Betting News & Analysis

NFL Week 7: Schedule, odds and best early bets

East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; New York Giants running back Saquon Barkley (26) warms up before a game against the Chicago Bears at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Bet Joe Burrow o2.5 pass TDs vs. Falcons: Game-high PFF Greenline edge of 24.3%. Burrow has a 10:1 TD-INT ratio since Week 2, and the Falcons just placed CB2 Casey Hayward on IR.

Bet Browns +6.5 at Ravens: Baltimore is 24th in limiting successful run plays; Cleveland is first by a sizable margin in early-down run play efficiency (first in EPA per run play on early downs).

Bet Steelers +7 at Dolphins: Another 3.3% Greenline edge in Miami, where it could be Mitch Trubisky and Teddy Bridgewater dueling.

Last updated: Fri. Oct. 21, 9:30 a.m.

Estimated reading time: 2 mins


Take a look at the odds for every Week 7 game, courtesy of BetMGM, followed by PFF Greenline and PFF staff best bets.

Sunday, Oct. 23

Atlanta Falcons @ Cincinnati Bengals

Spread Total Moneyline
Falcons +6.5 (-110) o47.5 (-105) +220
Bengals -6.5 (-110) u47.5 (-115) -275

Bet Joe Burrow o2.5 pass TDs vs. Falcons: Game-high PFF Greenline edge of 24.3%. Burrow has a 10:1 TD-INT ratio since Week 2, and the Falcons just placed CB2 Casey Hayward on IR.

Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys

Spread Total Moneyline
Lions +6.5 (-115) o49 (-110) +240
Cowboys -6.5 (-105) u49 (-110) -300

Bet Jared Goff u1.5 pass TDs (-122): Game-high PFF Greenline edge of 6.6%, suggesting Goff will struggle vs. Dallas' dominant pass rush.

Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans

Spread Total Moneyline
Colts +2.5 (-110) o42 (-110) +120
Titans -2.5 (-110) u42 (-110) -145

• Bet Matt Ryan u0.5 INT (+102): Ryan comes off best game with the Colts, in which he thrived in increasingly quick pass game; Titans' 54.8 PFF coverage grade ranks 26th.

Green Bay Packers @ Washington Commanders

Spread Total Moneyline
Packers -4.5 (-115) o41.5 (-110) -225
Commanders +4.5 (-105) u41.5 (-110) +180

• Bet Brian Robinson u12.5 carries (-107): PFF Greenline edge of 14%.

• Bet Brian Robinson u 52.5 rush yards (-115): He's the Commanders' worst rusher in Rushing Yards Over Expected (RYOE), Washington likely to be playing from behind.

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers

Spread Total Moneyline
Buccaneers -13 (-115) o39.5 (-110) -650
Panthers +13 (-105) u39.5 (-110) +450

• Bet P.J. Walker o151.5 passing yards (-115): 14% Greenline edge; Tampa Bay's defense leaky last week against Mitch Trubisky.

New York Giants @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Spread Total Moneyline
Giants +3 (-115) o43 (-110) +135
Jaguars -3 (-105) u43 (-110) -160

• Bet Daniel Jones o1.5 pass TDs (+193): 12.3% Greenline edge; Jones had his first 2+ TD game through the air since Week 1 Sunday vs. Baltimore.

• Bet Travis Etienne o51.5 rush yards (-115): His +2.03 rushing yards over expected per rush leads NFL, just ahead of Khalil HerbertJosh Jacobs and Aaron Jones.

Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens

Spread Total Moneyline
Browns +6.5 (-115) o45.5 (-110) +225
Ravens -6.5 (-105) u45.5 (-110) -275

Bet Browns +6.5 at Ravens: Baltimore is 24th in limiting successful run plays; Cleveland is first by a sizable margin in early-down run play efficiency (first in EPA per run play on early downs) and should keep this one close — if not win.

• Bet Kareem Hunt u9.5 carries: Script likely to look like it did a week ago: Browns are dead-last in run-defense grade, facing Ravens offense ranked first in ypc (6.0).

New York Jets @ Denver Broncos

Spread Total Moneyline
Jets -1.5 (-110) o36.5 (-110) -110
Broncos +1.5 (-110) u36.5 (-110) -110

• Bet o38: PFF Greenline edge of 2.3%.

Houston Texans @ Las Vegas Raiders

Spread Total Moneyline
Texans +7 (-105) o45.5 (-110) +230
Raiders -7 (-115) u45.5 (-110) -300

Bet Derek Carr o23.5 completions (-101): 3.6% PFF Greenline edge.

Bet Texans +7: Raiders QB Derek Carr is 5-11 ATS as a home favorite of more than a field goal in his career.

Seattle Seahawks @ Los Angeles Chargers

Spread Total Moneyline
Seahawks +5 (-105) o50.5 (-110) +185
Chargers -5 (-115) u50.5 (-110) -225

Bet Over 50 (-107): Only slight Greenline edge at 1.2%, but Seahawks are No. 4 in EPA/play; Chargers No. 11.

Kansas City Chiefs @ San Francisco 49ers

Spread Total Moneyline
Chiefs -1.5 (-115) o49 (-110) -130
49ers +1.5 (-105) u49 (-110) +105

• Bet Jajuan Jennings u1.5 receptions (+105): Jennings has caught at least two passes in 4-of-6 games, but it just got a lot more crowded in the target pecking order.

Bet Patrick Mahomes o2.5 pass TDs (+145): Any time you can get this much juice for Mahomes, you pull the trigger, especially against banged-up 49ers ‘D' that was so poor in Week 6.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins

Spread Total Moneyline
Steelers +7.5 (-110) o44.5 (-110) +240
Dolphins -7.5 (-110) u44.5 (-110) -300

Bet Steelers +7 at Dolphins: 3.3% Greenline edge in Miami, where it could be Mitch Trubisky and Teddy Bridgewater dueling.

Bet Kenny Pickett o1.5 pass TDs (+148): Pickett's first two-TD NFL game, after clearing concussion protocol Friday? Greenline likes chances (2.5% edge) at juicy odds.

Monday, Oct. 24

Chicago Bears @ New England Patriots

Spread Total Moneyline
Bears +8 (-115) o40. 5 (-110) +300
Patriots -8 (-105) u40.5 (-110) -375

Bet Justin Fields u0.5 pass TD (+122): PFF Greenline Edge of 7.4%; Fields has thrown a touchdown in only 3 of 6 starts but two in a row.

Betting Featured Tools

  • PFF's Best Bets Tool reveals the bets PFF's data and algorithms give the biggest edge to within spread, total, player prop, and moneyline markets.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NFL game.

    Available with

  • PFF's Player Props Tool reveals betting opportunities within player prop markets.

    Available with

  • Power Rankings are PFF’s NFL power ratings based on weekly player grades in each facet of play. These power rankings are adjusted based on coach, quarterback and the market each season.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NCAA game.

    Available with

Subscriptions

Unlock all tools and content including Player Grades, Fantasy, NFL Draft, Premium Stats, Greenline and DFS.

$9.99 / mo
$79.99 / yr