PFF Grades and Data: Key insights for every NFL Week 10 game

All eyes on Maxx Crosby on Thursday night: The Broncos’ offense will need to keep close tabs on Maxx Crosby on every snap to maintain rhythm and protect the pocket. Both Garett Bolles and Mike McGlinchey have plenty of experience facing the Raiders’ star edge rusher, with varying levels of success. Against McGlinchey, Crosby has been highly effective, posting a 22% pass-rush win rate and a 12% pressure rate. Bolles, however, has contained him far better, limiting Crosby to a 6% win rate and 4% pressure rate on their head-to-head pass-rush snaps.

Jacoby Brissett is steering the ship in Arizona: Since Jacoby Brissett entered the starting lineup in Week 6, the Cardinals have been the league’s best third-down offense, ranking first with a blistering 59% conversion rate — six percentage points higher than the next closest team. Over that same span, Brissett’s 88.0 passing grade on third down leads all quarterbacks, while Marvin Harrison Jr.’s five third-down conversions are tied for fourth among all pass-catchers. Through the first five weeks of the season, Seattle ranked 24th with a 43% third-down conversion rate allowed, but has since climbed to fifth, at 30%.

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NFL Week 10 is here, and with it comes a fresh wave of advanced data and analysis.

PFF’s media research team has been hard at work this week, preparing for kickoff — pulling data-driven insights and talking points for our broadcast partners around the league. Now, we’re sharing those same nuggets with you. So, whether you’re looking to win your fantasy matchup, hit on your bets or just get smarter about the game, these are the key storylines to know for every Week 10 contest.

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Las Vegas Raiders @ Denver Broncos

The Broncos’ offense will need to keep close tabs on Maxx Crosby on every snap to maintain rhythm and protect the pocket. Both Garett Bolles and Mike McGlinchey have plenty of experience facing the Raiders’ star edge rusher, with varying levels of success. Against McGlinchey, Crosby has been highly effective, posting a 22% pass-rush win rate and a 12% pressure rate. Bolles, however, has contained him far better, limiting Crosby to a 6% win rate and 4% pressure rate on their head-to-head pass-rush snaps.

The Broncos’ pass rush has been a dominant force in 2025, generating pressure at a 42% rate, the third-highest mark in the league. Entering Week 10, Denver joins New England as one of two teams with three players recording 30 or more total pressures. The group’s ability to collapse the pocket quickly has been especially impressive, as its 100 quick pressures (pressures within 2.5 seconds) lead the NFL and highlight the speed and efficiency of Denver’s front seven.

Atlanta Falcons @ Indianapolis Colts

Drake London continues to excel in contested-catch situations, showcasing his strong hands and physicality. In last week’s matchup against the Patriots, London hauled in five contested receptions, tied for the most in a single game by any player this season. Since entering the league in 2022, his 64 contested catches lead all NFL players.

The addition of Sauce Gardner gives the Colts’ defense a major boost on the perimeter, where it has struggled to limit big plays. This season, Indianapolis has allowed 32 explosive pass plays on targets outside the numbers, the second most in the league. Gardner’s track record in that area should immediately help. For his career, he’s allowed just a 56.9 passer rating when targeted outside the numbers, the second-lowest mark among cornerbacks since 2022.

New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers

In his starting debut, rookie Tyler Shough impressed when given time to throw. From a clean pocket, he completed 15 of 19 passes for 176 yards and a 122.8 passer rating, the highest mark by a Saints quarterback since Derek Carr’s 148.4 rating against the Browns in Week 11 of the 2024 season.

Rico Dowdle has firmly established himself as the Panthers’ lead running back, showcasing a powerful, physical style that has fueled Carolina’s offense. Since making his first start in Week 5, Dowdle’s 445 rushing yards after contact lead all players over that span. In last week’s upset win over the Packers, he delivered another standout performance — his 94 yards after contact were the most allowed by Green Bay’s defense in a game since the 2023 season.

New York Giants @ Chicago Bears

A key matchup to watch in this game will be on third down when the Giants have the ball. Since Jaxson Dart became the starter in Week 4, New York’s offense has been one of the league’s best in those situations, converting 46% of third downs — the sixth-highest rate in the NFL — while ranking fourth in EPA per play.

The Bears’ defense, meanwhile, has been equally strong on third down. It has allowed the fourth-lowest conversion rate (34%) and leads the league in EPA allowed per play, setting up a strength-on-strength battle that could determine the game’s outcome.

When the Bears have the ball, they’ll likely look to exploit a vulnerable Giants run defense that has struggled to limit big plays. New York ranks 31st in the NFL against designed runs, allowing 5.4 yards per carry and surrendering explosive runs on a league-high 17% of attempts.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans

When these two teams met in Week 3, Trevor Lawrence was under heavy duress, facing pressure on 34% of his dropbacks against an aggressive Texans defense. He could be in for a similar challenge this week — since Week 6 (including Jacksonville’s bye), Lawrence has been pressured on 66 dropbacks, the second-most in the league. He has also been sacked 15 times, the third-most over that span.

On the other side, Will Anderson Jr. continues to be a dominant force for Houston’s defense. Anderson leads all edge defenders in both pass-rush win rate (29%) and pressure rate (22%), making him one of the league’s most disruptive players when getting after the quarterback.

Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins

The Bills opted not to trade for a receiver at the deadline. As a group, Buffalo’s wide receivers have been targeted shorter than any other unit in the league, having generated an 8.9-yard average depth of target. While they rank second in yards after the catch per reception (5.5), they’ve struggled in contested situations, ranking 30th in contested-catch rate (37.9%).

The Dolphins dealt Jaelan Phillips to the Eagles before the trade deadline and have struggled to generate pressure on opposing quarterbacks this season. Without Phillips, that challenge becomes even greater. Miami ranks 20th in pressure rate (34.5%) and 24th in converting those pressures into sacks (16.2% sack conversion rate).

Baltimore Ravens @ Minnesota Vikings

Lamar Jackson didn’t miss a step in his return to the lineup in Week 9, completing 18 of 23 passes for 204 yards and four touchdowns en route to an 89.2 passing grade — well above his previous season high of 65.6 in Week 1.

He was particularly effective on downfield throws (10-plus yards), which accounted for 125 passing yards and three touchdowns. On the season, his 66% completion rate on downfield attempts ranks third among qualifying quarterbacks. That could spell trouble for a Vikings defense that ranks bottom four with a 59% completion rate and 11 touchdowns allowed on downfield passes.

Staying on rhythm in the passing game was key to J.J. McCarthy’s success in Minnesota’s win over Detroit in Week 9. On 23 dropbacks on which he wasn’t forced off his spot, McCarthy earned a 79.8 passing grade, completing 67% of his passes and taking no sacks. On 11 dropbacks where he was moved off his spot, he earned a 29.8 passing grade with no completions and five sacks taken.

Last season, Baltimore led the NFL with 182 plays forcing quarterbacks off their spot, but this season, that number has dropped to just 61, tied for 23rd.

Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets

Rookie tight end Harold Fannin Jr. has played a larger-than-expected role in the Browns’ offense, posting a 23% target rate that ranks fifth among qualifying tight ends and first among all rookies at the position. Fannin has made the most of his opportunities, leading the Browns in several receiving categories, including 16 conversions and nine explosive plays. The Jets, however, have been stingy against opposing tight ends, ranking third in yards per catch allowed (8.3).

With Breece Hall staying in New York past the trade deadline, look for him to build on his season-best rushing performance in Week 8, when he ran for 133 yards and scored his first two touchdowns of the year. His explosiveness was also on display, with four carries of 10-plus yards — his third game this season with at least four — giving him a 15% explosive-carry rate that ranks tied for third among qualifying running backs. The Browns ranked second in explosive-carry rate allowed (5%) through Week 5 but have fallen to 27th (17%) since Week 6.

New England Patriots @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Robert Spillane has been excellent in run defense this season for the Patriots. Among linebackers with at least 100 run-defense snaps, Spillane ranks fifth in PFF run-defense grade (90.3) while recording 14 stops and three tackles for loss or no gain.

Despite missing the start of the season with a knee injury, Tristan Wirfs hasn’t missed a beat in pass protection. This marks his sixth straight year earning a grade above 80.0 in that area, and on 189 pass-protection snaps this season, he has yet to allow a sack.

Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks

Since Jacoby Brissett entered the starting lineup in Week 6, the Cardinals have been the league’s best third-down offense, ranking first with a blistering 59% conversion rate — six percentage points higher than the next closest team. Over that same span, Brissett’s 88.0 passing grade on third down leads all quarterbacks, while Marvin Harrison Jr.’s five third-down conversions are tied for fourth among all pass-catchers. Through the first five weeks of the season, Seattle ranked 24th with a 43% third-down conversion rate allowed, but has since climbed to fifth, at 30%.

Sam Darnold completed all three of his deep passes for 77 yards and two touchdowns on Sunday night against the Commanders, bringing his season totals to 20 completions for 686 yards and a 99.9 passing grade — all of which rank first or tied for first among quarterbacks. There’s no better way to build on that strength than by adding another deep threat in Rashid Shaheed, whose 11 touchdowns on deep receptions are tied for eighth since entering the league in 2022.

The Cardinals have allowed only nine deep completions (tied for the fifth fewest) and are the only defense in the league yet to surrender a deep touchdown.

Los Angeles Rams @ San Francisco 49ers

The play-action game has been firing for the Rams and Matthew Stafford, who ranks first or second among quarterbacks in passing grade (91.7), passing yards (833) and touchdowns (10) on play-action dropbacks. However, in Week 5, the 49ers held Stafford to 4-of-10 passing for 62 yards and a 49.2 passing grade on play action, his only game below 65.0 this season. This season, San Francisco ranks fifth in yards per attempt allowed against play action (6.1).

Christian McCaffrey continues to shoulder the workload for the 49ers, recording a season-high 33 touches in Week 9 against the Giants and bringing his season total to 229 — 45 more than any other player. The Rams contained McCaffrey on the ground in Week 5, holding him to a season-low 2.6 yards per carry, but couldn’t limit his receiving impact, as he caught eight passes for 82 yards, including four explosive receptions.

All other running backs the Rams have faced this season have combined for just 101 receiving yards and one explosive reception on 22 catches.

Detroit Lions @ Washington Commanders

With Penei Sewell pacing the league with a 97.4 run-block grade — the next-highest among offensive linemen is Quenton Nelson at 91.0 — the Lions are featuring him heavily at the point of attack. Detroit leads the NFL with 118 runs to the right of center, producing 626 rushing yards and eight touchdowns, both league highs. While the Commanders have faced the second most runs to the right of center (117, tied), they’ve defended them well, ranking seventh in yards per carry allowed (3.9).

On the other side of the ball is another strong trench matchup as Aidan Hutchinson faces Laremy Tunsil. Of Hutchinson’s league-leading 55 total pressures, 23 have come when lined up outside left tackle, where his 24% pass-rush win rate trails only Myles Garrett. Tunsil has been a steady presence for Washington, allowing pressure on just 4% of pass-block snaps, sixth best among qualifying left tackles.

The matchup on the opposite side is worth watching as well, with Al-Quadin Muhammad — whose 18% pressure rate ranks seventh among edge defenders — set to face Josh Conerly Jr., who has allowed the second most pressures in the league (31).

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert has been blitzed on 145 dropbacks this season — 20 more than any other quarterback — and has handled it well, ranking second with a 90.8 PFF grade. His 27 explosive plays against the blitz lead the league, while his 0.7% turnover-worthy play rate is the lowest among qualifying quarterbacks. The Steelers are blitzing on 40% of opposing pass plays, their highest rate since 2020, with mixed results — they rank second in success rate when pressure is generated and 31st when it isn’t.

One of Pittsburgh’s biggest areas of improvement has come in the red-zone offense, which ranks sixth with a 71% touchdown rate after finishing outside the top 20 in each of the past four seasons. Much of that success can be attributed to Aaron Rodgers, who ranks third among qualifying quarterbacks with an 84.8 red-zone passing grade, throwing 12 touchdowns without a turnover-worthy play. The Chargers’ defense has also improved in the red zone, ranking second with a 46% touchdown rate allowed under Jesse Minter after ranking 20th during the Brandon Staley era.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Green Bay Packers

The Eagles’ offensive line knows Micah Parsons well from his time in Dallas. Since Parsons entered the league in 2021, Lane Johnson has allowed a 24% pass-rush win rate to him on 37 pass-block snaps. Against Jordan Mailata, Parsons has faced 65 pass-rush matchups — the second most against any offensive lineman — and has posted a 17% win rate.

Jordan Love has been highly effective on third downs this season, leading all quarterbacks in yards per attempt (10.1) and big-time throw rate (13.9%). However, the Eagles have been strong in third-down pass defense, ranking fourth in passer rating allowed (65.0). Where they’ve been vulnerable is against quarterback scrambles, particularly on third down, having allowed eight first downs or touchdowns to scrambling quarterbacks in those situations.