) gets a bead on New England Patriots quarterback Cam Newton (right) during the third quarter at SoFi Stadium. Credit: Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

6. LOS ANGELES RAMS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 4.0%
Highest-Graded Player: DI Aaron Donald (94.5)

7. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 1.6%
Highest-Graded Player: DI David Onyemata (88.2)

8. CLEVELAND BROWNS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 7.0%
Highest-Graded Player: RG Wyatt Teller (92.9)

9. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 1.1%
Highest-Graded Player: LT Trent Williams (91.9)

10. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 3.6%
Highest-Graded Player: QB Russell Wilson (90.3)

11. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 1.8%
Highest-Graded Player: DI DeForest Buckner (89.7)

12. PITTSBURGH STEELERS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 0.7%
Highest-Graded Player: ED T.J. Watt (91.6)

Jan 3, 2021; Houston, Texas, USA; Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry (22) runs the ball against the Houston Texans during the second quarter at NRG Stadium. Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

13. TENNESSEE TITANS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 3.4%
Highest-Graded Player: HB Derrick Henry (93.5)

14. MIAMI DOLPHINS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 0.7%
Highest-Graded Player: CB Xavien Howard (87.3)

15. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 0.9%
Highest-Graded Player: RG Shaq Mason (85.4)

16. ARIZONA CARDINALS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 1.5%
Highest-Graded Player: LT D.J. Humphries (88.3)

17. ATLANTA FALCONS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 3.2%
Highest-Graded Player: WR Julio Jones (86.3)

18. DALLAS COWBOYS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 1.5%
Highest-Graded Player: RG Zack Martin (91.3)

Dec 6, 2020; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago Bears outside linebacker Khalil Mack (52) practices before the game against the Detroit Lions at Soldier Field. Mandatory Credit: Mike Dinovo-USA TODAY Sports

19. CHICAGO BEARS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 1.4%
Highest-Graded Player: ED Khalil Mack (92.3)

20. LAS VEGAS RAIDERS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 2.8%
Highest-Graded Player: TE Darren Waller (86.5)

21. DENVER BRONCOS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 0.5%
Highest-Graded Player: LT Garett Bolles (90.6)

22. WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM

Super Bowl Win Probability: 3.2%
Highest-Graded Player: ED Chase Young (87.2)

23. MINNESOTA VIKINGS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 0.9%
Highest-Graded Player: WR Justin Jefferson (93.5)

24. LOS ANGELES CHARGERS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 0.9%
Highest-Graded Player: ED Joey Bosa (90.2)

Carolina Panthers offensive tackle Taylor Moton (72) runs on to the field before the game at Bank of America Stadium. Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

25. CAROLINA PANTHERS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 0.6%
Highest-Graded Player: RT Taylor Moton (81.6)

26. NEW YORK GIANTS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 0.8%
Highest-Graded Player: CB James Bradberry (79.8)

27. CINCINNATI BENGALS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 0.8%
Highest-Graded Player: S Jessie Bates III (90.1)

28. NEW YORK JETS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 1.1%
Highest-Graded Player: S Marcus Maye (82.9)

29. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 1.1%
Highest-Graded Player: C Brandon Linder (80.0)

30. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

Super Bowl Win Probability: 0.3%
Highest-Graded Player: ED Brandon Graham (81.5)

31. HOUSTON TEXANS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 0.1%
Highest-Graded Player: WR Brandin Cooks (81.1)

32. DETROIT LIONS

Super Bowl Win Probability: 0.1%
Highest-Graded Player: ED Trey Flowers (83.3)

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