NFL Week 7: Schedule, odds and best early bets

• Bet Joe Burrow o2.5 pass TDs vs. Falcons: Game-high PFF Greenline edge of 24.3%. Burrow has a 10:1 TD-INT ratio since Week 2, and the Falcons just placed CB2 Casey Hayward on IR.

• Bet Browns +6.5 at Ravens: Baltimore is 24th in limiting successful run plays; Cleveland is first by a sizable margin in early-down run play efficiency (first in EPA per run play on early downs).

• Bet Steelers +7 at Dolphins: Another 3.3% Greenline edge in Miami, where it could be Mitch Trubisky and Teddy Bridgewater dueling.

Last updated: Fri. Oct. 21, 9:30 a.m.

Estimated reading time: 2 mins

Take a look at the odds for every Week 7 game, courtesy of BetMGM, followed by PFF Greenline and PFF staff best bets.

Sunday, Oct. 23

Atlanta Falcons @ Cincinnati Bengals

• Bet Joe Burrow o2.5 pass TDs vs. Falcons: Game-high PFF Greenline edge of 24.3%. Burrow has a 10:1 TD-INT ratio since Week 2, and the Falcons just placed CB2 Casey Hayward on IR.

Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys

• Bet Jared Goff u1.5 pass TDs (-122): Game-high PFF Greenline edge of 6.6%, suggesting Goff will struggle vs. Dallas' dominant pass rush.

Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans

• Bet Matt Ryan u0.5 INT (+102): Ryan comes off best game with the Colts, in which he thrived in increasingly quick pass game; Titans' 54.8 PFF coverage grade ranks 26th.

Green Bay Packers @ Washington Commanders

• Bet Brian Robinson u12.5 carries (-107): PFF Greenline edge of 14%.

• Bet Brian Robinson u 52.5 rush yards (-115): He's the Commanders' worst rusher in Rushing Yards Over Expected (RYOE), Washington likely to be playing from behind.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers

• Bet P.J. Walker o151.5 passing yards (-115): 14% Greenline edge; Tampa Bay's defense leaky last week against Mitch Trubisky.

New York Giants @ Jacksonville Jaguars

• Bet Daniel Jones o1.5 pass TDs (+193): 12.3% Greenline edge; Jones had his first 2+ TD game through the air since Week 1 Sunday vs. Baltimore.

• Bet Travis Etienne o51.5 rush yards (-115): His +2.03 rushing yards over expected per rush leads NFL, just ahead of Khalil Herbert, Josh Jacobs and Aaron Jones.

Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens

• Bet Browns +6.5 at Ravens: Baltimore is 24th in limiting successful run plays; Cleveland is first by a sizable margin in early-down run play efficiency (first in EPA per run play on early downs) and should keep this one close — if not win.

• Bet Kareem Hunt u9.5 carries: Script likely to look like it did a week ago: Browns are dead-last in run-defense grade, facing Ravens offense ranked first in ypc (6.0).

New York Jets @ Denver Broncos

• Bet o38: PFF Greenline edge of 2.3%.

Houston Texans @ Las Vegas Raiders

• Bet Derek Carr o23.5 completions (-101): 3.6% PFF Greenline edge.

• Bet Texans +7: Raiders QB Derek Carr is 5-11 ATS as a home favorite of more than a field goal in his career.

Seattle Seahawks @ Los Angeles Chargers

• Bet Over 50 (-107): Only slight Greenline edge at 1.2%, but Seahawks are No. 4 in EPA/play; Chargers No. 11.

Kansas City Chiefs @ San Francisco 49ers

• Bet Jajuan Jennings u1.5 receptions (+105): Jennings has caught at least two passes in 4-of-6 games, but it just got a lot more crowded in the target pecking order.

• Bet Patrick Mahomes o2.5 pass TDs (+145): Any time you can get this much juice for Mahomes, you pull the trigger, especially against banged-up 49ers ‘D' that was so poor in Week 6.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins

• Bet Steelers +7 at Dolphins: 3.3% Greenline edge in Miami, where it could be Mitch Trubisky and Teddy Bridgewater dueling.

• Bet Kenny Pickett o1.5 pass TDs (+148): Pickett's first two-TD NFL game, after clearing concussion protocol Friday? Greenline likes chances (2.5% edge) at juicy odds.

Monday, Oct. 24

Chicago Bears @ New England Patriots

• Bet Justin Fields u0.5 pass TD (+122): PFF Greenline Edge of 7.4%; Fields has thrown a touchdown in only 3 of 6 starts but two in a row.