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NFL Betting 2022: Week 7 spread picks to bet before lines move

• Take the Atlanta Falcons (+6.5): They're not world-beaters, but they don’t deserve to be massive underdogs to a non-elite team in the Cincinnati Bengals.

• Bet the New York Jets (+3.5): While the Jets and Broncos are somewhat similar, the Jets boast the edge in a few facets that should be the difference in Week 7.

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Estimated Reading Time: 8 mins

Editor's Note: Betting lines are accurate as of post-Sunday Night Football.

Atlanta Falcons (+6.5) @ Cincinnati Bengals

Why to bet:

The Falcons are undefeated against the spread this season. They rank sixth in early-down expected points added (EPA) per play, and while they certainly are not world-beaters, they don’t deserve to be massive underdogs to non-elite teams.

The Bengals' interior offensive line remains poor, which bodes well for Falcons interior defender Grady Jarrett. No member of the Bengals' offensive line has a PFF grade above 64.0. Jarrett, meanwhile, sports a 78.4 PFF grade that ranks 17th among defensive tackles.

Why to be wary:

The Falcons are still the Falcons, and Marcus Mariota is not the model of consistency. While he played well against a banged-up San Francisco 49ers defense at home, the Bengals have the firepower at home to require him to throw and put up points.


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